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ThomasNicole last won the day on February 19 2019

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About ThomasNicole

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  1. People are already scared on Onward release date It just get worse after that, much worse
  2. Onward obvious suffer already on it's OW [not much though, probably could debut with $ 45-50M in normal conditions] But yeah now it's brutal... this could easily get at least $ 180M DOM without this sad situation
  3. If they marketed well when finally get released maybe they can do $ 300M on US, $ 200M on China and $ 350M OS I guess buzz will fade but a good strategy can bring people back... at least now the movie has a shot
  4. I guess some buzz will fade until they release it... but at least Now it could still do around $ 600M I guess BW will also be delayed next month
  5. I still think they will delay They can’t be so dumb right? The tracking is huge, presales are great, reactions are great... they can’t release a movie Now to gross $ 200M if they can move to idk June - July and gross $ 900M
  6. I’m very surprised Early reactions are always good, but the bunch of Mulan reactions i’ve seen is very good
  7. Trailer views are pretty good Especially considering this already have a Teaser, a mini trailer (90 second “special look), and a SuperBowl spot
  8. They’re probably gonna delay just on specific markets, which isn’t a bad strategy. Japan is already delayed, China will probably get a date on May - June when theaters re-open, some European countries should get a delay too.
  9. Maybe $ 43-44M OW with $ 17.5-18M saturday. I’m convinced it will be $ 50-55M in a normal situation, but anyway Strange to see an A- cinemascore, but i think it’s not much about the movie quality. I’ve seen it today, is a pretty good movie, obviously not a Pixar classic, but Way better than their 2011-2015 phase. The thing is, the movie is pretty sad despite the adventures and gags, and i know Pixar always make sad sequences, but this time it has a “sad vibe” all over it. I get the feeling the grown people on my theater enjoy it a lot, but the kids not very much except for some funny parts. PostTrack pools also indicate adults gave it 4.5/5 but kids gave it only 4/5, maybe that explain the A-.
  10. The virus make an impact, to me is obvious. More scared people will not get this exposure right now, or expose their family (which is the biggest target for Onward). I don’t think it will be much higher Without The virus, but probably more close to $ 50M. Now let’s see the legs, an original animation should do at least 3.5x multiplier or more. Curious to see AQP2 and Mulan performances
  11. I knew the BOP prediction are lowballing but i was not expecting the tracking to be so high Presales are very promising anyway, but Yeah, with everything That is happening i doubt we’re gonna see such a gigantic debut
  12. 87% on RT with 120 reviews (7.16 Average) So after all it’s definitely finishing with +80% So yeah, probably a pretty good movie that it’s not one of their best, and at this point we need to accept they didn’t need to always make movies that are among their classics.
  13. I’m expecting around $ 55M (which is Good) But people can’t pretend the virus isn’t already a thing that the movies will have to deal... Deadline make it very clear on their article and seems reasonable
  14. Seems like Onward is picking up, nice Hope Disney keep marketing well this week, $ 55-60M OW seems plausible, with good legs could do $ 200M
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