Legion Again
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Everything posted by Legion Again
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China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30
Legion Again replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
Very robust Monday walkins, 60+. Looks like about 1400 finish now, don’t plan to follow very closely from here. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Legion Again replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Unfortunately no. With the holdovers possibly dropping to under 10M, Cruella+AQP2 would need ~50M to break the post-pandemic 3-day record. I do expect that will happen (peg the 2 of them ~60M combined 3-day) but it’s not a foregone conclusion. -
China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30
Legion Again replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
Wow, pace really picked up here. Not sure if it was bugged before or maybe getting a little ahead of themself now and will need to correct, but taken at face value will probably go over 190. Monday looks dicey but mostly up to walkins at this point. -
China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30
Legion Again replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
Title - Maoyan - Mon multi F6 (summer) - 9.3 - 7.2x F7 (Sun release) - 9.6 - 10.8x F8 - 9.3 - 8.1x H&S (summer) - 8.6 - 8.0x TF5 (summer) - 7.5 - 8.0x So if F9 goes 170 Sun for 855 wknd, then 50*8, that is 1255 would miss $200M. It’s not as impossible as I said this morning @lorddemaxus. Though I’d still bet over on even odds. -
Another Boring Weekend Thread (5/21-23)
Legion Again replied to Eric the IF's topic in Numbers and Data
Yeah I chuckled at that as well. Once we have studios ests tomorrow gonna do an updated post with current gross and projected finish for stuff going over 30M DOM — seems like WoM could actually make it there. -
China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30
Legion Again replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
Yeah if this had a 9.3 or something (like F8) we wouldn’t be talking about low 200s it would be going to 300+ easy. -
Another Boring Weekend Thread (5/21-23)
Legion Again replied to Eric the IF's topic in Numbers and Data
Raya keeps on keeping on, that Tenet target is very real. DS continues holding pretty well — this is actually the record anime 5th weekend, pretty sure. Finally over Pikachu at the same point. Very sleep weekend overall though, yeah. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Legion Again replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Thinking 3*11 3-day is pretty reasonable at this point. Would likely take the over if pressed. That would be quite fine. -
China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30
Legion Again replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
This seems pretty compatible with Jat’s sentiment, no? If mainline films post 8 are coming back to earth at 850M or something (in normalcy) then it’s true H&S was performing at mainline level. -
China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30
Legion Again replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
Hmmm, that’s like ¥1287 at current ERs. Th-Fr-Sat is already 681. Assuming it adds 3x Sunday (could beat this given lack of competition) would need Sun coming in at like ¥152. Doesn’t really seem possible, with final PS of 36.5 or so it should at least hit ¥165. I guess you could get there with a 166 Sun and adding 2.65x, but that would be really weak legs and don’t really see it. ER situation will be what saves it from missing $200M. -
I see Croods was able to make more than 2x its OD after all. 1 Fast & Furious 9 THE FAST SAGA U.S. May 19, 2021 $2,343,721 ($7,711,374) 264,708 (890,946) 2,288 84.78% 2 Stand by Me Doraemon 2 Japan May 19, 2021 $96,926 ($359,762) 12,436 (46,478) 570 3.5% 3 Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba the Movie - Mugen Train Japan Jan 27, 2021 $71,863 ($17,398,934) 8,199 (2,036,438) 385 2.59% 4 Spiral: From the Book of Saw Hungary May 12, 2021 $32,415 ($1,053,146) 3,581 (119,584) 408 1.17% 5 The Courier U.S. Apr 28, 2021 $24,250 ($2,462,464) 2,965 (300,485) 262 0.87% 6 The Croods: A New Age U.S. May 05, 2021 $21,473 ($1,716,928) 2,777 (219,221) 249 0.77%
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China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30
Legion Again replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
Maoyan has Sun at 182, then adding 3.9x the Sun off a 56 Mon. Strikes me as pretty optimistic even without much competition to speak of. -
China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30
Legion Again replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
Sun PS are trash, have been thinking ¥180 or so for a while now -
China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30
Legion Again replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
Do we know what top 20 or 25 import admits are? -
Fast 9 International Box Office Thread.
Legion Again replied to charlie Jatinder's topic in International Box Office
Meh, knock another 40 off. Under JL (yes I know this one has extenuating factors 😛 ) -
China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30
Legion Again replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
Don’t see this making top 15 imports. Bar is FFH’s 1417 -
China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30
Legion Again replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
Sun sales 👀 -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Legion Again replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
🚀🚀🚀🌙 -
China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30
Legion Again replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
The similarities to TF5 here are almost spooky. I think this will go lower in ¥ -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Legion Again replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Comps are also generally awkward because some localities might have had a lot less covid recovery vs March than national avg, whereas some will have had more than avg. -
Fast 9 International Box Office Thread.
Legion Again replied to charlie Jatinder's topic in International Box Office
Gonna try China 240, DOM 140, rest 310, for a nice 690 -
China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30
Legion Again replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
USD PTA compared to others will be pretty huge. -
China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30
Legion Again replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
So now 8.0 huh. Maoyan will end up in the 7s presumably. OD hit its target, but Sat PS look WEAK