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Inceptionzq

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Posts posted by Inceptionzq

  1. 23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

    Joker Thursday Night Showings Denver

    AMC Westminster 24    
    Dolby:    
    4:00 PM 14 217
    7:00 PM 92 217
    10:00 PM 31 217
    Prime:    
    4:30 PM 5 187
    7:30 PM 34 187
    10:30 PM 7 187
    2D:    
    5:00 PM 3 158
    5:30 PM 0 92
    6:30 PM 7 94
    8:00 PM 14 158
    8:30 PM 4 92
    9:30 PM 0 94
    11:00 PM 0 158
         
    Total 211 2058

     

    AMC Highlands 24    
    IMAX:    
    4:30 PM 4 384
    7:30 PM 15 384
    10:30 PM 1 384
    Dolby:    
    4:00 PM 14 210
    7:00 PM 68 210
    10:00 PM 12 210
    2D:    
    5:15 PM 2 159
    5:45 PM 0 159
    6:15 PM 4 85
    6:30 PM 2 85
    7:15 PM 0 52
    8:15 PM 0 159
    8:45 PM 2 159
    9:15 PM 0 85
    9:30 PM 0 85
    10:15 PM 2 52
         
    Total 126 2862

     

    SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
    754 77 14616 5.16% 8 81

     

    IT 2 comp: 6.31M

    Lion King comp: 6.16M

     

    At this point, I had all 9 theaters for TLK. So, start taking that comp with a slight grain of salt for now. But anyways, ticket sales are flat from yesterday as you can see. It's still behind IT 2's pace, but not by much. The gap is growing though. With Aurora, I don't know whether Joker would be ahead or not. But to tie with IT by Thursday, Joker needs to really pick it up. Accounting for Aurora, Joker needs to outsell IT by exactly 500 by Thursday. The chances seem pretty slim.

    Joker Thursday Night Showings Denver

    AMC Westminster 24    
    Dolby:    
    4:00 PM 21 217
    7:00 PM 98 217
    10:00 PM 37 217
    Prime:    
    4:30 PM 6 187
    7:30 PM 36 187
    10:30 PM 8 187
    2D:    
    5:00 PM 3 158
    5:30 PM 0 92
    6:30 PM 11 94
    8:00 PM 14 158
    8:30 PM 4 92
    9:30 PM 1 94
    11:00 PM 0 158
         
    Total 239 2058

     

    AMC Highlands 24    
    IMAX:    
    4:30 PM 4 384
    7:30 PM 15 384
    10:30 PM 1 384
    Dolby:    
    4:00 PM 15 210
    7:00 PM 71 210
    10:00 PM 12 210
    2D:    
    5:15 PM 2 159
    5:45 PM 2 159
    6:15 PM 5 85
    6:30 PM 2 85
    7:15 PM 3 52
    8:15 PM 2 159
    8:45 PM 2 159
    9:15 PM 0 85
    9:30 PM 2 85
    10:15 PM 2 52
         
    Total 140 2862

     

    SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
    850 96 14616 5.82% 8 81

     

    IT 2 comp: 6.46M

    Lion King comp: 6.38M

     

    A decent jump, but nothing close to IT 2's jump on this day. At least the comps are still increasing though. If I were able to adjust right now, both of these comps would most definitely be over 7M.

    • Like 1
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  2. 56 minutes ago, Tinalera said:

    A question about comps. Is it simply a matter of going and seeing how much a previous movie made on that day/same time during its own run? Wheres the beat place to find previous movie info? Or is it just going back through this weekend thread?

    Comps are you comparing how much tickets were sold at the same point between different movies you tracked. 
     

    Basically, you’re doing movie X tickets sold divided by movie Y tickets sold at the same amount of days before their previews, and multiply that by movie Y’s preview gross.

