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Everything posted by charlie Jatinder
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
charlie Jatinder replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I don't know how this area performs as a sample, but if its doing almost half of Infinity War, which had like crazy presales, $160mn weekend is kind of locked as IW had more initial rush then normal film, as it happened in China or India. -
The LEGO Movie 2 shall open to $29mn FSS and go for 3-3.25x legs to $87-94mn, roughly half of LEGO Batman. LEGO Batman did $136mn Internationally, and 65% of that will be best possible scenario IMO, giving it $85-90mn internationally. Theatrical returns of $80mn Approx worldwide. With budget of $100mn and additional $150mn release cost. This will have $170mn deficit from theatrical to recover from ancillaries. LEGO Batman made around $50mn from Home Videos domestically. Other ancillaries would be around $125mn. Expecting this to make similar would just equals it to the deficit but then there are other costs of $115mn approx as well. So when dust settle, LEGO Movie 2 will be in red of $90mn. Cost COP: $100mn Release Cost (WW): $150mn Home Entertainment Cost (WW): $50mn Participation: $25mn Overheads/Residuals: $40mn Total: $365mn Revenue Theatrical Share: $80mn Home Video (WW): $80mn TV/PPV/VOD (WW): $100mn Others: $15mn Total: $275mn
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HTTYD 3 is doing well Internationally and I have seen people in India caring about an animation film which is rare. Might pull $5mn in India as well which will be only behind $7.5mn of Incredibles 2. Regarding US, I was surprised to know that second one actually decreased from first and usually when the original is great the second part grow very well and its not that sequel was bad, it was good as well. I didn't liked the marketing material of this one but still have hope that it will be good watch when I watch it a month and 12 days from now.
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Wandering Earth China Box Office Date Gross in CNY ('000) Gross in $ Weekend Weekly Daily Change Previews ¥13,076 $1,937,185 05/02/2019 ¥187,773 $27,818,222 06/02/2019 ¥257,329 $38,122,815 37.04% 07/02/2019 ¥337,969 $50,069,481 $117,947,704 31.34% 08/02/2019 ¥381,799 $56,562,815 12.97% 09/02/2019 ¥410,000 $60,830,861 7.55% Total ¥1,587,946 $235,341,379
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Wandering Earth China Box Office Date Gross in CNY ('000) Gross in $ Weekend Weekly Daily Change Previews ¥13,076 $1,937,185 05/02/2019 ¥187,773 $27,818,222 06/02/2019 ¥257,329 $38,122,815 37.04% 07/02/2019 ¥337,969 $50,069,481 $117,947,704 31.34% 08/02/2019 ¥381,799 $56,562,815 12.97% 09/02/2019 ¥410,000 $60,830,861 7.55% Total ¥1,587,946 $235,341,379
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India Opening day $280k (₹1.98cr) on 1200 screens. Heading for $1.1mn weekend (₹7.85cr) and $1.9-2mn full run.
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USA + Canada is 360. Baahubali 2 was the first film in a long time to cater to the whole of India. Cinema culture is poor in North India but very good in the South, said that the North or Hindi belt contributed 55mn out of 1050mn while the South India contributed same number out of 270mn. That also I did, Wandering Earth 6 days will have 675k shows compared to 325-350k approx that TFA and Infinity War had in US.
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This ain't the best figures of all time. Besides TFA had $363mn in its 6 days and since the $275mn of Wandering Earth include ticket booking charges as well, the actual gross will be $255mn Approx. That's $108mn less than TFA and $68mn less than Avengers: Infinity War. Also Wandering Earth took almost 670k shows for $255mn compared to roughly 350k for TFA and Infinity War. And elephant in the room, China has 1450mn people, NA has what? 400? not even?
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Profit from those $4 billion must be around $500mn approx I guess, lower may be. Besides I don't know if that's the retail price $4 Billion or company price to wholesalers, in case of latter the number would be even lower. Also, toys don't have anything to do with Warner Bros right? Then it doesn't matter at all because its movies/box office that concern not toys.