[The Marvels | November 10, 2023 | Abandon All Hope Ye Who Enter]

Just now, Maggie said:

I agree somewhat, but don't expect it to beat Barbie domestic.

We will see

[Weekend Thread | July 7-9 | Weekend Estimates on Page 32]

2 minutes ago, rebelscum86 said:

Who mods the moderators?

The author of the first pinned post in this thread telling everybody not to discuss this aspect of the movie either way.

[The Marvels | November 10, 2023 | Abandon All Hope Ye Who Enter]

2 minutes ago, Maggie said:

That had insane hype as the first cbm aimed at females and it delievered a great movie

CM1 also did great for itself as the 2nd CBM aimed at females. Something tells me that a 3rd big theatrical release CBM aimed more at females in 6 years isn’t exactly saturating an underserved part of the market.   
 

Certainly the movie being good vs bad vs great is also a very important factor.

[Weekend Thread | July 7-9 | Weekend Estimates on Page 32]

Just now, Eric Bunny said:

Pretty sure Paddington likes to collect Transformers toys in his spare time. That seems like a silly quirk of his.

Collecting transformers and repelling Russia invasions, two excellent pastimes

[Weekend Thread | July 7-9 | Weekend Estimates on Page 32]

14 minutes ago, SchumacherFTW said:

Why does everything always become a battle on the Internet? 🤣

Peace… is boring   
 

Spoiler

Of course sometimes boring ain’t so bad 🥸

 

[Weekend Thread | July 7-9 | Weekend Estimates on Page 32]

32 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

Transformers set to break ATG Record of "Avengers: Endgame" in Peru! Already the 2nd Highest Grossing Film of the country ~ passing "The Lion King"

Uhhh… is there hyperinflation? I guess RotB has some action in Peru so maybe just some huge local boost factor 😳

[The Marvels | November 10, 2023 | Abandon All Hope Ye Who Enter]

Seem to recall a lil CBM in June 2017 doing alright for itself with a female audience

[Weekend Thread | July 7-9 | Weekend Estimates on Page 32]

37 minutes ago, Maggie said:

yeah, people keeps saying not to worry because MI movie have legs, but the previous MIs had no competition and legged their way through August. This time it's facing a juggernaut in barbenheimer, which will play through August too

Yeah the previous two basically were the last big movie of the summer, and this is taking it on the jaw on day 10 (exactly why they went for the few extra days of space). Not saying it won’t leg well overall but won’t have the same shape by a long shot.

[Weekend Thread | July 7-9 | Weekend Estimates on Page 32]

24 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

 

So like the runs of Rogue Nation and Fallout 😄

Fallout had a famously good 2nd weekend hold, so not like that no

[South Korea Box Office]

19 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

 

A mere 14.8%  but if it makes you feel better Sunday did 21%+ over last Sunday.

Thinking weekend will settle around 16.4, so I’m just going to blame the MI sneaks which I was unaware of at the time  

[Weekend Thread | July 7-9 | Weekend Estimates on Page 32]

6 minutes ago, Cap said:

Considering how close they are WW (251.9 to 247.9) I wonder when/if Elemental will pull ahead?

Elemental has more territories left so should definitely finish ahead, for now it’s doing better OS but weaker DOM, guess it will be more behind on 16 and pull ahead by 23rdish?

[Weekend Thread | July 7-9 | Weekend Estimates on Page 32]

7 minutes ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

Best I can find is Valentine's Day and Hulk getting there in 6 weekends, so Flash has a great chance to beat that

Closest I can find after a little poking is Watchmen at 1.074M 5th

[South Korea Box Office]

MI7 perhaps only under 100k presales for Tuesday forward, more sneaks than I had realized are screwing with the presales ramp up trajectory. We’ll see what we see bit I agree with Pepsi that OD/OW now looking smaller and impact on elemental should be somewhat muted but the manner of rollout.

[South Korea Box Office]

Going to guess 80k for mon but streak could very well die

[Weekend Thread | July 7-9 | Weekend Estimates on Page 32]

16 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said:

I did actually find one a little better looking into it Feb 2009, Madea Goes to Jail's 2nd weekend at #1 - June The Hangover's opening weekend is 15 weekends of different #1s.

Suddenly extremely invested in  a Haunted mansion breakout cause we could  clear 20 at that point

[Weekend Thread | July 7-9 | Weekend Estimates on Page 32]

4 minutes ago, M37 said:

Who had Flash's 4th weekend below Asteroid City a month ago? (and that was limited in first weekend!)

 

Wonder what the speed records are for 50M+ OW to <1M weekend cause I assume flash can do it in 5

[South Korea Box Office]

Did miss my 20% increase though 😒

[South Korea Box Office]

2 minutes ago, IronJimbo &amp; Sheldon&#x27;s Son said:

Praying it trickles up by another 111 admissions in the next few hours because being that close to 800k is annoying lol

Already over 800k on KOBIS reporting, kobiz tends to be a sliver behind 😘

[South Korea Box Office]

23 minutes ago, XXR Electric Touch said:

 

 

Good to know, good to know. In that case, it needs 7,258,679 admits to move into the top 20 foreign films all-time. How about that for a target? 

 

On 7/7/2023 at 3:47 PM, LegionGPT said:

I would think this start should be good for 360-400k sat, 3.5M Sun cume off 1.25 wk.

 

Aladdin had a 1.425 4th wk (jun 10-16) added ~7.4M (5.2x). A 940k 8th wk (Jul 8-14) and added ~2.6M (2.75x). I would guess Elemental adds ~3.2-4x the wk for ~7.5-8.5. May be just 7M if hit hard by MI but should be room for 2 to share the market fine.

Came in more like 3.41 cume off 1.16M wk so 3.2-4x add would get us 7.1-8.05

[Weekend Thread | July 7-9 | Weekend Estimates on Page 32]

4 minutes ago, M37 said:

Early numbers suggest we’re going to get Sat bumps in line with 6/24 weekend. That would be +30% for ATSV and Elemental, like $3.75 and $3.0 respectively 

Pretty much what the calendar match suggests as well (though last sun was better than 2017 so wknd/wknd drops will appear harsher):

https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office-chart/daily/2017/06/24

https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office-chart/daily/2017/07/08

[Weekend Thread | July 7-9 | Weekend Estimates on Page 32]

5 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said:

I remember in 2011 there was a new #1 every week from the start of the year until Hop in April. I think that's the record for that particular stat.

Nicely remembered. Looks like 13 wknds in 2011 and 1 in 2010 (Focker’s 2nd) for a total of 14

[Weekend Thread | July 7-9 | Weekend Estimates on Page 32]

Please have sympathy for Paramount’s wholenumberphobia

[South Korea Box Office]

3 minutes ago, XXR Electric Touch said:

Elemental needs 5,064,797 admits to be the highest non-Frozen, foreign animated film. Does it get there?

Blowing past 6M easily

[South Korea Box Office]

Presumably yday will be the highest day of run but here’s hoping something crazy 😁

[Weekend Thread | July 7-9 | Weekend Estimates on Page 32]

From May 12 - Jul 21 we won’t have any back to back wknd winners, I wonder how strong a streak that is historically (that’s 11 weeks — could even go all the way to like, October, but I’m expecting Barbie 2nd wknd will top Mansion for now).