     

    For example, let’s say Joker sold 100 tickets ten days before previews started, and IT 2 sold 200. You’d do 100 divided by 200, then multiply that by how much IT 2 made on preview night, 10.5M. You’d get 5.25M

     

    Sometimes theaters won’t post showtimes for movie X at the same time as they did for movie Y during their presales. So, you can go a step further and do adjusted comps.

     

    Going back to the example, let’s say IT 2 had showtimes for theater 5, but Joker didn’t yet. So, you’d take the 200 tickets that IT 2 sold, and subtract how many theater 5 sold. We’ll say theater 5 sold 20 tickets. So you do 200-20, and get 180. Then you do the regular comp process. 100 divided by 180, multiply that by 10.5M. And you get 5.83M

     

    If you’re not already, make sure you’re saving the presales data you’re posting on here. It looks like you’re posting enough information that you could just go back through here, but it’ll be a lot easier to have it all in one place.

    • Like 4
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  3. 23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

    Joker Thursday Night Showings Denver

    AMC Westminster 24    
    Dolby:    
    4:00 PM 12 217
    7:00 PM 89 217
    10:00 PM 21 217
    Prime:    
    4:30 PM 5 187
    7:30 PM 28 187
    10:30 PM 5 187
    2D:    
    5:00 PM 3 158
    5:30 PM 0 92
    6:30 PM 5 94
    8:00 PM 14 158
    8:30 PM 4 92
    9:30 PM 0 94
    11:00 PM 0 158
         
    Total 186 2058

     

    AMC Highlands 24    
    IMAX:    
    4:30 PM 4 384
    7:30 PM 11 384
    10:30 PM 1 384
    Dolby:    
    4:00 PM 13 210
    7:00 PM 65 210
    10:00 PM 10 210
    2D:    
    5:15 PM 2 159
    5:45 PM 0 159
    6:15 PM 4 85
    6:30 PM 2 85
    7:15 PM 0 52
    8:15 PM 0 159
    8:45 PM 2 159
    9:15 PM 0 85
    9:30 PM 0 85
    10:15 PM 2 52
         
    Total 116 2862

     

    SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS  SHOWINGS
    677 79 14616 4.63% 8 81

     

    IT 2 comp: 6.09M

    Adjusted Lion King comp: 6.92M

     

    Joker has now fallen behind IT 2 in day to day sales. However, IT 2 had Century Aurora, so Joker should be ahead when accounting for that. But it is close between them now.

    Joker Thursday Night Showings Denver

    AMC Westminster 24    
    Dolby:    
    4:00 PM 14 217
    7:00 PM 92 217
    10:00 PM 31 217
    Prime:    
    4:30 PM 5 187
    7:30 PM 34 187
    10:30 PM 7 187
    2D:    
    5:00 PM 3 158
    5:30 PM 0 92
    6:30 PM 7 94
    8:00 PM 14 158
    8:30 PM 4 92
    9:30 PM 0 94
    11:00 PM 0 158
         
    Total 211 2058

     

    AMC Highlands 24    
    IMAX:    
    4:30 PM 4 384
    7:30 PM 15 384
    10:30 PM 1 384
    Dolby:    
    4:00 PM 14 210
    7:00 PM 68 210
    10:00 PM 12 210
    2D:    
    5:15 PM 2 159
    5:45 PM 0 159
    6:15 PM 4 85
    6:30 PM 2 85
    7:15 PM 0 52
    8:15 PM 0 159
    8:45 PM 2 159
    9:15 PM 0 85
    9:30 PM 0 85
    10:15 PM 2 52
         
    Total 126 2862

     

    SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
    754 77 14616 5.16% 8 81

     

    IT 2 comp: 6.31M

    Lion King comp: 6.16M

     

    At this point, I had all 9 theaters for TLK. So, start taking that comp with a slight grain of salt for now. But anyways, ticket sales are flat from yesterday as you can see. It's still behind IT 2's pace, but not by much. The gap is growing though. With Aurora, I don't know whether Joker would be ahead or not. But to tie with IT by Thursday, Joker needs to really pick it up. Accounting for Aurora, Joker needs to outsell IT by exactly 500 by Thursday. The chances seem pretty slim.

