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Joyous Legion

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Posts posted by Joyous Legion

  1. 15 minutes ago, Potiki said:

    I do think streaming (in terms of capturing a very large post theatrical audience) could allow for growth of sequels even if they are not as watched in theatres but can't be sure without something like an Encanto 2 or Elemental 2 to give that validation. 

    Yeah not an unreasonable hope I guess. Very well legged and received middling gross originals (like elemental and encanto) have more potential there

    • Like 1
  2. 2 hours ago, Darth Lehnsherr said:

    If originals continue to make Elemental numbers and the sequels continue to be hits (ok maybe not as big as this one will be) then Pixar should be fine. WDAS is in more trouble I think despite getting theatrical preference over Pixar.

    Frankly speaking elemental numbers aren’t really fine for originals. The legs saved some face there but 14M tickets is not where it’s at the way Pixar budgets these things. Need to be getting more like 200-350 from originals in order to then lean on their sequels to be big hits, otherwise you’re stuck with the same old stuff for sequels

    • Like 2
  3. 21 hours ago, Legion Again said:

    Top 10 animated openings DOM:

    I2 183M

    SMB 146M

    Dory 135M

    F2 130M

    Shrek 3 122M

    TS4 121M 

    AtSV 121M

    Minions 115M

    TS3 110M

    Shrek 2 108M   
     

    would guess 8th for now but 5th possible with some luck

     

    WW:

    SMB 376M

    F2 358M

    TS4 245M

    Minions 2 241M 

    I2 236M

    Ice Age:Dawn 218M

    AtSV 209M

    Dory 186M

    Simpsons 171M

    Jiang Ziya 152M

     

    I think 6th is pretty likely

     

      Reveal hidden contents

     

    2nd and 3rd

    19 hours ago, Legion Again said:

    Had some time to kill so here’s adjusted too I guess:

    I2 223M

    Shrek 3 198M

    Shrek 2 193M

    Dory 173M

    F2 158M

    TS3 155M

    Minions 152.5M

    SMB 150M

    TS4 147M

    SLOP 134M //10th

    Nemo 129M

    Incredibles 126M

    TS2 126M

    M. inc. 123M

    Simpsons 119.5M

    IO1 119M

    3rd or 4th

  4. 2 minutes ago, pepsa said:

    After what we have seen that past days I am very confident in the walkups, they should be fine. I think the CGV ratio is the biggest variance factor, if we get a good and normaly expected CGV ratio it might get close to that 800k or atleast high 700k.

    Currently I have penciled 325k cgv finish, but using formula from before we got 00:20 would take it to 340k/765ish. Difficult to see much above that for me for now 

  5. 5 minutes ago, Flip said:

    Not sure if TLK counts as an animated movie (technically it probably is). If both Sunday and Saturday come in around 745k, then it won't matter whether it's animated or live action

    I don’t personally count TLK as animated, but this would need like 850+850 to top it right? Seems unlikely 

     

    Spoiler

    Although frankly there are some arguments that my 700-750 call is a bit cautious, I would be surprised to pass 800

     

    • Like 1
  6. It's not the NWH thread but weekend threads can get a bit shooting the shit about random stuff while we wait for a real number to come in, so:   

    Yeah as a purely factual objective matter NWH was extremely well received 

     

    The nostalgia of villains+T&A largely carried that, the actual plot was pretty painfully stupid and that's not exactly revisionism plenty of people were saying as much at the time

    • Like 5
  7. So 575ish cume. If SS can come around 5x Fri then 5day of 1.75+ possible. Score ~match IO1 which added 4.2 after 750k 4day. Think it's reasonable to match post ow here for 1.8+4.2=6ish. Possibly higher if holds very nicely but won't ask for it for now

    • Like 2
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