Okay, based on Deepwang’s detailed presales breakdown for Ultron, CW, Gotg2, Ragnarok, and BP, it seems that around 40% of tickets sold by now might be for opening night, which would be $20M of Thursday sales in the bank one week out. I definitely smell a 40M+ Thursday.
It it looks like TFA also had about 40% of presales on Thursday.
Alright, I think some people in this thread recently have been very confused.
TLJ is currently at #9. Panther+IW pushes it out of 10, to 11. Fallen Kingdom would push it to 12. It is not likely to leave the top 12 until 2019, which is very unlikely to be a “shortest time” record.
What’s the current record?
Also, IW will be what pushes TLJ out of ten and into 11. If it can survive JW:FK it should have a perfectly healthy stay in the top 11.
Seems a little early for that? I mean, I wasn’t paying too much attention to presales for previous presales monsters, but is 15 days before about when they started doing similarly on Fandango?
And most MCU sequels increase a fair bit. Especially with A3 and A4 in between, and the good reception of the first one, it’s pretty hard for me to imagine SMH2 falls unless it is bad (and that is, shall we say, unlikely). Admittedly there is some room for it to just do a GotG->GotG2 Domestic increase and still fall short of Jumanji.
Yeah, those estimates had a wacky low Sunday, I was pretty sure we were getting a less than 25% drop. This does not mean that 700 is looking that great everyone, it still needs to make almost exactly 4x this weekend.
I think if IW has a positive impact on it 700 will happen, but otherwise still heading for the 690s.
Edit: Also good for a top 10 8th weekend, just missing 9th place. First weekend below Jumanji.
Really looks like it’ll pass Deathly Hallows to me with 1.345+. Might pass Hallows slower than Infinity War though, in which case it would never actually be at #8.
Edit: corrected figure
Only need a 2.2 Sunday (44% drop) to pass Sixth Sense and get a 10th best 8th wknd. A good Sunday hold gets it past There’s Something about Mary’s 8.8 for 9th best.
MCU coming for that 5/10 WW top 10 spots. It’ll probably happen next May/June unless JW2 can clear Panther.
Edit: Unlikely to last very long of course, with Lion King, SWIX, Avatar 2, etc.
40M including this weekend, grey ghost said. And that sounds closer to me than 40M after this weekend. Would be a 697 total.
At that point a little under 640 OS passes TLJ (looks good to me) and it only takes about 645 OS to pass DH2 (more dicey).