Joyous Legion
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Posts posted by Joyous Legion
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Just now, Selma said:
Can it pass Oppenheimer os number (646 million ) ?
Pass it by 30%+
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51 minutes ago, Flip said:
I’m saying that the 140m weekend number cited by Charlie includes the 5-day OW happening this weekend and the FSS of the holdovers, but not Wednesday and Thursday of the holdovers
And I’m saying it probably includes the sun cume for new markets, 2day for 2day holdover markets (not sure any of these are left after Japan switch though?), 3day for 3day holdover markets, 4day for 4day holdover markets, and 5day for 5day holdover markets. Just like reported wknd fig
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30 minutes ago, Sindreee said:
Always found this opinion to be fascinating. Disney has more or less done this forever, the direct to DVD boom in the 90’s when all their greatest hits got sequels.
And their recent money making live action remakes have more or less proved that their brand wasn’t ruined because of it, even though most of the direct to dvd movies were horrible.
Just make good quality shows and it won’t diminish anything from the brand imo.
In order to really hurt a brand, sowmthign has to be:
clearly bad
widely watched by adults
clearly canonical
For animated property tie-in/spinoff stuff it’s not so easy to hit both of the first two at once and even if you do can inject some doubt about 3 as needed
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27 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:
Inside Out 2 MTC1 Juneteenth - 487410/1264673 7486221.13 7366 shows +330279
Another insane day of walkups. By my comps this should be close to 32m for the day !!! But its likely that MTC1 over indexed on Juneteenth.
Nice, I had it penciled for 500k from the ps
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18 minutes ago, Flip said:
Only for opening markets right it would include Wednesday and Thursday?
No, for openings markets it will be Sun cume of course but lots of markets have 4 or 5day weekends regularly. E.g. SK is WThFSS OW, fss after but France is WThFSS for all weekends
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45 minutes ago, Flip said:
For that to work out Wed + thurs would have to be 21m combined. Just in holdover markets alone it will surely exceed that.
Weekend includes some wed th gross, fss be lower
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14 hours ago, Legion Again said:
I would think low 30s should be possible
14 hours ago, Legion Again said:Following Dory wed/mon IO2 would be about 20.7, so with a 40-60% boost would be 29-33
Well I can’t very well act shocked with 32.5 after making these comments yesterday 😛
Let’s see how strong it plays at night
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3 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:
I dont know if any number today would be a surprise 🙂 what is the threshold which deserves this meme
33+
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Another 24k start, all set for ~ flat th-to-th. Sun cume should be 4-4.2ish probably
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4 minutes ago, Insomnia said:
That Wednesday was opening day for DM2 was it not?
Hmm looks like. For some reason numbers has it down as a D2
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Top 10 non-opening Wed:
6 Dec 23, 2015 Star Wars Ep. VII: The Force Awakens $38,022,183 4,134 $9,197 $363,460,329 6 8 Jul 3, 2013 Despicable Me 2 $35,010,665 3,956 $8,850 $35,010,665 2 10 Dec 25, 2019 Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker $32,165,681 4,406 $7,300 $259,209,866 6 12 Jul 4, 2007 Transformers $29,073,898 4,011 $7,249 $65,725,939 2 14 Dec 30, 2015 Star Wars Ep. VII: The Force Awakens $28,085,057 4,134 $6,794 $629,034,583 13 15 Dec 22, 2021 Spider-Man: No Way Home $27,846,311 4,336 $6,422 $356,531,855 6 16 Jul 3, 2019 Spider-Man: Far From Home $27,508,094 4,634 $5,936 $66,763,722 2 19 May 1, 2019 Avengers: Endgame $25,251,991 4,662 $5,417 $452,351,786 6 22 Nov 27, 2019 Frozen II $24,080,546 4,440 $5,424 $187,906,890 6 23 Jul 4, 2012 The Amazing Spider-Man $23,335,925 4,318 $5,404 $59,202,809 3
