Joyous Legion
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Everything posted by Joyous Legion
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Well, that is a mathematical fact I will not dispute. But it seems like you’re trying to imply something from it which does not actually follow.
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Guys, you learn nothing from comparing 2022 openings to the 2020-2021 stuff. They were a combination of severely impacted and low wattage. I am not going to be gentle with DS2 if it misses 160 — it is okay to treat movies with real expectations instead of kid gloves
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I mean let’s wait for fri here. It’s not going to be full on disaster but missing 140 with this atp is mid at best considering the franchise ow history.
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Decent midrange number for the Batman. Anyone who says that people saying so doesn’t know box office: A) doesn’t know box office B ) is being unnecessarily condescending which is not a good look to pair with being wrong on the initial claim 😬
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It’s not like this is ambiguous either, the posts are all right there if you want to read what people thought as final predictions instead of referencing what you imagined they thought 😂
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Holy fuck man. For real this is infuriatingly ignorant and misleading. The actual forecast were low 20s. It’s low 20s. It was extremely on point and now you’re trying to spin it as a miss because you had misunderstanding of what was predicted (or are deliberately referencing the lowest possible nums thrown around to make it look better for Batman)??? Just stop.
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Deadline updated to 4+17.6 fwiw
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No. no no no no no please actually read tracking posts if you’re going to comment on their accuracy, JFC
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Joyous Legion replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Interestingly the non atp true th was closest. More mtc1 heavy than NWH even removing the early stuff, mostly expected nothing too extreme. -
Like 17.5-18 true probably, Wednesday was near tues.
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So quite as expected.
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Aladdin is counting the two wknds limited I think, that looks like the 10th wide wknd. 12th wide was pres, where the only figure I can find is a 6.7M 4day, but probably corresponds to a 5Mish 3day so still above Busters. NWH needs a 19.3% drop for Busters.
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Indonesia Box Office 2024 - thanks for updating
Joyous Legion replied to newbie BO buff's topic in International Box Office
Atp will now be fixed at $1 USD in all territories for convenience -
Ah yes, “intuition.” If you want people to take that seriously (as a force which consistently outperforms more analytic approaches, rather than sometimes beating them for purely stochastic reasons) then I guess you could always go and drub people in the derby
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👀👀 Hey @Tokugennumataka, what do you have for top 12th weekends?
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Crossposting. NWH was barely touched. Combined with the amazing vertical from wed and I think a 30% drop or better is likely.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
Joyous Legion replied to Cap's topic in Numbers and Data
Wombo combo -
Finally back, in my rightful place… as NWH max
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Derby Data: https://derby.boxofficetheory.com/AllPredictions.aspx
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Cannot believe you would make such outlandish statements in a 100% serious manner like this, but I just don’t see any other possible interpretation.
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Indonesia Box Office 2024 - thanks for updating
Joyous Legion replied to newbie BO buff's topic in International Box Office
Did they just report admits as gross -
We’ll have to see just what these walkup hype posts amount to when the preview number hits. It’s not impossible, doesn’t seem very likely to me atm. Not much has happened since last night 😛