    • Like 3
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  4. Abominable Thursday Night Showings Denver

    AMC Westminster 24    
    3D:    
    7:00 PM 13 56
    9:45 PM 3 56
    Prime:    
    6:00 PM 10 187
    2D:    
    6:00 PM 13 92
    8:45 PM 6 92
         
    Total 45 483

     

    AMC Highlands 24    
    3D:    
    7:00 PM 0 45
    Dolby:    
    6:30 PM 12 210
    2D:    
    6:00 PM 2 85
         
    Total 14 340

     

    SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
    233 170 5198 4.48% 9 40

     

    Dora comp: 756K

    Art of Racing in the Rain comp: 444K

    Lion King comp: 706K

     

    I'm inclined to believe the Dora and Lion King comp. Using the Smallfoot IM, it would have a range of 19-20.4M for the weekend. I'll just go with what TLK and Dora says, and go with 730K. Definitely not confident in that though.

     

    Also, @Eric!, interesting how our final numbers are pretty similar, but our comps are so different. The difference for Dora is definitely because of the large Hispanic presence here, but I'm not sure about Art of Racing in the Rain.

    • Like 6
    • Thanks 2
  5. 23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

    Joker Thursday Night Showings Denver

    AMC Westminster 24    
    Dolby:    
    4:00 PM 10 217
    7:00 PM 89 217
    10:00 PM 19 217
    Prime:    
    4:30 PM 5 187
    7:30 PM 24 187
    10:30 PM 5 187
    2D:    
    5:00 PM 4 158
    5:30 PM 0 92
    6:30 PM 5 94
    8:00 PM 12 158
    8:30 PM 4 92
    9:30 PM 0 94
    11:00 PM 0 158
         
    Total 177 2058

     

    AMC Highlands 24

       
    IMAX:    
    4:30 PM 4 384
    7:30 PM 10 384
    10:30 PM 0 384
    Dolby:    
    4:00 PM 11 210
    7:00 PM 59 210
    10:00 PM 10 210
    2D:    
    5:15 PM 0 159
    5:45 PM 0 159
    6:15 PM 2 85
    6:30 PM 2 85
    7:15 PM 0 52
    8:15 PM 0 159
    8:45 PM 2 159
    9:15 PM 0 85
    9:30 PM 0 85
    10:15 PM 2 52
         
    Total 102 2862

     

    SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
    598 103 14616 4.09% 8 81

     

    IT 2 comp: 5.78M

    Adjusted Lion King comp: 6.6M

    Joker Thursday Night Showings Denver

    AMC Westminster 24    
    Dolby:    
    4:00 PM 12 217
    7:00 PM 89 217
    10:00 PM 21 217
    Prime:    
    4:30 PM 5 187
    7:30 PM 28 187
    10:30 PM 5 187
    2D:    
    5:00 PM 3 158
    5:30 PM 0 92
    6:30 PM 5 94
    8:00 PM 14 158
    8:30 PM 4 92
    9:30 PM 0 94
    11:00 PM 0 158
         
    Total 186 2058

     

    AMC Highlands 24    
    IMAX:    
    4:30 PM 4 384
    7:30 PM 11 384
    10:30 PM 1 384
    Dolby:    
    4:00 PM 13 210
    7:00 PM 65 210
    10:00 PM 10 210
    2D:    
    5:15 PM 2 159
    5:45 PM 0 159
    6:15 PM 4 85
    6:30 PM 2 85
    7:15 PM 0 52
    8:15 PM 0 159
    8:45 PM 2 159
    9:15 PM 0 85
    9:30 PM 0 85
    10:15 PM 2 52
         
    Total 116 2862

     

    SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS  SHOWINGS
    677 79 14616 4.63% 8 81

     

    IT 2 comp: 6.09M

    Adjusted Lion King comp: 6.92M

     

    Joker has now fallen behind IT 2 in day to day sales. However, IT 2 had Century Aurora, so Joker should be ahead when accounting for that. But it is close between them now.

