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Posts posted by HeyItsMoses
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I say start a poll and have all players vote on this week. It'll be a one time thing.
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I agree with Cedar.The weekly questions should stay, since you asked us 40+ questions to answer.The SOTM should be cancelled, since it was just 5 questions, and didn't take as much time to answer then compared to the weekly question.
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Well, you can't think that the shootings affected TDKR by over $40m dollars, or even over $30m. Like I said, if people stay away, it will most likely be for just this weekend, maybe a week at most. So if we don't see a 2nd weekend well OVER $75m, then it can't entirely be the shooting, but the film itself as well.Opening to 160M means that the shooting definitely had an effect. For how long this will last is the question now. There is no conceivable way this was going to open to 160M before the shootings.
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Thank God I'm not the only person that's gonna lose 20k points, lol.
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If this shooting truly had an effect, and it's the reason as to why no one is seeing TDKR over the weekend. Then it should have some Amazing dailies, and it's 2nd weekend should be over $85m if not more. If it doesn't, then we will all know that the shooting had no effect. It's not like the fuckin movie is going to be jinxed and that no one is ever gonna go and watch it.
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Ok, TDKs OW and Run wasn't just based on Ledgers death, but the villain was much more popular than bane. TDKR, no death, no popular villain, no 3d, no records. Yeah it's the finale, but to think it was going to pull off numbers anywhere remotely close to The Avengers is just a fuckin joke. I think my $444m prediction for BSG is pretty spot on at this point. Don't see it passing $475m.
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Estimated $30.6m midnights, and $72.2m od.The shooting didn't effect the movie, TDK was just huge because of Ledgers death. Fanboys rushed to this, and the general public is interested, but not as much as TDK. Under $50m Saturday, and under $40m Sunday. Weekend will be less then HP7.2. Who would've thunk?
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I just hope some moron doesn't post a "The Dark Knight Rises: What Went Wrong?" thread, just because it didn't pass $200m, or cause it made less than $10m more than The Dark Knight adjusted, or even worse, because of the shootings.. TDKR was never gonna break records, it never had a chance.
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Shouldn't we wait for BOM to post their numbers to be final? I really hope it drops. I'm not asking for much, just $640,000 less on midnight, that's all.No, the $30.64m midnight number is probably the last report we'll get on those shows. Originally RTH indicated that it was headed for $30m or higher. Then Nikki reported $27m. Then she bumped it to $28m. Then ERC reported $27m. Then we got the $30.64m number, which seems precise enough to be a final number.
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Where can we find our original predictions for the Top 12?
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SOTM9
1) Will TDKR make more than 30 mill at midnight? NO
2) Will TDKR make more than 74 mill OD? YES
3) Will TDKR make more than 81 mill OD? YES
4) Will TDKR make more than DH2 OW? YES
5) Will TDKR make more than 190.5 mill OW? NO
No Guts, No Glory
^I really hope that midnight number drops. A part of me even wanted to go back and abstain from it, but it was too late, lol.
I think it'll be complete bullshit if I get questions 2-5 correct, and I miss question one by HALF A MILLION!
So fuckin lame.
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You have not heard ??During a midnight screen of TDKRA mad Men walked in threw in some smoke nades and killed 12 and shot 57
That's just some fucked up news right there. What kind of a moron would walk into a theater and start shooting up the place?I wonder if this will cause movie theaters to start putting metal detectors in the entrances, and maybe even have security present during all big event movies?Anyway, is there a possibility that the midnight number estimate drops? I'm really hoping that it's overestimated, and the actual number is below $30m or I AM FUCKED.
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What page were the numbers announced, and what's with this Colorado Shooting that I'm hearing about?
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If that midnight number for TDKR doesn't drop below $30m, I AM FUCKED for BSG SOTM.
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I just don't get what the fuck happened to Ice Age. Most people were expecting a big opening and good legs, but this one is just trailing behind the predecessors.
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^by the way Baumer, in one of these threads, you asked me about my Individual question or something. Can I get both my Individual and Make Up question at once? I'll take both in the form that will give me the most points (I think you asked wether I wanted the Individual to be a SOTM type or a Weekly type, and whichever gives me the most points, I'll take that).
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So, this is how my Top 11 is looking like..
1. Dark Knight Rises:
2. Avengers: $429.8 ($614.26) -$184.46
3. Spider-Man: $307.7 ($214.31) -$93.39
4. Brave: $258.5 ($201.21) -$57.29
5. Prometheus: $214.4 ($124.70) -$89.70
6. Ice Age: $188.2 ($63.80) -$124.4
7. Snow White: $184.9 ($152.04) -$32.86
8. Madagascar: $156.9 ($205.72) -$48.82
9. Men in Black: $154.2 ($175.12) -$20.92
10. Battleship: $144.4 ($64.83) -$79.57
Prediction
1.
2. -11,000
3. -7,000
4. -5,000
5. -7,000
6. -9,000
7. 0
8. -5,000
9. +5,000
10. -6,000
Total: -45,000
Correct
1. Dark Knight: +15,000
2. Avengers: +15,000
3. Spider-man: (Spot)
4. Brave: (Spot)
5. Prometheus: +15,000
6. Snow White: (Spot)
7. Madagascar: +15,000
8. Men in Black: +15,000
9. Battleship: +15,000
Total: +90,000
Spot
1. Incorrect
2. Incorrect
3. Correct: Spider-Man: +25,000
4. Correct: Brave: +25,000
5. Incorrect
6. Incorrect
7. Correct: Snow White: +25,000
8. Incorrect
9. Incorrect
10. Incorrect
Total: +75,000
So far, when it comes to the Predictions, calling the Top 11 correctly, and the correct spot, I get an extra:
+120,000
Obviously, this will change, as we get closer, and I'll probably update it again in about 3 weeks.
