Joyous Legion
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Everything posted by Joyous Legion
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It was crazy savaged by Batman previews anti then rebounded somewhat for the FSS. But yeah, good hold seems to be in store.
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Break should be for mon-fri though, not starting on Th for some reason. I suspect there may be some minor holidays at play, regional kind of stuff? It does seem to mute the fri bumps so I’d watch out for that. Fri/wed may be more reliable.
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Looking back it seems like increases are typical for Th mar 10, no idea why though: https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office-chart/daily/2011/03/10
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Repping a lot of maxes this wknd, LFG
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Wow, not even 4. What a fake fan.
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69 total hours (calling @aabattery) if you assume once Tues and Wed+twice on previews, then 57 hours in 7days = 8/day. Does seem difficult to reconcile with being employed or otherwise having a life.
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Didn’t know about this until I got the trailer before Batman. Actually looks pretty appealing.
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Well well, pretty nice. That moves me from like 57 to 61.5ish
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Joyous Legion replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Still March some places OS so that would create a huge gap. -
If you want a narrower one check out page 5
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The BOM change destroyed the site. The-numbers change is a little disorienting at first but basically neutral. Bat wed even closer to what I though, uncharted NWH exactly what I expected.
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Disney+ MCU: Moon Knight
Joyous Legion replied to Eric is Quiet's topic in Streaming, TV Series, & VOD Movies
In 2021 my top MCU product was the first show of the year. Starting to suspect a repeat for 2022. -
Toku basic nailed it, though I would also say that the weekdays look good for it assuming wed and th ~flat from mon. I know some smart people who think it could go higher than 4.6 👀 BOP is at just 4M, so 🤞 Though fwiw over 12 weeks, NWH actuals have been 10% higher than BOP’s forecast on avg, which would give 4.4
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Just noticed that Batman got a 33rd place OW, and my projections for 2nd, 3rd, and 4th are also very close to 33rd rank.
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Nope. Presales tracking for 2nd weekends is very rare, I think we had a little bit for NWH and Endgame but that’s pretty much it. Generally all weekends after OW people make forecasts based on past days and historical comps, including info like demos, calendar, etc
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Wed/Mon: ~ -22.5% Joker -1% (!) Logan -21.5% CM -22% Various other comps I’ve seen ineligible because of pres/labor/Easter.
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Yeah I think you’re right. Here’s the thread if anyone wants to go diving for contemporaneous explanations 😛
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Glad I got the forecast in before the wed. My forecast was from 8.5. FWIW, 1st Th’s: Joker -14% (vs 2.85M in previews) Logan -13% (vs 3.7M in previews) Deadpool -7% (vs 1.25M in previews) SC -15% (vs no previews) CM +8% (???? (must have been a moviepass Th after nonmoviepass wed I guess))
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Not quite sure where to put this. I guess here is as good a place as any since the weekend thread doesn’t exist, maybe I’ll cross post there when it does. Legion Weekend Forecast Batman 55-63M (59M) Uncharted 8.15M Dog 5.25M NWH 4.6M Nile 2.3M Sing 1.5M Jackass 1.15M Cyrano 510k Scream 500k Marry Me 330k Couple of these are higher than I had last week, LOL
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Such a fun idea that I am willing to sacrifice the 200M open for the cause.
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For all we know this has some unexpected connection to DS2 and the trailer won’t come out until May. It’s not like that would hurt the movie any.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Joyous Legion replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Man I loved rl1628142187, but the franchise really started to run out of steam by the time they did rl1628144892. And with the disastrous performance of rl1628145152, I just don’t see much potential here. -
You wanna make 2 billies it’s gotta be The Batmen
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Man I thought that said Atlantis at first and it was some kind of PR joke.
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155M DOM total when WB pulls it out of embarrassment
