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Menor the Destroyer

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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer

  1. Menor the Destroyer
    Hmm. Yeah does sound intriguing. I'll do a run tomorrow night and see where it stands.
  2. Menor the Destroyer
    Uh I wasn't planning on tracking today, haven't even gotten the show count.
  3. Menor the Destroyer
    Eternals trailer seems huge. Guess that one may be a breakout.
  4. Menor the Destroyer
    Probably night walkups were a bit slower than we thought.
  5. Menor the Destroyer
    Agreed. Last run was 119.5k, Friday at the same point was around 86.5k, so ~140k seems about right. 10.25-10.5 million. Hmm. But ATP drop in MTC2 is not that big (with numbers now this high the DBOX effect should be negligible). It is currently 10.67 for Sat, will probably drop a bit for the rest of the night but with most tickets sold at this point it won't drop that much. Yesterday was around 10.91.
  6. Menor the Destroyer
    JC is going over 100m DOM and I think Free Guy has a good chance to do so. For this environment that's pretty good although they will have to watch the budget if they are gonna make a sequel to JC.
  7. Menor the Destroyer
    At the same point as this update yesterday FG is at 71,330 tickets sold. 45% ahead in admits at the same point. Probably that will normalize a bit by night. If it doesn't...this could be looking at a very high Sat bump. It does seem a little extreme though so I will hold off on predicting anything for now. Over 10m looks good, but beyond that not sure.
  8. Menor the Destroyer
    Fantastic finale. Don't understand why it has gotten such a mixed reaction at least online. I also give season 1 a B+, around the same grade as the first season of all four SW shows I have watched. It really shined in the visuals and also in some really creative action sequences (the second part isn't praised enough imo). There were many really nice character and story moments but it did feel unfocused at times and the side plots were not consistently interesting (Common Ground and Infested being the worst offenders) that said I'm still quite invested for season 2.
  9. Menor the Destroyer
    The TV spot views match the like/comment numbers. I think the trailer is playing as an ad -- that is the view count that is having a suspicious increase. I think a similar thing happened with Shazam.
  10. Menor the Destroyer
    Not the TV spots, those views and likes are definitely organic. But the trailer has added a high number of views in the past few days despite the like count not increasing by that much. That is sort of expected as we get closer to release and less invested viewers start checking it out, but given that the film is three weeks away, it feels a bit suspicious. Usually trailer views don't speed up until release week.
  11. Menor the Destroyer
    On a second look using Wayback Machine, likes haven't increased by as much as they would if the view increase was organic. May have been put in an ad which is boosting views. It makes sense anyway. It's very very early for views to be increasing at the rate they have been.
  12. Menor the Destroyer
    I don't see any huge trailer views for it from a quick YouTube search but I agree that the Sopranos brand should draw solid business.
  13. Menor the Destroyer
    Well taking a shot at the CEO was what I meant.
  14. Menor the Destroyer
    Presales ratio to Friday is much better than JC OW.
  15. Menor the Destroyer
    Not sure that ATP will drop that much to get it as low as 9.5. JC had much worse Saturday PS relative to FRI and still had a 15% bump.
  16. Menor the Destroyer
    If Friday was indeed 8.3, then Saturday will be higher than 10 most likely.
  17. Menor the Destroyer
    I had Friday final at 105833 which seems a bit low for the Friday Deadline is reporting (although it matches what @EmpireCity had). Idk. Maybe smaller chains brought it up. Saturday PS is outstanding. 32400 already, 18% ahead of Friday at the same point in raw tickets. We could see a bump well over 20% in the end.
  18. Menor the Destroyer
    Kids most likely wouldn't vote on the RT score but do get polled by Cinemascore. Wouldn't affect TSS.
  19. Menor the Destroyer
    I just woke up and didn't start the run yet. Will post here when I have the numbers.
  20. Menor the Destroyer
    May not be the best career move but it's nice to see him this passionate about the film. That usually tends to happen before release, people start viewing the trailer more. It's good that it's happening now though, shows that awareness is probably starting to tick up nicely. Could be because of it being placed in an ad, but the like count also appears to have started increasing again (which means that some of the views are "organic"), so that's good.
  21. Menor the Destroyer
    There was a post in r/boxoffice of someone's theater showing that tickets went on sale on Sunday night, I had thought it was a US theater but maybe not (or maybe it was fake and/or a mistake).
  22. Menor the Destroyer
    Without. All numbers I have said today are true Friday.
  23. Menor the Destroyer
    FG was at 86434 in my early evening run at MTC2. 8% ahead of TSS in raw tickets, probably a bit less than that in gross. I would have said 8m but based on what @keysersoze123 said I am not sure about MTC1. So let's see.
  24. Menor the Destroyer
    What I was thinking was it would be a little behind SS in MTC1 and ahead in MTC2. It could go lower for sure. We'll see.
  25. Menor the Destroyer
    I would guess -25% to -30%. So around a 27 million OW if it gets 8 today.
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