Jump to content

Molek

Free Account+
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    133

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Molek

  1. Molek
    No just wondering if he made a small accidental mistake somewhere in case, since the other sources are pointing to 80 If Charlie's source overestimates by 8.7% (25 previews vs 23 previews), then OD will be $85 from his $93 estimate
  2. Molek
    So Charlie overestimating by 10M+? 😵 @Charlie Jatinder are you sure of 90?
  3. Molek
    -15% Sat and -20% Sun $75m OD = $190m OW $80m OD = $202m OW $85m OD = $215m OW $90m OD = $228m OW $95m OD = $240m OW $100m OD = $253m OW
  4. Molek
    48 is not happening, because Captain Marvel presale Friday comp is 54 and there's no way it's as frontloaded It will follow Fallen Kingdom ratio with a 65 pure Friday roughly imo, 9.5-9.9 IM
  5. Molek
    22-25 previews seems really optimistic compared to tracking we did here Well, I guess it just means it's performing more like Fallen Kingdom, than Toy Story 4, with Porthos' comps at least
  6. Molek
    I placed them at 21.7 as well in the weekend thread for my final prediction, let's hope we're right
  7. Molek
    Sacto comps: Fallen Kingdom and Godzilla are 24-25 TS4 and Aladdin are 20-21 Pikachu is 19.7
  8. Molek
    It will tie with it because they are both Hamlet movies with black casts 🦋
  9. Molek
    Lock in my final prediction 21.7 previews 212 OW 700.1 DOM 1.80 WW
  10. Molek
  11. Molek
    Whaaa? The consensus as of now is low 20s
  12. Molek
    via GIPHY
  13. Molek
    WB marketing 10/10 once again Will probably watch this one in theatres this time
  14. Molek
    Aladdin (Thursday opening, not Wednesday) was 850k BatB (Thursday) $2.05m So it's huge
  15. Molek
    https://numero.co/reports/2019/07/18/peter-parker-has-more-to-offer-but-the-lion-king-is-ready-to-roar $4.23m Wednesday for TLK
  16. Molek
    In Australia it opened yesterday but I haven't seen any news for that for some reason. Edit: $4.23m Wednesday for TLK in Australia Comps (Thursday only, looking only at a chart scale) Aladdin - $850-900k (https://numero.co/reports/2019/05/27/aladdin-is-one-jump-ahead-of-the-box-office) Pikachu - $790k (https://numero.co/reports/2019/05/13/in-avengers-we-trust) BatB - $2.05m (https://numero.co/reports/2017/03/27/beauty-is-best)
  17. Molek
    People are just skeptical if it can keep up the pace to reach 22+ by Thur I think, it's still comping out to 22+ currently.
  18. Molek
    What OW does that translate to?
  19. Molek
    What about FK which had meh to poor audience reception? Still got nearly 9.7. I know that had lower $7-9m lower previews than this is targeting, but I'm not sure I understand the argument that 20+ has satisfied a lot of demand, when it could just point to larger upcoming demand with the same ratio. JW had larger previews than FK and a way higher multi. To put it simply, it would be surprising to me that such a family friendly non-sequel movie like TLK would fail to hit 9.0 multi with decent audience reception, and 10.0+ can't be ruled out. I'll stick to 9.5-9.9 but we'll see how it plays out, because we haven't seen a family movie this big before, as its previews are much higher than JW which holds the current crown.
  20. Molek
    Will Europe's performance be meh then? I was expecting it to be nearly equally huge domestically and in Europe, Japan, Australia, bit less than 40% DOM split
  21. Molek
    Jurassic World managed over 11 in summer with huge $18.5m previews but that was 2015. I think it will be around 9.5-9.9 personally like Incredibles 2 and Fallen Kingdom, which suggest $215-$240 opening
  22. Molek
    So all the comps are still $22.0-24.5m previews. Jurassic World ($18.5m) = $248-$277 OW Incredibles 2 ($18.5m) = $217-$242 OW Beauty and the Beast ($16.3m) = $236-$263 OW Fallen Kingdom ($15.3m) = $213-$238 OW These are the largest previews grossing family movies, with 3/4 of them releasing in summer. Lion King is way ahead of all of them. So what I'm wondering is why are people here predicting such a pessimistic IM of 9.0 or under here? Just because summer has been disappointing so far o.O?
  23. Molek
    First one had a super marketable hook that no one cared for afterwards imo. I remember watching all the vids for the first one cause the concept itself seemed really interesting but never saw a single trailer for the second one
  24. Molek
    TLK should boost it a decent amount I think, 360+
  25. Molek
    Let's just say (like some others) I was stanning it to crazy levels while you were keeping it purely objective. That's why you are so valuable in this thread As always I look forward to every update you make as it gets closer to the release.
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.

  I accept