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Joyous Legion

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Posts posted by Joyous Legion

    Weekend Thread (6/21-23)

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    1 hour ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

    Not sure about 700M DOM but as this moment it does seem likely to surpass Barbie DOM. Would that make it the #3 move DOM after NWH and AtWoW post Covid?

    Gotta pass avatar to make top 3 (nwh TGM) but looks like a solid shot 

    Weekend Thread (6/21-23)

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    2 hours ago, XXR & Friends said:

     

    I would wait and see what kind of damage DM4 does before making that definitive. 

    We have definitely discussed it and it's definitely possible, no reason to wait on either point. If they'd asked will it happen that would be a different story ;)

    South Korea Box Office

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    23 hours ago, Joyous Legion said:

    Yeah Sat start of 151k vs 176k last week. For now penciling ~650k for the day (-17% vs -11% on Fri) 

    Unfortunately had this one pretty clocked, in at 659 (so far things have been moving very little from initial reports)

    Weekend Thread (6/21-23)

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted · Edited by Legion Again

    2 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

    Kind of wild 3rd week will still be around 25% higher than TGM.

    TGM 4th week 69M thanks to father’s/teenth, that will be the killer. May be able to bank 95-100M lead by end of week 3 though 

    • Like 1

    Weekend Thread (6/21-23)

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted · Edited by Legion Again

    For @charlie Jatinder, ranked 2nd and 3rd weeks. This is from movies with 500+ total DOM only to avoid having to comb too many small Dec movies, but if anyone wants to add any that would make the top 10 (cutoffs 148M/81M) feel free to respond and I’ll add them in.

     

    2nd Weeks

    Spoiler

    TFA 261M

    AEG 186.5M 

    NWH 171.7M

    TLJ 168.1M

    Av2 160.4M

    IO2 (est) ~160M

    RO 153.4M

    JW 149.6M

    Barb 148M

    IW 147.7M // top 10

    Av1 146.5M

    BP 143.5M

    TGM 137.7M

    TA 132M

    TROS 127.3M

    SMB 126.2M*

    I2 124.7M

    BatB 119.3M

    TLK 117.4M

    TDK 112.5M

    Titanic 71.2M

    3rd Weeks

    Spoiler

    TFA 118.4M

    Av2 113.7M

    IO2 (est) 100M

    Av1 97M

    Barb 86.2M

    BP 85.5M

    TLJ 84.3M

    JW 81.5M

    I2 81.2M

    AEG 81M // top 10

    IW 80.3M

    RO 79.9M

    TGM 78.8M

    NWH 78.2M

    SMB 77.7M*

    TA 74.7M

    TDK 64.4M

    TLK 60.5M

    BatB 59.4M

    TROS 46M

    Titanic 45M

    * SMB is the only non Fri opener, weeks reflect D8-14 and D15-21 respectively. Please use same method for any suggested adds

    • Like 5

    Weekend Thread (6/21-23)

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted · Edited by Legion Again

    The I1 to I2 admit bump would take it to ~745M so still not quite that crazy

     

    Movie Adjusted ow -> adjusted DOM:

    I1 126-> 467.5

    I2 223 -> 743 (+77% -> +59%)

    IO1 119-> 469

    IO2 154 -> ? (+29.5% -> +?%)

     

    I guess tbf CS was flat from I1 to I2 so flat from IO1 -> IO2 no issue — 745 or flop  @charlie Jatinder 😤

    • Like 2

    Weekend Thread (6/21-23)

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    Fri/Th: similar to elemental

    Fri/juneteenth: similar to elemental

    2nd wknd/first true fss: actually a better drop than elemental

     

    Insanity. So far run is indistinguishable from if had got the + (which would send to 700-750ish)

    • Like 1
    • Heart 1

    Weekend Thread (6/21-23)

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    22 minutes ago, Selma said:

    It is gonna beat Mario and becomes the 2nd  highest grossing animated movie After Frozen isnt it ?

    It’s probably going to be the biggest animated movie of all time, DOM and WW (nominal)

    Weekend Thread (6/21-23)

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted · Edited by Legion Again

    3 hours ago, Insomnia said:

    I just realized we didn't see Rth this weekend. Where did he go? When I was still lurking I remember he would make an appearance every big weekend.

    Tbf while IO2 overperformed expectations massively and is going to have a stellar DOM finish and even more monstrous os… the DOM ow wasn’t truly BIG big. Like 25th nominal and 60th adjusted, unlike say I2 was 8th nominal and 14th adjusted.   
     

    The OS debuts were actual behemoth level in some markets but that can be a bit more hit or miss in terms of attracting Rth

    • Like 1

    Weekday Numbers [Jun 17-20, 2024] | Thursday | 19.63M INSIDE OUT II | 2.85M BAD BOYS: RIDE OR DIE

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    17 minutes ago, stripe said:


    It would be a good hold, of course. In fact, anything under 50% drop is very very good, but why not dream with a 40-45% drop?
    The movie is well loved and already has great WOM. 

    it has a strong interest from a very diverse audience

    it faces zero competition
    and we are headed into the healthiest BO days of Summer

    79 would be good relative to other June Pixar sequels with great WOM. There is nothing in particular in first 6 days of data that points to higher be it in daily behavior or reception metrics. I think there’s room to go a bit higher based on vibes but some of the numbers being thrown around are kind of detached from reality and seem likely to bring nothing bit disappointment 🤷‍♂️ 

    • Like 5
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