Cooper Legion
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Posts posted by Cooper Legion
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1 hour ago, Barnack said:
To give an idea of the 267 last Avengers sales on fandango, non first weekend sales:
5 that monday
9 that tuesday
2 that wednesday
1 thursday
1 for 2018-05-08
18 totals (maybe some I didn't saw, but probably very little more than that....)
93% of the sales were for the OW.
Wonderful data. Would you be able to see what percent of fandango presales (over a decent period of time) are for Thursday specifically?
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Alright, I think some people in this thread recently have been very confused.
TLJ is currently at #9. Panther+IW pushes it out of 10, to 11. Fallen Kingdom would push it to 12. It is not likely to leave the top 12 until 2019, which is very unlikely to be a “shortest time” record.
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40 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:
That one will be hard to beat it will be like 3 weeks or less.
What’s the current record?
Also, IW will be what pushes TLJ out of ten and into 11. If it can survive JW:FK it should have a perfectly healthy stay in the top 11.
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4 hours ago, Valonqar said:
TLJ just can't catch a break.
Hey, at least it set a new world record — smallest amount of time in the WW top 10
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4 minutes ago, sfran43 said:
Well, that’s a lot better than the grim weekend estimates. Still needs 4.5x this weekend for 700.
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15 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:
So uhmmm... what's this ending on worldwide?
I see it just above .48A. Maybe as high as .485 with a Domestic reexpansion.
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8 minutes ago, commendable said:
IS this getting to 700m or what
Not without a reexpansion.
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Not a great Friday for BP. Going to need some serious juice from IW if it wants to hit 700.
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11 minutes ago, Barnack said:
Last 5 hours of fandango (Avengers is just getting ridiculous):
Seems a little early for that? I mean, I wasn’t paying too much attention to presales for previous presales monsters, but is 15 days before about when they started doing similarly on Fandango?
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33 minutes ago, That Ambitious Guy said:
69
269 is a nice number.
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Lost by literally $300
That 5.1 weekend is quite pessimistic.
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60% week to week drop eh? 3.5M weekend confirmed, don’t want to hear anything about these so called “school schedules.”
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Pretty nice trajectory.
Speaking of nice numbers, there is some possibility it could pull 6.9 next weekend. Probably lower though.
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3 minutes ago, Mojoguy said:
Both Spider-man sequels have decreased from their original movies.And most MCU sequels increase a fair bit. Especially with A3 and A4 in between, and the good reception of the first one, it’s pretty hard for me to imagine SMH2 falls unless it is bad (and that is, shall we say, unlikely). Admittedly there is some room for it to just do a GotG->GotG2 Domestic increase and still fall short of Jumanji.
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Spider-Man 2, MCU Boogaloo has at least a solid shot.
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Wow, can’t miss TLJ now, and 1.35 is looking quite possible.
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7 minutes ago, Mojoguy said:
Jumanji increased $10,000 in the actuals!
Oh yeah!
on Monday, Jumanji finally passing Spider-man DOM, which held the Sony DOM record for 16 years.Jumanji will get to hang on to the record for about 16 months
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22 minutes ago, sfran43 said:
Yeah, those estimates had a wacky low Sunday, I was pretty sure we were getting a less than 25% drop. This does not mean that 700 is looking that great everyone, it still needs to make almost exactly 4x this weekend.
I think if IW has a positive impact on it 700 will happen, but otherwise still heading for the 690s.
Edit: Also good for a top 10 8th weekend, just missing 9th place. First weekend below Jumanji.
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Harrelson: yes
Glover: yes
Emilia Clarke: yes
Chewie: yes
Han? Ehhhhhhh
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Really looks like it’ll pass Deathly Hallows to me with 1.345+. Might pass Hallows slower than Infinity War though, in which case it would never actually be at #8.
Edit: corrected figure
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9 minutes ago, boxofficeth said:
Great Saturday jump for all!!
50 M is still in play for AQP. 8th biggest opener in April.
25 M for RPO.
21M for Blockers.
8M for BP - good for top 13 gross for the 8th wknd
Only need a 2.2 Sunday (44% drop) to pass Sixth Sense and get a 10th best 8th wknd. A good Sunday hold gets it past There’s Something about Mary’s 8.8 for 9th best.
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A Quiet Place doing great, but that’s also a nice Saturday number for BP. 8.8+ for the weekend is very possible with 2.33 Fri and 3.9 Sat.
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9 minutes ago, a2knet said:
BP gonna beat TLJ ww. Was less that 35 away on Thursday.
This weekend will be 7.8 dom + 4.2 os (assuming -45% from 7.7 os last weekend) = 12 (at least, cause my os estimate is conservative).
That leaves it <23 ww away from TLJ after this weekend. Could add that amount with post 8th weekend dom run itself, and os after this weekend should take BP over HP8.
MCU coming for that 5/10 WW top 10 spots. It’ll probably happen next May/June unless JW2 can clear Panther.
Edit: Unlikely to last very long of course, with Lion King, SWIX, Avatar 2, etc.
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40M including this weekend, grey ghost said. And that sounds closer to me than 40M after this weekend. Would be a 697 total.
At that point a little under 640 OS passes TLJ (looks good to me) and it only takes about 645 OS to pass DH2 (more dicey).
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
in Numbers and Data
Posted · Edited by Sliver Legion
Okay, based on Deepwang’s detailed presales breakdown for Ultron, CW, Gotg2, Ragnarok, and BP, it seems that around 40% of tickets sold by now might be for opening night, which would be $20M of Thursday sales in the bank one week out. I definitely smell a 40M+ Thursday.
It it looks like TFA also had about 40% of presales on Thursday.