Cooper Legion
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Posts posted by Cooper Legion
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This Tues-Thursday BP did 50 compared to JW’s 62 (~80.6%). JW made 43 in its second week Mon-Thurs, so if BP can get a similar ratio it would be about 35M, to be at 440 end of Thursday. Then it would only need a 61M weekend (46% drop), which should be super doable, to also pass Jurassic world for fastest to 500.
Of course Jurassic World had summer weekdays, and BP’s first week was a partial holiday week, which it’s 2nd is not.
The best part is that a 69M third weekend is very in play.
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Also this gives a 405 10-day to comfortably surpass JW on the fastest to 400 list.
Making a mere 2x this weekend going forward would be a 631 total to easily pass TLJ and TA (all unadjusted, of course). 700 only requires 2.61.
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This fucking movie. I just can’t believe. Box Office’s Mojo’s 120M prediction ended up being way closer than the “barely 100” predictions. 36.5 Sun is a 113M weekend, is a 36% drop from the pure FSS. Simply unreal, and a very good chance at DOM top 3 now.
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Is Avatar even overrated? I thought everyone just knew it wasn’t that great.
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12 minutes ago, That One Guy said:
The PR cinematic universe with Pacific Rim, Power Rangers, and Peter Rabbit
Should have great Public Relations.
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Just now, Alexiswills12 said:
They can’t be that horrible right?
Otherwise why would people commit to so many films?
You get some pretty good exposure
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RIP Iron Man 3 Worldwide.
Also, MCU DOM totals:
2012 625M
2013 615M
2014 595M
2015 640M
2016 640M
2017 1040M
2018 1300M+
Solid shot to beat a few real studios this year.
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13 minutes ago, Rman823 said:
Forget Six Degrees of Kevin Bacon. The future will be Six Degrees of the MCU.
You need a person to use, so just go with Stan Lee.
But honestly, are you really going to need all 6 degrees? Four Degrees of Stan Lee should be plenty.
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Now we just need a third weekend drop around equal to Spider-Man for a nice 69M 3rd weekend, edging out Avatar for 2nd best again.
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BV has 130 this year from Ragnarok, Coco, and TLJ. Might be able to squeeze 650 out of a Black Panther by the time Infinity War releases. BoxOfficePro currently forecasting 140 total for Wrinkle in Time.
That at all adds up to 920, so they could pass 1 billion domestic on IW Friday, May 4 — beating their own record of 128 days (May 7th) from 2016.
If if you feel truly optimistic about BP legs and Wrinkle in Time, they could even hit 1B off IW previews or earlier.
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What in the Holy &#%!
Beating JW for fastest to 400 is back on the table.
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8 minutes ago, aabattery said:
46M would be a higher number than Thor: Ragnarok's first Saturday.
And Ragnarok had a 32M pure Friday, only about 3M above BP’s second weekend.
If if we do get 46+ here, Black Panther could conceivably edge out Ragnarok’ 108.2 pure FSS.
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Holy crap, I was joking with the 46.9. Even if it ends up a bit below this early estimate with, say, 44, It would be comfortably above the Avengers for 2nd best 2nd Sat, and could beat JW for 2nd best 2nd weekend with a 22% Sunday drop or so.
Also looks pretty hard to miss 100 now— you’d need today to come in well below and/or a pretty weak Sunday drop.
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Oh Mighty @Rth Wakanda, it has now been more than one full rotation of this planet around its axis since you last graced us with your wisdom. Can you now confirm for me Black Panther’s 46.9M Saturday?
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Presumably one of April’s problems is that people don’t want to have their legs crushed by the first May Friday release. But this May shows that a wide variety of scheduling cluster&#@%s for big movies are still possible, so I’m sure April will get there someday soonish.
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6 minutes ago, Telehilation said:
Can we make it at least one weekend without turning things into a franchise pissing contest?
Oh, Tele, Tele, Tele. So experienced, and yet still so innocently hopeful.
No, we cannot. To not have a pissing contest would be an impossible violation of human nature.
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For anyone wondering, that was about 87.5-106
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Updated pessimistic prediction:69+69^.69
Updated optimistic prediction:69+69^.69+69^.69
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RIP dreams of beating JL WW with DOM money alone.
Y’know, unless estimates are way too low.
Like last Friday. And last Saturday. And last Sunday. And last Monday.
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1 minute ago, Porthos said:
Kill it, if you have to.
And consider this a mercy.
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9 minutes ago, KP1025 said:
Jumanji's staying power is incredible. How many other movies were still in over 2,500 theaters in their 10th weekend ? I can only think of Titanic (3,006 theaters) and Avatar (2,581 theaters).
Slumdog Millionaire, 2943. The Sixth Sense, 2784. Frozen, 2754. Chicago, 2701. There’s Something about Mary, 2538.
List should be exhaustive.
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Being slightly pessimistic, my take on this weekend’s numbers: BP~N(105,6)
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BP currently running 108% of TA. If it can keep that up for the weekend it would be just over 111 — enough to dethrone JW and take 2nd place for fastest to 400
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Weekend Actuals (Page 80) | Black Panther 111.7M | Game Night 17M | Peter Rabbit 12.8M | Annihilation 11.1M | Fifty Shades Freed 7.1M | Jumanji 5.7M
in Numbers and Data
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Seems possible. Also would edge out Avatar for 2nd place.