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Menor the Destroyer

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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer

  1. Menor the Destroyer
    Today is key for FFH sales. Needs a big bump tonight and some big #s next week. One thing to consider is that its Pulse numbers will likely be deflated in the end because of the weekend being right before its release day, and Pulse for upcoming movies being deflated on the weekend.
  2. Menor the Destroyer
    One thing I'm wondering for this is what's the best comp. Aladdin may work but I feel like the scale would be completely different.
  3. Menor the Destroyer
    More so tracking. For a couple of weeks presales were indicating this sort of opening.
  4. Menor the Destroyer
    It should have good legs to get to 600+ dom, I just don't think that this is the type of movie that people immediately rush in to see on OW
  5. Menor the Destroyer
    I'm thinking more in the 200 range, I don't think this movie has a huge rush factor to get to 250+.
  6. Menor the Destroyer
    A bit lower but I will wait until Tues to give a number due to the diff release pattern
  7. Menor the Destroyer
    Yep. 60-61k which gives 41-43
  8. Menor the Destroyer
    Yeah I'm only gonna be tracking OD. The trend will be weird though due to the Tuesday release date so hopefully it can keep the lead.
  9. Menor the Destroyer
    Increase will be almost certainly better than I2, presales showing a better ratio today
  10. Menor the Destroyer
    Well then you will be pleasantly surprised I think
  11. Menor the Destroyer
    Better than I2 for sure (though it will have a worse Sunday drop). 41-43 (20% give or take) seems like a good range for now like I posted in the weekend thread.
  12. Menor the Destroyer
    This opening would have been a lot less surprising to me if not for the Wang number, but I suspect his number for I2 from last year may have been from a different date or something
  13. Menor the Destroyer
    Saturday looking like 41-43 based on early sales
  14. Menor the Destroyer
    Very nicely done
  15. Menor the Destroyer
    A bit below half of current Friday sales, fairly standard ratio. MIB and DP had similar.
  16. Menor the Destroyer
    This movie will have good legs, panic in here is unwarranted. Although I blame Deadline a lot for jumping the gun with that 200 million talk without realizing that the PS run was way shorter than I2, therefore first day will be inflated compared to it.
  17. Menor the Destroyer
    Very weak increase. @Neucentro seems to have been spot on about today's number at 69k, I was wrong and thought it would maintain the hyperspeed it was at in the morning, but it has slowed down quite a bit (I guess that morning rush ended up filling a lot of seats for night shows). So that would end up giving 36-38 again like what I thought at 7am lmao. Even to hit 69k it probably needs a few robust hourlies, could even fall below that.
  18. Menor the Destroyer
    I would wait for Asgard estimate before getting sad, there should be at least one within a couple of hours.
  19. Menor the Destroyer
    TS4 will hit 72-74k or so on Pulse (hopefully), 37-39 seems like the range for True Friday. I guess a lot of seats have already been presold hence why it has slowed down in the afternoon much more than any other movie I've tracked
  20. Menor the Destroyer
    Updated that, but 39 is not that unbelievable imo. It's not ridiculous like when deadline was claiming 18 million for Godzilla
  21. Menor the Destroyer
    I meant in the Friday daily number, was actually 10k in 5 hours but my point stands
  22. Menor the Destroyer
    Nope it will be way over 69k, it added nearly 10k in four hours
  23. Menor the Destroyer
    Has potential for 80k by end of the day which would translate to 42-44 (I2 has 105k) Excellent walkups
  24. Menor the Destroyer
    True Friday needs to be in the high 40s for that. 120-130 range seems more likely, but we shall see
  25. Menor the Destroyer
    Early days, could get walk ins to boost it to Dory levels although it would need quite a bit. By Charlie's early range 130+ is possible on the high end, and he has actual numbers
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