Cooper Legion

Seems apt notably potc was then sent to development hell

DC’s TLJ? 👀

I think TLM GOTG Spiderverse

BA exceeded the geomean of the initial BOP forecast by almost 10%, but Shz2, Batman, TSS, and HQ:BOP missed by 15-45% missing the low end in all cases. Maybe this will blow up in my face in a few days with sales but for now still seeing under 100M

I think SV is much more likely to outopen Flash than vice versa, but let’s see whatDay 1 brings

You’re tracking the imax chain and mentioned in this thread that yday might be unusually imax heavy as people get in on the last chance. Most anomalous day/day of run for mtc1 ratio

How about 3.55

No thanks

Well, at least he always goes with his own impression. Multiverse saga has been even worse for him than most though ☠️

Wknd hold/wed hold for wknd losing most PLF/first big competition: QM — 40/40=100% (3rd wknd vs Creed) WF — thanksgiving affected L&T — 48/49= 98% (3rd wknd vs Nope) DS2 — 50/71=70% (4th wknd vs TGM) NWH — xmas affected Et — 41/38, but correcting for vet eve more like 41/43=95% (3rd vs GBA) SC — 47/66=71% (5th vs V2) FFH — 47/59= 80% (3rd vs TLK) CM — 50/53=94% (3rd vs Us) IW — 47/59=80% (4th vs DP2) Rag —38/47=81% (3rd vs JL) DS1 — 41/49=84% (3rd vs FB1) AM1 — 51/59=86% (3rd vs MI5) AoU — 50/46=109% (3rd vs fury road/pp2) F10 is going to be ~110% of the preceding weekend, whereas for some of the bigger hits: TGM 400% V2 690% TLK 425% DP2 200% JL 165% FWIW Gotg3 itself was ~290% of SMB’s preceding wknd Pessimistically I think you could look for an 80% (64% wed hold -> 49%, 31.7M) but I am expecting more in the ballpark of 87-92% (64% wed hold ->34.5-36.5M). Gotg3 sun has actually matched IW-with-first-week-lopped-off pretty closely so far, which went 62M wknd 4.63M 6M 4.2M 3.44M (-18 vs DP2 previews) 29.5M wknd F10 is no DP2 but even still that Wed x would take 4.55 to 32M

Excellent/expected Still thinking over 35 even with plf loss

4M is probably over 2% of the moviegoing population no? I don’t think it’s unreasonable to guess it may have had 100k or 2 or impact (of course there is stuff going on all the time with similar levels of impact, it all combines into the background “noise” of things).

Experimenting with a batch drop for Echo 🤔

IM1 dropped 38% vs Prince Caspian doing 55M which is basically the same relative size as F10 vs Gotg3’s wknd

For reference: DS2 6.71x AEG 6.38x IW 6.37x Gotg2 7.37x CW 6.93x AoU 7.2x IM3 7.71x TA 7.02x Thor 5.41x (PotC whammy) IM2 7.1x IM1 8.27x for Gotg3 I expect 7-7.5x so 5.15 -> 36-38.5 or so

The preMDW will be 6x preceding Mon is a certified deadline moment:

I feel like muted showcounts for Elemental won’t be a problem in the sense of people being unable to find good seats/times and turning away… though that assessment is also an indictment of its own

I definitely agree TLM will open in the 72-179 range 😤

Fwiw Monday verticals should be beating the sat vertical for most movies as we enter partial school summer. Gotg will be the exception since first weekdays are heavier

Inshallah

9M short smh (DOM Fri was a bit worse than I was hoping at the time)

Pretty likely imo

👀?

Yes body=still fine it was a body double

Not terrible but hoping that “+” delivers