Legion Again

Well now this is just ignorant

I think the DOM boost vs FFH will be roughly matched in old OS markets but not as high in newer OS markets, so overall less OS-C. Maybe 600+600 WW-C (I know I’m in the club right now, but just barely, rounding a little here). China sure, 300 maybe, been a very weird year for Hollywood there and mcu especially but GvK and F9 did fine and I expect venom2 will as well. Lack of MCU releases could plausibly help, or maybe hurt, real wildcard market right now.

They should have the trailer to attach to Ghostbusters, and I assume tickets will come along with it but it’s not assured. Presales runs have generally been shorter during the pandemic here, they could wait until like the last week of nov.

Bingo. These movies are just threads in a grander tapestry. Eternals 2 will be green lit based on how it ties into the cosmic arc of phase 5 or whatever, not how eternal 1 did. I expect this to be marvel’s 2nd worst performing movie financially after Hulk — but if not for the rights issues I bet we would be on Hulk 4 or so by now despite Hulk 1 being a bomb. There’s a larger project here. The solo movies support the big guns and that justifies their existence beyond the individual financial performances. Eternals 2 was always probably going to be a pretty different movie to Eternals 1, just like cap 2, DS2, cm2, what have you. There were always likely to be other projects involving and developing the characters. So the performance of the first just isn’t as important as it usually would be.

I assume they mean that they’re not doing the like, SLJ Sebastian Stan 9 picture deals. Super big. Iirc a certain end credits character is rumored for a 5 project deal though. I bet both characters in the other end credit have about that much, and probably most of the main cast. Even if you don’t necessarily plan to use them for that many you don’t want to be constantly renegotiating after every project,

I’m expecting an Eternals 2. Those things aren’t a miss in a way that necessarily dooms a sequel.

Can’t imagine they do a lot of single picture deals at this stage, unless the actor is like “yup, I just wanna go ham as a villain who dies.” And even then, might want an option of some minor flashback or alternate universe scene like 5 years down the road.

Hey, it meets half your criteria at least

OW was -22%. I went 40% here because in addition to being a later in the run weekend, it’s no longer being fueled by PLFs, which do more constant business across the week. So getting them out of the basket juiced the Sat bump but should also hurt the sun a bit (relative to Sat, not really relative to Fri).

Realistic chance of getting made is inversely related to meming potential

If Leto doesn’t play Leto, what is even the point?

Put movie I assume for each and my wknd est. Strong Sat and strong weekend for holdovers

It’s properly divisive! The benefits of a creative-over-commerce producer who puts directors first

My Dune vs Eternals manifesto: They are both long movies that came out recently which people wanted to see in imax Their directors like each other’s work They will both be folded into the Letoverse in due time

Maybe? CM, BP, SM were teased or full on introduced in prior products, SC and Eternals were the first full on new intros since 2016. I think it’s not something that will happen much anymore regardless of the mix of sequels vs first entries.

Nova

If Sony decides on a short PS run for NWH (I hope they don’t, would screw with comps) we could have a period coming up soon with no movies being tracked by Porthos

10 brand new characters is probably too much strain, but 5 was a mega success. Considering that with x-men you have previous versions to lean on for some familiarity/investment I’m sure you could start x+men with like an 8 person main/core team in a 2 hr 10 min movie and have it go fine. Especially if you gave a more normal linear actiony plot for the GA.

This would be doing something different than the MCU, but it wouldn’t be a very good job of doing something different in the MCU, which is pretty clearly what we’re talking about 😛

I think long runtime exacerbates the poor reception issues fwiw. It’s easier to sink 120 minutes into a movie outing you’re a little skeptical of than like 200. I don’t think I would want a shorter cut though. I had concerns about it before seeing it, but to me it felt just right. If a buffer of 25 monstrously successful and well-received films doesn’t buy you a buffer of one like this (actually the buffer is a lot more than one, but that’s neither here nor there) then what’s the point?

Before reviews dropped, it was tracking for a preview number that would have put it above 90 with a typical A/A- level reception.

Could also try to hide behind a pandemic fig leaf, but I have been arguing against that for movies I’m not personally attached to and I’m not changing my assessment there just because one I loved is getting crushed. Is it a 0% factor, no. Is it a primary factor here, no.

67% drop, finish below Bond domestically. A terrible terrible result, perhaps a full 50% below the potential with SC level reception. The consolations are: personally liked it overperforming OS I trust Feige not to kneejerk overreact

And +45% or whatever is a far cry from dang near double

This is not factually accurate.