charlie Jatinder

so $5.26m tracked, actuals can be $5.3-5.5m. that will point to $18.6-19.4m previews. let's go $19m.

You can use Black Adam, Morbius and The Suicide Squad.

opening will likely be around BP2. Not bad, not good.

can do Black Adam first day of sales. Other comp I will suggest is Fantastic Beast 3.

Not really comparables. Batman was much better received also MOM much bigger previews, Thor Summer. If received well, QM would have targeted 6-6.5x from 23-25M previews IMO.

I need to check but I think yes. 1, that EA thing matters. Previews were $21M to $134M. 2, LOL NO. Ant-Man isn't struggling for 100M yet. 18M+ previews will still see it reach around $110M unless we see very bad SAT.

they are. because its a story event. yes pre-sales were surprising but always expected QM will blow up big time. Marvel trequel jumps are massive. I have only played attention to Harkins dailies, and it was selling very well there, until reactions came. It was 76% of WF at T-27 and reached 84% at T-16 and then started the downward trend.

is it final though? its only 8:30-9 PM in West Coast. I wonder if it may squeek to 313-315.

Remember Thor didn't really reach its potential either. It had eh reviews and WOM as well. Sales were well ahead of Batman and Batman is relatively pre-sales heavier than other stuff.

give it 2016-2019 MCU WOM, it would have cleared $150M OW with ease.

i will let @Favorite Fearless Legion bat. there was a good shot at $25M+ previews before reactions.

Right until reactions drop, 150M looked like very good chance. If you were thinking it open less than 100M before reaction drop, clearly box office tracking ain't for you.

I was/am of opinion that on FRI and SAT, people are already buying tickets of current movie, so their disposable money to buy next week or two weeks out movie tix is gone, that's why we see drop on SAT.

why do WB take the worst decision always.

315K is what I had expected. That will be good for $19M I guess.

1.5 previews 3.3 true Fri 12.5 weekend

Comscore track almost all markets but it don't compile the worldwide number, except in case of some non-studio film doing big in tracked areas. This chart is just studio estimates.

AM2 opened to 6.3M, how will 7-8M worse than that, if it actually does open 7-8M.

At same time

Is it still taking long time. That would make this data basically T-5 days + like 7/8 hours right?

Checking "analysis" definition the result of a careful examination of something I think its fair to assume that, careful plotting & examining of different data set does come in analysis. With that settled, nothing personal, I just pointed out how having MOM in the mix is making the "analysis" of less use. On other hand of extremes, having something like Shang Chi would be inflating average. Just because all of them are MCU, can't be used as comps. Funny thing, I don't even remember what did I object/dismissed. Which is again because there was nothing personal, I just saw something wrong, and just pointed out. If that comes out rude, I apologise.

Titanic last I checked was $2204M+, its not $2.109M. Now with re-release money since WED, it could be $2210M+. edit: checking back, it was $2195M. Not sure if missing something. Should be $2003-2004M now.

Should @Magic Eric be banned for bringing shame to this house.

It should be T-97 no?

this analysis would hold some weight if it didn't include MOM. you can't possibly have one of the three comps to be a film like MOM which was heading for $40M previews for something heading for $20M+.