Cooper Legion

I mean we are closer to 2050 than Independence Day’s release in 1996

Nope. High end/high end is 2.68x so low/low being 2.45 is plausible but not 3.29x

Early deadline preview nums are completely useless compared to the tracking thread. They just went with a conservative floor and the real value are in the “+”

Excel is right — 130 is weak for a Batman movie

We’ve had about a month of BO summer tbf — Gotg3, f10, and Tlm are pretty much locked in. But none of them have flopped or anything, so yeah I dunno about “summer doomed.” SV2 and MI7 should do quite nice as well.

Top Gun: Pandora

Pretty expected for both — Gotg3 holding well with a likely 6th best 4th mcu wknd (behind BP nwh Ta IW aeg). F10 dropping steeply but not catastrophically on track for drop in 60s

Flash plus Barbie probably won’t be enough for summer #1

Might as well put 17.5M in the bank for marvels at this rate 🧐

This sentence makes no sense lol, NWH/SC tier reviews are particularly great reviews!

Looking for 2.7 today to fuel a 22-24ish 3day

Breaking records in 80s not always worth that much in 20s — especially when you’re a supporting character in a B lister’s movie. This was always a bit of a weird bank shot to try to sell “The Flash” as a backdoor Batman thing. If you really want people running out for old Batman, probably needed a Batman movie.

If it’s studio released info in what sense can it really be considered a spoiler vs just like… marketing. Are the trailers 2 minutes of pure spoilers?

Guess we will see but I think 25 from 12.5 is QUITE optimistic. If previews get up to like 15 then sure maybe

The tracking thread was extremely negative on Gotg3 too. Which was pretty fair, because day 1 sales correctly indicated its poor opening

Mazel tov

I’m not sure if Batman would hit even 5x in summer though. It’s so much easier to kids, teens, even adults to actually cram those 2/3pm starts that we now have relative to the schoolday Ths. Plus some business gets diffused to following weekdays. If Batman was to open on a normal midsummer wknd maybe it breaks down like: 400 Dom 161 true OWeek 27 previews 39 fri 39 sat 33 fri // 138 (5.11x) I roughed a lot of that out so don’t take any specific number too seriously — just to say that summer Th are much heavier denominators when it comes to FSS/th, and preview th aren’t immune from that especially with modern start times.

Yeah. It’s summer, DC established character/nostalgia fan appeal, with EA, and sales show massive preview loading at the moment (even relative to usual for CBM first days). That said, the sun is Father’s Day and the following mon is Juneteenth, so I think it can maybe increase. Something like 12.5 19 21.5 22 //75 Thinking a 5-6 IM for now, reception would drive to higher side or perhaps even 6-6.5 zone but really struggle to see more.

Probably not enough for 75

Ironically if these were only two data points, taken together they point to essentially 12.5M

Yeah that’s some classic bot mod hyperbole humor. I am not sure if Flash OD can clear Shz2 OW but it will probably be >2x OW at least

Yeah, a bad movie with great vfx is still a bad movie. A great movie with bad vfx is still a great movie.

Only 2 more days of maximum madness comrade

You can’t completely determine the outcome of course but you can develop a pretty healthy sense of the general range — and the “how” of it is by comparing to lots of other movies 12 hrs vs how they finished

I would guess SV2 will be closer to Flash+Indy than max(flash, Indy)