    • Like 3
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  6. https://deadline.com/2019/09/maleficent-mistress-of-evil-zombieland-2-opening-weekend-projections-1202745437/

    Quote

    This morning, tracking showed that Disney’s sequel Maleficent: Mistress of Evil is set to open on Oct. 18 to $50M, while Sony’s Zombieland: Double Tap is on course to do $25M.

     

    Meanwhile, tracking is still sees Warner Bros. Joker next Friday as October’s biggest opener of all-time with $84M, besting previous champ Venom ($80.2M).


    In regards to Oct. 11 releases, updated projections show Paramount’s Will Smith movie from director Ang Lee, Gemini Man, strong with African American crowd with $29M-$30M. MGM’s animated feature release of The Addams Family is also looking great with $28M.

     

     

    • Thanks 3
  7. 1 hour ago, DCfanboy4Life said:

    I’d like to get in on the action for joker! What do I need to do to keep you guys updated on my city 

    Pick a theater, or multiple theaters if you’d prefer. Use word, excel, or an alternative equivalent to these two to record the data. Use Fandango, Atom tickets, or the theater’s website to go through each showtime and count the number of seats in the theater, and the number of seats sold. Record them in word or excel. Below, I have examples of how I did it with Excel and Word. Try to pick a time that will best suit you everyday so it will be recorded every 24 hours.

     

    If you think you might want to do this for more movies, I’d recommend you make a separate word document to record the count for each day. 
     

    For example:

    Joker: 
    Day 2: 1(seats sold)/5(total seats in theater(s))

    Day 1: 5/10

     

    The day number being the number of days until previews start.
     

    If you do multiple theaters, I’d even record the individual tickets sold for each theater. 


    Joker: 

    Day 2: Three theaters: 1, 0, 0: 1/5(No theater X or theater Y)

    Day 1: Five theaters: 1, 0, 0, 0, 4: 5/10

     

    Make sure you record the theater counts in the same order every time so you know which ones are which. And record which theaters don’t have showtimes that day. I bold everything but the individual theater counts so it’s clear that they are the individual theaters.

     

    Excel example(imagine there are borders around each box):

    15 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

    Joker Thursday Night Showings Denver

    AMC Westminster 24    
    Dolby:    
    4:00 PM 10 217
    7:00 PM 89 217
    10:00 PM 19 217
    Prime:    
    4:30 PM 5 187
    7:30 PM 24 187
    10:30 PM 5 187
    2D:    
    5:00 PM 4 158
    5:30 PM 0 92
    6:30 PM 5 94
    8:00 PM 12 158
    8:30 PM 4 92
    9:30 PM 0 94
    11:00 PM 0 158
         
    Total 177 2058

     

    AMC Highlands 24

       
    IMAX:    
    4:30 PM 4 384
    7:30 PM 10 384
    10:30 PM 0 384
    Dolby:    
    4:00 PM 11 210
    7:00 PM 59 210
    10:00 PM 10 210
    2D:    
    5:15 PM 0 159
    5:45 PM 0 159
    6:15 PM 2 85
    6:30 PM 2 85
    7:15 PM 0 52
    8:15 PM 0 159
    8:45 PM 2 159
    9:15 PM 0 85
    9:30 PM 0 85
    10:15 PM 2 52
         
    Total 102 2862

     

    SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
    598 103 14616 4.09% 8 81

    Word example:

    On 9/19/2019 at 7:31 PM, Inceptionzq said:

    Ad Astra Thursday Night Showings Denver

    AMC Westminster Promenade 24:

    IMAX:

    7 PM – 81/411(+40)

    10 PM – 23/411(+11)

    2D:

    7 PM – 40/94(+24)

    10:30 PM – 15/94(+11)

    AMC Highlands Ranch 24:

    2D:

    NEW 7:30 PM – 72/159(+72)

    Total from 9 theaters(27 showings): 661(+507)/4201(+581)(15.7%)

    Hope that helps! Good luck and have fun!

