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Joyous Legion

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    INSIDE OUT 2 WEEKEND THREAD | 155M DOM, 140M OS | Summer is back, Disney saves the day! | 😂😢😡🤢😱😰😒🥱😳

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    Top 10 animated openings DOM:

    I2 183M

    SMB 146M

    Dory 135M

    F2 130M

    Shrek 3 122M

    TS4 121M 

    AtSV 121M

    Minions 115M

    TS3 110M

    Shrek 2 108M   
     

    would guess 8th for now but 5th possible with some luck

     

    WW:

    SMB 376M

    F2 358M

    TS4 245M

    Minions 2 241M 

    I2 236M

    Ice Age:Dawn 218M

    AtSV 209M

    Dory 186M

    Simpsons 171M

    Jiang Ziya 152M

     

    I think 6th is pretty likely

     

    Spoiler

    Tbf I should mention that it will be way weaker in admits, but hey, making records easier to celebrate is whole point of nominal so let’s take advantage a bit here for morale 😛 

     

    • Like 2

    South Korea Box Office

    in International Box Office

    Posted · Edited by Legion Again

    On 12/13/2022 at 7:46 AM, Legion Again said:

    Some links for those new to market (or casual followers (or rusty)):

    hourly CGV sales for current day are here — https://m.cgv.co.kr/WebAPP/MovieV4/movieList.aspx?iPage=1&Seq=86072&mtype=now&morder=TicketRate&mnowflag=0 (updates ~XX20-XX25)

    EOD all market figures posted here — https://www.kobis.or.kr/kobis/business/stat/boxs/findDailyBoxOfficeList.do (updates 0000 but adjusts upward slightly as counts finalize with most of movement by 0100 or so)

    sheet with historical comparisons, some stats of interest, and (often) hourly/daily projections here — https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1mpf92NunqhPZOQkYsA3479cMmcBW80Dn0cK8HjlN0v8/edit (updates whenever relevant people are conscious and get around to it)

     

    Will keep sheet access among small pool for now but feel free to note any relevant values that don’t seem to be getting updated in the thread or in your own records and we can patch them in. If anyone shows a particular passion you can probably get access pretty fast if you want it.

    Perhaps we could get this pinned or something  though it’s not like it’s hard for me to find again via search 😛 

    • Heart 5
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    South Korea Box Office

    in International Box Office

    Posted · Edited by Legion Again

    Does anyone know how egg is rounded? I think it’s at 1054/1069=98.597, so pretty far from dropping to 97 (unless it does so at 97.99)

     

    Edit: now 1174/1189=98.74. Clearly they round down instead of nearest but still much closer to 99 than 97 for now. Let’s see more by mid Sunday-ish how things have settled down but conditions are here to make a run for Elemental+ if things break well.

    • Like 2

    Inside Out 2 | June 14, 2024 | Pixar does it again!

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted

    26 minutes ago, AniNate said:

     

    Maximum reliability at the time. I think it is reasonable to "excuse" people for not knowing the future. There was little to actually suggest a $100-110 million weekend for awhile beyond the precedent of the original movie's ticket sales nine years ago, and that has hardly been a reliable barometer for sequels in the post-Covid era.

     

     

    Sure, I think it’s fair to say that 90s wasn’t an unreasonable prediction given info at the time.  Was on 90s for quite a while. I just wanted to be clear that the ultimate goal at the end of the day is actually predicting what it will open to since it seemed like there was some sentiment to the contrary. Perhaps I misunderstood 

    Inside Out 2 | June 14, 2024 | Pixar does it again!

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted

    1 hour ago, AniNate said:

    No it is not

    Yes, it is. 

     

    1 hour ago, AniNate said:

    Every movie has a unique presale pattern and the best people can do is compare it to prior movies.

    Sure, true — compare it in an attempt to forecast what the ow will ultimately be!

    1 hour ago, AniNate said:

    Part of the fun is the ebbs and flows of the final leg of the movie's marketing campaign. It would be dreadfully boring if tracking was dead on accurate for every movie more than a month before it actually came out

    Sure, true. It would be boring for spectators if forecast were more reliable. But that doesn’t mean the goal from the forecasting side isn’t being maximally reliable. 
     

     

    • Like 2

    Inside Out 2 | June 14, 2024 | Pixar does it again!

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted

    On 6/9/2024 at 6:31 PM, AniNate said:

    If you don't have the sales yet to say with confidence that the movie will open to $100 mil then you shouldn't say that. Tracking is not intended to be a final prediction, it can get better or worse as you get closer to release.

     

     

    Tracking is literally intended to be a prediction of the final ow. That it’s not the final prediction of the eventual ow doesn’t excuse misses

     

    That said we’ve known industry tracking is a joke for all 6+ years I’ve been here so not really sure why it keeps getting discussed 😆

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