And I'm still due for an Individual and Make Up question.
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Brave is at $201.2m! My $258.5m prediction looks really good. I think this is the only film that I will get some serious points on, while the rest is just...
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Hold the fuck up, you changed your answers? :angry:Well, if you were honest about it, great, no big deal. I think instead of taking 20k points off, you should take the points off from the questions you changed instead. Who knows, it might've just been like a 10k difference. I want to win fair and square, not with a 20k handicap.
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1) Will The Dark Knight break the opening day record? 5000 NO
2) Will TDKR make at least 100.05 million OD? 3000 NO
3) Will TDKR make less than 74.087 mill OD? 3000 NO
4) Will TDKR make more than 12 mill OW in Australia? 2000 YES
5) Will TDKR make more than 5 mill OW in Spain? 2000 YES
6) Will TDKR make more than 25 mill OW in UK? 2000 YES
7) Will TDKR have a Saturday drop of more than 30%? YES
8) Will TDKR make more than 30 mill at midnight? NO
9) Will TDKR make more than 15.95 mill at IMAX domestically? YES
10) Will TDKR have a per theater average of more than $47,698? NO
11) Will TDKR have a cinemascore of A+? YES
12) Will TDKR make at least 60.05 mill on Sunday? NO
13) Will TDKR make at least 57.5 mill on Sunday? NO
14) Will TDKR drop less than 15% on Sunday? NO
15) Will TDKR make at least 150 mill more than ASM, IA4 and Ted combined? NO
16) Will TDKR make more than 185 mill OW? 2000 YES
17) Will TDKR make more than 192 mill OW? 2000 NO
18) Will TDKR make more than 208 mill OW? 2000 NO
19) Will TDKR make less than 174.738 mill OW? 2000 NO
20) Will TDKR have a world wide debut of more than 300 mill? NO
21) Will TDKR have a world wide debut or more than 325 mill? NO
22) Will TDKR have a world wide debut of less than 280 mill? YES
23) Will the top 10 films combine to make more than 260 million? YES
24) Will ASM drop less than 55.5%? YES
25) Will ASM have a Friday increase of more than 50%? YES
26) Will ASM have a Saturday increase of more than 25%? YES
27) Will ASM's 6 day (including the BS Canadian Monday previews) be more than TDKR's first two days? YES
28) Will Nikki's first Friday report come out before 1pm PST time (just go to deadline and see when she posts her tentpoles)? YES
29) Will Nikki's first posting about TDKR contain the phrase "NOT A RECORD" anywhere in the post? YES
30) Will Nikki's first "projection" about TDKR be higher than the number reported with official Friday estimates? 3000 NO
31) On the first three days, will BKB post anywhere at anytime about how the film is not meeting expectations from a box office standpoint? YES
32) Will the Weekend Numbers thread (this starts with Thurs midnights and goes until Sunday estimates) reach 300 pages by 9AM on Monday July 23rd? (I'll keep track) YES (I'll make sure of it)
33) Will IA4 drop less than 50%? NO
34) Will MM drop less than 45%? NO
35) Will any film in the top 12, besides MM drop less than 45%? YES
36) Will Moonrise Kingdom make more than MAD3? YES
37) Will The Avengers drop less than 55%? YES
38) Will Prom, MIB and SWATH all drop more than 58%? NO
39) Will The Hunger Games fall less than 25%? YES
40) Will The Intouchables fall less than 15%? YES
35/40 5000
36/40 8000
37/40 10,000
38/40 12,000
39/40 15,000
40/40 25,000
Bonus 1: What will TDKR's weekend gross be? 5000 $185.754m
Bonus 2: What will IA4's weekend gross be? 5000 $23.174m
Bonus 3: What will ASM's weekend gross be? 5000 $17.660m
Bonus 4: What will TDKR, Avengers and Tyler Perry's combined gross be? 5000 $189.412m
Bonus 5: What finishes in spots:
6 Magic Mike
8 Tyler Perry
10 Madagascar
11 Katy Perry
13 Avengers
2000 each and a bonus of 5000 if all correct
Bonus 6: According to the International Report in the International section (first report will be the one we go by), Internationally, what finishes in spots:
3 Spider-Man
4 Ted
6 Brave
2000 each one correct and a bonus of 3000 if all three correct.
Good luck! There's about 125,000 points to be made this week. And the TV guy, he's already squealed, so use your pencil tricks and then kill the bus driver! This week is yours for the taking!
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I missed 2 weekly questions, 1 SOTM question...I scored 15k for the points for Bonus #8, and I was also 1 of 2 people to score 15k points, while everyone else lost 20k points (i think).And, I still haven't gotten my individuals, nor a makeup question...I think I'm doing pretty good. Chewy, wtf were you thinking with the bonus question man? lol.
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Well, unless you think Joe is going to gross over $400m next year, I think it's safe to say that I won. ;)I'll think of a good Signature and will post it here sometime next week.So looks like I lost? But then GI Joe ran away like a rascal. Still, using Madagascar 3 as substitute the 4 movies aren't getting anywhere near $1b even throwing in Ted for Prometheus. So, if InFamous wants to skewer me, he can, if he feels generous since he too was affected by Joe, he can ignore it,
Results and Standings (Fake increases lead, Cedar jumps, 24lost solidifies)
in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game
Posted
How did I go from 376k to 368k in posts #705 and #706?Why the 8k point loss? If that's incorrect, then shouldn't my standings after preseason 2 be 371k instead of 363k?If you can recheck my scores, that'll be great.Thanks in advance.