    • Like 2
    • Thanks 4
  8. 23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

    Joker Thursday Night Showings Denver

    AMC Westminster 24

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Dolby:

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    4:00 PM

     

     

    9

     

     

    217

     

     

    7:00 PM

     

     

    72

     

     

    217

     

     

    10:00 PM

     

     

    16

     

     

    217

     

     

    Prime:

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    4:30 PM

     

     

    4

     

     

    187

     

     

    7:30 PM

     

     

    19

     

     

    187

     

     

    10:30 PM

     

     

    4

     

     

    187

     

     

    2D:

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    5:00 PM

     

     

    4

     

     

    158

     

     

    5:30 PM

     

     

    0

     

     

    92

     

     

    6:30 PM

     

     

    5

     

     

    94

     

     

    8:00 PM

     

     

    12

     

     

    158

     

     

    8:30 PM

     

     

    4

     

     

    92

     

     

    9:30 PM

     

     

    0

     

     

    94

     

     

    11:00 PM

     

     

    0

     

     

    158

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Total

     

     

    149

     

     

    2058

     

     

    AMC Highlands 24

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    IMAX:

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    4:30 PM

     

     

    4

     

     

    384

     

     

    7:30 PM

     

     

    10

     

     

    384

     

     

    10:30 PM

     

     

    0

     

     

    384

     

     

    Dolby:

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    4:00 PM

     

     

    5

     

     

    210

     

     

    7:00 PM

     

     

    49

     

     

    210

     

     

    10:00 PM

     

     

    9

     

     

    210

     

     

    2D:

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    5:15 PM

     

     

    0

     

     

    159

     

     

    5:45 PM

     

     

    0

     

     

    159

     

     

    6:15 PM

     

     

    2

     

     

    85

     

     

    6:30 PM

     

     

    2

     

     

    85

     

     

    7:15 PM

     

     

    0

     

     

    52

     

     

    8:15 PM

     

     

    0

     

     

    159

     

     

    8:45 PM

     

     

    2

     

     

    159

     

     

    9:15 PM

     

     

    0

     

     

    85

     

     

    9:30 PM

     

     

    0

     

     

    85

     

     

    10:15 PM

     

     

    2

     

     

    52

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Total

     

     

    85

     

     

    2862

     

     

     

    SEATS SOLD

     

     

    SOLD TODAY

     

     

    TOTAL SEATS

     

     

    PERCENT SOLD

     

     

    THEATERS

     

     

    SHOWINGS

     

     

    495

     

     

    140

     

     

    14616

     

     

    3.39%

     

     

    8

     

     

    81

     

     

     

    Showings added: 2

    Seats added: 550

     

    If you haven't already heard, Century Aurora XD will not be showing Joker. For IT 2, that theater sold almost 13% of the tickets out of the 9 theaters. So, it messes things up a bit. I won't be able to adjust for that theater until the last couple days because I only recently started saving individual theater counts. But I'll continue to do regular comps, and hopefully my other nearby theaters will pick up some of that loss. Just take them with a grain of salt. 

     

    IT 2 comp: 5.13M

    Adjusted Lion King comp: 5.82M

     

    For TLK, I didn't track the Aurora theater at this point. So the comp is probably a better look at what it's looking like in Denver right now.

