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Menor the Destroyer

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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer

  1. Menor the Destroyer
    True, if we go into that kind of nightmare scenario then all bets are off.
  2. Menor the Destroyer
    Shang-Chi showtimes are already up in Cinemark. No way they delay it this late. Even PA seems like it would be very late to do so.
  3. Menor the Destroyer
    I'm a little confused by the phrasing. Does this mean most likely not possible?
  4. Menor the Destroyer
    Delta has been impacting things for a while, but I don't think that has much to do with Free Guy's presale trend (Delta was impacting things when its tickets went on sale, too). A lot of optimism last week came from Jungle Cruise comps, but that one had a legit draw in the Rock (compared to RR who is unproven) and was more of a family movie which tends to draw walkups.
  5. Menor the Destroyer
    First season is only 9-10 I believe.
  6. Menor the Destroyer
    That's an...interesting time. Early tracking is definitely gonna be annoying to compare. Though iirc CM did something similar? (it was associated with some football broadcast I think).
  7. Menor the Destroyer
    I agree that it will probably be par BW on day one, but that's because I think it will open less than BW. At least in 2019 there was a consistent trend of short presale periods having very inflated D1s. TS4 and F2 come to mind, although those were a different genre. I don't remember TS4's length but it was definitely significantly shorter than I2 which led to a bigger D1 despite overall presales being nowhere near. F2 I remember it's D1 was absolutely ridiculous and higher than TLK I believe, despite final PS ending up lower. Edit: Forgot Joker. That one didn't have as big of a day one iirc (but would need to go back and check to be sure). But it was more of a late bloomer in terms of hype than the other two I mentioned.
  8. Menor the Destroyer
    Free Guy MTC2 Thursday Showtimes: 1183 (+118) Seats Sold: 3782/180865 (+1196) JC comp: 1.44 million Friday Showtimes: 2513 (+112) Seats Sold: 6054/410929 (+2115) JC comp: 5.03 million Thursday had an ok jump, Friday is blech.
  9. Menor the Destroyer
    A much shorter presale run than BW. Day 1 will be inflated as a result I guess. This one will be interesting to track as I have little clue how it's going to open, while I felt I had a better idea of the range for BW.
  10. Menor the Destroyer
    Yeah, it's not a great idea to compare trailers that have been out for several years. Per Wayback Machine in early October 2016, DS trailer 2 was at 16 million/166k likes. Probably things will look similar for the rest.
  11. Menor the Destroyer
    It is a sort of approximate indicator for the MCU in that the bigger movies tend to have bigger views and likes for TV spots but yeah it doesn't mean a whole lot. I pay attention to those stats because I'm a little too obsessed lol.
  12. Menor the Destroyer
    This reminds me of when people said that the CM trailers were boring and didn't create hype despite doing great numbers on social media. Obviously this doesn't have CM-level hype but I'm sensing a minified version of that phenomenon.
  13. Menor the Destroyer
    Looking back at TV spots views, man AMATW had some pathetic numbers. The highest TV spot for that film was in the 20k likes range. Compared to that SC is doing amazing, lol. Looking through the views, honestly if I was just looking at TV spots, I'd say this was going to open to 100+ if theatrical exclusive. So I don't think we can use TV spots as evidence of low buzz here.
  14. Menor the Destroyer
    Yeah those are actually very strong numbers for TV spots. CM averaged in the 50-60k like count for its early spots iirc, that dropped to the 20k range as the release got closer. BW's biggest proper TV spot was in the 1m views 50k like range and none of the others crossed 800k/40k (there were a couple of "special looks" that did higher numbers, but those were very different from TV spots). Also have to consider "Test" which got 156k likes and 3.6 million views which is quite great for a TV spot that had very little promotion. It's on par with the "Special Look" of BW that was teased beforehand and was functionally a trailer 2 for the film.
  15. Menor the Destroyer
    Imo some people probably didn't like how hard the movie leaned into absurdity. I thought it was a strength but, for example, my dad found the movie "too silly and all over the place".
  16. Menor the Destroyer
    I think the Deadline thing was a Deadline original. It wouldn't be the first time that they had ridiculous "expectations" for something even without studio leaks.
  17. Menor the Destroyer
    It's getting the same marketing as any other MCU movie this far out. TV spots and posters are usually the only marketing we get until closer to release. If it opens low it'll be because interest was low, not because of marketing.
  18. Menor the Destroyer
    Best superhero movie (at least for "solo" films as Avengers team-up stuff is a different sort of beast for me). Barring a couple of jokes everything works really well, I actually loved how over-the-top the action was at points, it really felt like the movie made use of the comic-book aesthetic in a way that many don't, the opening credits action, the Yondu breakout scene, and Rocket vs Ravagers really stood out. The visuals and colors really popped off the screen and it is just a delight to look at. Character arcs were really well done, yeah a lot of stuff was done in monologues but when the monologues are well done, they still work great. Ego was one of Marvel's better villains and Kurt Russell gave the character a nice presence. The ending was fantastic and the most emotional I've gotten in any of these films. One of my all-time favorite movies as a whole let alone superhero movies. A+
  19. Menor the Destroyer
    Just as good as the first, probably slightly better. Keeps the same great qualities but the emotional moments landed a bit better in this one (and they were already pretty good). Shen is a great villain as well, absolutely lives up to Tai Lung. The climactic fight with Po throwing the cannonballs is such a great scene. A.
  20. Menor the Destroyer
    Awesome movie. The characters are really memorable, the animation is great, the fight sequences are awesome, very funny with a lot of heart. A
  21. Menor the Destroyer
    84% verified audience score isn't all that great, matches with the not-so-great Cinemascore. Still, if this film finds the right audience, I think it can still have good holds.
  22. Menor the Destroyer
    Shang-Chi hasn't even started presales yet and people are declaring "end of superhero movies" lmao. TSS had some of the worst trailer views for a superhero film. It was always going to be a fairly low opener for the genre. I can't claim I expected it to be this low before presales but this is hardly the movie to judge the strength of the genre from.
  23. Menor the Destroyer
    Bit too late.
  24. Menor the Destroyer
    Older people giving lower scores is a fairly consistent trend when Deadline does these reports, so this seems right.
  25. Menor the Destroyer
    Free Guy MTC2 Thursday Showtimes: 1065 Seats Sold: 2586/165312 Friday: Showtimes: 2401 Seats Sold: 3939/197109 Around half of JC at the same point for both Thursday and Friday. TSS Saturday was at 83401 in the last run. Ticket sales are slightly ahead of Friday, ATP is down by a bit. Think it will be flat or maybe a tiny increase.
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