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Legion Again

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Everything posted by Legion Again

  1. Legion Again
    Strong num for jjk. Top 9 should be: Dumbledore Sonic Lost City EeAAO Stu Ambulance Morbius Batman Uncharted JJK is probably favored to round out the top 10 if you don't mind the reporting. Otherwise there's NWH, getting pretty small.
  2. Legion Again
    Sonic confirmed over F9 and eternals. Top 6 post pandemic after NWH, bats, V2, BW, SC
  3. Legion Again
    Tbf @SchumacherFTW, calling this series fan fiction was way out of line. I’m read so much HP fan fiction that was better than CoG
  4. Legion Again
    Batman about 27% ahead in tickets vs 55% ahead in preview adjusting for Ontario. Some of diff comes in earlier showtime -> earlier final count.
  5. Legion Again
    Holy shiiiiiiiit it missed £6M. Fookin incredible @charlie Jatinder
  6. Legion Again
    Ah, I see that Batman has finally dipped below 50% of the overall market since release as of this Sun! That’s 37 days on the dot, tying Endgame for 2nd place. NWH +Batman ran for 114 straight days of a single-movie-dominated market, far and away the largest such stretch. But it will soon come to a close, as Sonic only has maybe 8 days of juice and Dumbledore will have 0. Since dec 17 through apr 7, CBMs are at 1.2B vs rest of market 950M. May be touch and go to see whether the streak lasts until DS2 can resuscitate it.
  7. Legion Again
    The trailer angst in this thread has been absolutely delicious, but unfortunately I expect it will come to an end within 30 hours or so.
  8. Legion Again
  9. Legion Again
    Somehow jussssst put together that Natalie Portman is getting a starring turn in a Disney mega franchise the exact same year as Ewan and Hayden
  10. Legion Again
    I don't like boys being gross kids movies, but it's not like there was much or very overtly in TR
  11. Legion Again
    Don't necessarily want to turn this into a TR discourse thread, but I will just note that 300 is A LOT contextually. We are talking more than triple encanto, almost double sing 2, like 80% of Batman. I don't see anything in the online reception, Nielsen nums, overseas nums and reception, etc etc to suggest it would have been anywhere even close to that
  12. Legion Again
    The regulars in this thread are pretty used to reading trends and pace (though of course it’s not an exact science). The problem is that even if it ends up with low 6s in previews that is not necessarily good enough to pass 40 on Easter.
  13. Legion Again
    I don’t really see it hitting 200 tbh (TR).
  14. Legion Again
    JUST learned that futures trading of box office is banned… by the Onion Futures Act.
  15. Legion Again
    Top 3 March OW baybee, ended Watchmen’s 3 week stay
  16. Legion Again
    The fun thing about a movie appealing to 8 year old is you can often get 3 tickets from a household with only one interested viewer 😂
  17. Legion Again
    Easter makes the IM a little volatile tbf, my range would probably be like… 36-43?
  18. Legion Again
    Jat and I are sub 40 from the numbers here
  19. Legion Again
    200-215 is quite realistic at the moment. 185-200 as well. Don’t see much in the data to go lower than that — maybe if you’re expecting bad reviews?
  20. Legion Again
    Contemporaneous ranks and contemporary counterpart: Bruce Almighty 11th, I2 with 182M The Grinch 5th, TLJ with 220M Batman Forever 1st, AEG with 357M DOM: Grinch 14th, RO 532M Bruce almighty 29th, TLK94 with 423M Batman forever 23rd, Shrek 2 441M Liar Liar 29th, TLK94 423M
  21. Legion Again
    I understand why it’s happening, but it’s so surreal that we’re in like a 10 day no-comp mode.
  22. Legion Again
    Those amc quarterly reports are a cool source @KnucklesXXR. Is the Q1 2022 out yet? If not could be interesting to look at the typical relationship between Q1/q4 growth and q4/q3 growth. Does mtc2 or 3 provide similar info in their quarterly reports
  23. Legion Again
    I don't even understand the complaint here. Using a high estimate for 2019-2022 ticket inflation applies to tdk, wonder woman, tfa, avatar, etc just as much as it applies to smh, tws, BP or whatever. It "hurts" NWH and DS2 just as much as TB. Sometimes analysis is just about analysis, not some backdoor for fan wars.
  24. Legion Again
    Under Morbius is the fun timeline. Thinking me be 6.6x, so that would be 5.9 previews or below.
  25. Legion Again
    Bot fo a strange request @EmpireCity, but do you have nums for JJK or Dog? Even a daily would do. We could use them for derby and it looks like they won’t be reported until mon (maybe not even then for JJK).
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