    Joker Thursday Night Showings Denver

    AMC Westminster 24    
    Dolby:    
    4:00 PM 10 217
    7:00 PM 89 217
    10:00 PM 19 217
    Prime:    
    4:30 PM 5 187
    7:30 PM 24 187
    10:30 PM 5 187
    2D:    
    5:00 PM 4 158
    5:30 PM 0 92
    6:30 PM 5 94
    8:00 PM 12 158
    8:30 PM 4 92
    9:30 PM 0 94
    11:00 PM 0 158
         
    Total 177 2058

     

    AMC Highlands 24

       
    IMAX:    
    4:30 PM 4 384
    7:30 PM 10 384
    10:30 PM 0 384
    Dolby:    
    4:00 PM 11 210
    7:00 PM 59 210
    10:00 PM 10 210
    2D:    
    5:15 PM 0 159
    5:45 PM 0 159
    6:15 PM 2 85
    6:30 PM 2 85
    7:15 PM 0 52
    8:15 PM 0 159
    8:45 PM 2 159
    9:15 PM 0 85
    9:30 PM 0 85
    10:15 PM 2 52
         
    Total 102 2862

     

    SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
    598 103 14616 4.09% 8 81

     

    IT 2 comp: 5.78M

    Adjusted Lion King comp: 6.6M

    • Like 3
    • Thanks 3
  9. 23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

    Joker Thursday Night Showings Denver

    AMC Westminster 24    
    Dolby:    
    4:00 PM 4 217
    7:00 PM 52 217
    10:00 PM 15 217
    Prime:    
    4:30 PM 4 187
    7:30 PM 15 187
    10:30 PM 0 187
    2D:    
    5:00 PM 3 158
    5:30 PM 0 92
    6:30 PM 3 94
    8:00 PM 9 158
    8:30 PM 4 92
    9:30 PM 0 94
    11:00 PM 0 158

     

    AMC Highlands 24    
    IMAX:    
    4:30 PM 3 384
    7:30 PM 5 384
    10:30 PM 0 384
    Dolby:    
    4:00 PM 5 210
    7:00 PM 31 210
    10:00 PM 8 210
    2D:    
    5:15 PM 0 159
    5:45 PM 0 159
    6:15 PM 0 85
    6:30 PM 0 85
    7:15 PM 0 52
    8:15 PM 0 159
    8:45 PM 2 159
    9:15 PM 0 85
    9:30 PM 0 85
    10:15 PM 2 52

     

    SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS  SHOWINGS
    355 355 14066 2.52% 8 79

    Seems like a good start. Comps are worthless right now. One theater has yet to put up showings, and multiple theaters don't look like they've posted their full lineup yet. So, there's probably still a lot more to come. 

    Also, are the lines on the charts not showing up for anyone? It was doing that for me yesterday, but magically appeared a couple hours after I posted.

    Joker Thursday Night Showings Denver

    AMC Westminster 24

     

     

    Dolby:

     

     

    4:00 PM

    9

    217

    7:00 PM

    72

    217

    10:00 PM

    16

    217

    Prime:

     

     

    4:30 PM

    4

    187

    7:30 PM

    19

    187

    10:30 PM

    4

    187

    2D:

     

     

    5:00 PM

    4

    158

    5:30 PM

    0

    92

    6:30 PM

    5

    94

    8:00 PM

    12

    158

    8:30 PM

    4

    92

    9:30 PM

    0

    94

    11:00 PM

    0

    158

     

     

     

    Total

    149

    2058

    AMC Highlands 24

     

     

    IMAX:

     

     

    4:30 PM

    4

    384

    7:30 PM

    10

    384

    10:30 PM

    0

    384

    Dolby:

     

     

    4:00 PM

    5

    210

    7:00 PM

    49

    210

    10:00 PM

    9

    210

    2D:

     

     

    5:15 PM

    0

    159

    5:45 PM

    0

    159

    6:15 PM

    2

    85

    6:30 PM

    2

    85

    7:15 PM

    0

    52

    8:15 PM

    0

    159

    8:45 PM

    2

    159

    9:15 PM

    0

    85

    9:30 PM

    0

    85

    10:15 PM

    2

    52

     

     

     

    Total

    85

    2862

     

    SEATS SOLD

    SOLD TODAY

    TOTAL SEATS

    PERCENT SOLD

    THEATERS

    SHOWINGS

    495

    140

    14616

    3.39%

    8

    81

     

    Showings added: 2

    Seats added: 550

     

    If you haven't already heard, Century Aurora XD will not be showing Joker. For IT 2, that theater sold almost 13% of the tickets out of the 9 theaters. So, it messes things up a bit. I won't be able to adjust for that theater until the last couple days because I only recently started saving individual theater counts. But I'll continue to do regular comps, and hopefully my other nearby theaters will pick up some of that loss. Just take them with a grain of salt. 

