Legion Again

A rather conspicuous omission 😛

Sonic sales looking real nice across the board.

Sun should be -30-40 depending on howuch sat is sports deflated, so like 37-38.5

This is the exact same runtime as IM1 which was a great length. IW was a great length. AEG was a great length. Amount of stuff you want to cover*how fast you want the movie to feel= ideal runtime. In this case I am expecting a fast pace like IW+ a bit less stuff to cover.

It’s basically the median mcu runtime but a lot of the shorter stuff was phase 1 and 2

I think what’s going on is that this as perceived, by many, as the 7th “large cast crossover event movie” — after Avengers, CW, and NWH. Those have an avg runtime of 2hr 31 (though more like 2:26 excluding AEG). Also been a lot of long blockbusters recently outside the mcu like Batman and NTTD.

Definitely unfortunate that the numbers didn’t list it this weekend. They were late getting their article up as well.

Through infinity saga the runtime to gross correlation was reasonably strong but my sense is that the next 5 movies are gonna do some damage to that R^2

Batman will end the weekend with ~349.5M off a 17.5M week, so to hit 400M it only takes… better than 26% weekly drops. Sure, I mean, why not

This reminds me, not sure how deep your late run worn lists go, but I would love to see 21st century 13th, 14th, 15th, 16th

It was reported to expand to 30-50 as of last Monday, and was mentioned in last wk’s derby thread while discussing this weekend’s likely top 10. If it was staying flat at 10 theaters I doubt it would even be included. BoxOfficePro reported the precise 38 location count on wed https://www.boxofficepro.com/weekend-box-office-forecast-morbius/ I don’t personally have a strong opinion on its inclusion this weekend, I was fine with it or sing rounding things out. Expanding small releases are more interesting, but also more volatile. But I also agree with XXR here — it’s hardly unfair to players of a box office game to expect that they’ll do some theater count research on platform releases when it’s available well before the deadline.

Morbius final DOM will probably be passed in a single OD in May, June, and July. Theaters don’t need crap like this to survive.

Not sure a primarily WOM mechanism makes sense — if you have like 1M Th admits instead of 100k, then it’s true Fri will be more hurt by negative WOM but Sat should also be more hurt. Pretty confident that higher preview % helps the sat/trFr by deflating the trFr. Cushioning negative WoM movies sat % relative to olden days, but also boosting positive WoM movies Sat % relative to the olden days.

PA a bit of an extenuating circumstance, but that double digit drop was rouggggggggh

Only 9 months 👀

Although I have to say, I am hoping for a totally apocalyptic Sat. So let’s see.

40 is quite on the table with that fri. Perhaps 38-42

Is that actually wise? I feel like it might piss off a lot of Max subscribers without generating much additional theatrical rev.

No numbers for flopius

Whoops, forgot about the new derby deadline Oh well, maybe LC will go up a bit.

Yep

The american system is based on land, not people, so I would argue that in most of america it is still the first

By the way folks, remember that this is a Sony movie so it probably won't be on the cinemascore site at all this weekend.

probably 16ish depending on sportsball impact