SW/Spider-man/2019 in da house
AEG and F2 only ones outside Xmas/july 4th
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Here’s last Juneteenth (Mon):
1 (1) The Flash Warner Bros. $6,160,801 -60% 4,234 $1,455 $61,204,480 4 2 (2) Spider-Man: Across the Sp… Sony Pictures $6,101,912 -31% -10% 3,873 $1,576 $285,686,032 18 3 (3) Elemental Walt Disney $5,304,256 -34% 4,035 $1,315 $34,906,685 4 4 (4) Transformers: Rise of the… Paramount Pi… $3,321,458 -58% -36% 3,680 $903 $104,630,240 11 5 (5) The Little Mermaid Walt Disney $2,705,927 -6% -14% 3,480 $778 $255,716,600 25 6 (-) The Blackening Lionsgate $1,177,967 -26% 1,775 $664 $7,191,098 4 - (6) Guardians of the Galaxy V… Walt Disney $1,012,324 -54% +10% 2,260 $448 $345,660,056 46 - (-) The Boogeyman 20th Century… $767,270 -26% -24% 2,140 $359 $33,380,097 18 Spiderverse is roughly +50% from what would be expected on a normal Monday (looking at the rest of the week’s weekdays). Flash ~+60%, ele ~+50%, Transformers +50, TLm +40%, Gotg +60
The earlier year it was Father’s Sun, so even harder to read.
1 (1) Jurassic World: Dominion Universal $21,081,560 -5% -45% 4,697 $4,488 $250,286,865 10 2 (3) Top Gun: Maverick Paramount Pi… $17,711,506 +12% +1% 4,035 $4,389 $466,822,620 24 3 (2) Lightyear Walt Disney $13,776,341 -14% 4,255 $3,238 $50,577,961 3 4 (4) Doctor Strange in the Mul… Walt Disney $1,602,729 -3% -5% 2,465 $650 $405,333,340 45 5 (5) The Bob’s Burgers Movie 20th Century… $374,769 -17% -53% 1,350 $278 $29,835,670 24 6 (7) Everything Everywhere All… A24 $323,455 -10% -27% 679 $476 $64,902,714 87 Impact is more subdued here since it was already a nonworkday.
Following Dory wed/mon IO2 would be about 20.7, so with a 40-60% boost would be 29-33 — that said the Monday placement is more convenient for functioning as an extended weekend, so maybe boost will be muted here at more like 25-30% for 26-27ish
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We don’t really have much to go off in terms of Juneteenth effect since the last two were Mon, Sun, and before that it wasn’t as much of a major holiday (still medium rather than major major). That said, based on this
30 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:I would think low 30s should be possible. Holiday walk ups can be wonky/weak though, mid-high 20s is probably the safer expectation
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Something like 80 ->50 would be perfectly solid holds and give AQP a shot to top the wknd
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Nice little PS increase to 24k, day may be flat
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6 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:
10M or bust.
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Tues PS are normalish, +10 from Mon, day should be down 0-5% or so. Egg has inched back up to a superb 98 and I agree that overall PS are pointing to an excellent drop incoming
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Sacto T-46: 4743
T-39: 5133 (+390/8.2%)
Projecting from the bottom of the U can be tricky, but I would guess that it might come into T-14 with around 7400, which would give the following t-14 comps:
MOM 25.6M
TLT 32.8M
BP2 29.2M
Those would all likely continue to rise, especially if reception is medium-good, but frankly this had a weak start in Sacto and continues to be weak in Sacto (Relative to DPW in most other samples, not to like gotg or atsv or whatever in Sacto )
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x13700 IM, impressive
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Looks like cgv will finish 68-70ish vs 66 th, modest increase but still a great sign.
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Just wait for Av3 admits in us
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11 minutes ago, Flopped said:
Did Sunday underperform? I would have expected #s by now telling us it actually hit 160 or something.
The crumbling continues not even gonna hit 12x IM 😔
Weekday Numbers [Jun 17-20, 2024] | Thursday | 19.63M INSIDE OUT II | 2.85M BAD BOYS: RIDE OR DIE
in Numbers and Data
Posted
Getting some very overheated projections because of the midweek holiday imo. Coming in at like 79 would be a good hold!