charlie Jatinder
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Everything posted by charlie Jatinder
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I suppose since US is opening to 100M+ weekend, Europe & ANZ could pull something like 60M. From that 100M should be doable given Mexico & LATAM will be quite ok as well. It sucks that we don’t have presales data in two of its biggest markets, UK & FR -
So I was thinking yesterday that when exactly did atp started to increase. Was seeing BW numbers yesterday & atp for them is significantly lower. BW alpha had just $13.6 atp vs $16.25 for GOTG3, which is a big difference but then eternals was $15.9. here the difference of sales volume making a difference too. will probably look at more numbers.
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yikes. either your sample over-indexed for BA or Flash is just awful there because BA comp should be at least in the high teens. that said Black Adam isn't good direct comp for this. edit: sorry, apologies. I just woke up & read the two numbers as THU & FRI. though THU vs all previews for Flash in most other places is around $20M.
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this. if not for this, I have a very clear idea of what it is going for OW. the tension is high in the thread, so I won't be saying that number but let's see if the market crowding factor changes anything.
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Yeah. The biggest drop should basically be China dropping by 80%, 1) its a 3 days 2nd weekend vs 5 days 1st & 2) 1st weekend had 520 day on SAT. Asia should be dropping 65-70% as well and Europe probably in 50s. That would give $85M ish
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Too small and bad to really not bother. I could see something like 80-100 happen. Is that just INT or worldwide? because most likely TLM DOM be enough to beat Fast X WW. Just eyeballing the numbers, something like 80-90M 2nd weekend for Fast X is likely INT, possibly lower.
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All that being true I don’t think it really means anything. If instead of Keaton it was Bale, this would possibly be opening double of what’s its looking now. WBD messed up.
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There is probably review bombing but first trailer was trash and original is barely ok, its no Aladdin or TLK. So its not entirely shocking that WoM is poor on it. American politics is probably gonna be helping the WoM in America.
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The Roundup: No Way Out - 220,493 (T-6) Should top The Roundup final in two days.
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YIKES. Less than Eternals.
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@ZackM can you add a gross column along with atp. thanks.
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NOT DC thread. Take character movie discussion or even movie hit/flop discussion there. Mods do the needful
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The Little Mermaid MiniTC2 T-2 EA - 1196/2912 (10 showings) $19,980 Previews - 5169/69180 (266 showings) $69,454 Comps 0.43x Super Mario Bros - $14.5M (adjust for full-day release, make it around $12M) 1.19x John Wick 4 - $10.6M 1.95x Scream 6 - $10.9M 1.87x Fast X - $14M ~0.6x Jurassic World 3 - $10.8M
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The Flash MiniTC2 T-23 Previews - 1207/51965 (190 showings) $18,883 Weirdly LOL Comps 0.31x The Batman first day - $6.7M 3.02x Black Adam first day - $23M 9.22x Shazam!! first day - $31M Useful Comps 0.76x Spider-Verse 2 first day - $12-14M 1.18x Eternals first day - $12.5M (inflation-adjusted) Though Eternals' start was bigger than what it ended with, I expect this to cancel out. FRI sales are horrible.
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lol.
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Oh I wasn’t talking about whole board especially for a non ‘BOT think tank’ member. Thing is me & @Legions of the Galaxy pride ourselves on locking OW with first day of sales. So was just cc-ing him on it.
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Oh boy, @Legions of the Galaxy
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This could potentially deflate AMC sales.
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I won't write off Korea yet as they can give long legs if WOM is there and ofc Japan could do anything. That said won't be surprised with sub $300M either.
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Thinking 275-300 finish.
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brazil Brazil Box Office Thread
charlie Jatinder replied to Fullbuster's topic in International Box Office
Wonder R$105-110 finish for GOTG3 -
That said, Indy 4 did $20.5M THU ($4.5M midnight but ignoring them) before $30M FRI. That would mean 40% THU/OD if considering THU as previews. Wonder if it could be close to 40% this time. Was expecting 35-40% before sales started.
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That Jul 4 was sorted with Tue and Wed itself. Everything last year had big final day than they would have in non summer.
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Reason being its not summer. Summer 3PM (now 2PM) THU is basically THU opening day. Not just JWD, the final day Thor had way more walkups than BP2 or even DSitMoM. That said it may work for Indy but I feel Indy should be more presales heavy than JWD