     

    IT 2 comp: 5.13M

    Adjusted Lion King comp: 5.82M

     

    For TLK, I didn't track the Aurora theater at this point. So the comp is probably a better look at what it's looking like in Denver right now.

    • Like 5
    • Thanks 5
  10. 5 hours ago, Thanos Legion said:

    Yeah, 200M probably won’t be for 5+ years in my estimation. But it’s still roughly the same ballpark as an actual OD that has happened, which is kind of wild.     

     

    4 years ago the OD record was 91M, and it had been the same for over 4 years by then, so my point was just that even very recently 200M OD would have sounded completely out of calibration with reality. As much above the record as a 350M OD in the present.

    Still, I don’t think anything will match the hype of Endgame for a long time. Even if something did within the next 5ish years, will ticket price inflation be enough? Nobody really knows. But average ticket price growth has slowed down quite a bit. It took 10 years for the average ticket price to increase by 27% from 2008-2018. Before that, it increased 53% from 1998-2008. And only 12% from 2013-2018.
     

    https://www.boxofficemojo.com/about/adjuster.htm

     

    I think Endgame is the peak of the MCU. It’ll still be really successful though. TFA is the peak of Star Wars. I don’t think Avatar will reach the heights of the MCU or Star Wars. So, unless ticket prices go through the roof, I really don’t think a 200M OD is possible for a long long time. Unless the Avatar movies surprise, what could be more hyped than the return of Star Wars or the culmination of an 11 year saga?

    • Like 2
    • Knock It Off 1
  11. 1 hour ago, Thanos Legion said:

    Amusingly a 200M OD is actually no longer in that “lolol, this number is so utterly impossible for any movie” realm anymore. That’s only 27% above the current OD record 🤣

    Nah there’s no way any movie in the foreseeable future is gonna get close. Only 5 movies have broken 85M, and they were: Endgame, TFA, IW, TLJ, and Deathly Hallows Part 2. And only 4 with 100M+, Avengers and Star Wars movies. TRoS is the only movie that actually has a shot of joining that list for a while. And there’s definitely no movie that will reach Endgame levels of hype for a very long time, much less even get close to 200M.

    • Like 4
  12. Joker Thursday Night Showings Denver

    AMC Westminster 24    
    Dolby:    
    4:00 PM 4 217
    7:00 PM 52 217
    10:00 PM 15 217
    Prime:    
    4:30 PM 4 187
    7:30 PM 15 187
    10:30 PM 0 187
    2D:    
    5:00 PM 3 158
    5:30 PM 0 92
    6:30 PM 3 94
    8:00 PM 9 158
    8:30 PM 4 92
    9:30 PM 0 94
    11:00 PM 0 158

     

    AMC Highlands 24    
    IMAX:    
    4:30 PM 3 384
    7:30 PM 5 384
    10:30 PM 0 384
    Dolby:    
    4:00 PM 5 210
    7:00 PM 31 210
    10:00 PM 8 210
    2D:    
    5:15 PM 0 159
    5:45 PM 0 159
    6:15 PM 0 85
    6:30 PM 0 85
    7:15 PM 0 52
    8:15 PM 0 159
    8:45 PM 2 159
    9:15 PM 0 85
    9:30 PM 0 85
    10:15 PM 2 52

     

    SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS  SHOWINGS
    355 355 14066 2.52% 8 79

    Seems like a good start. Comps are worthless right now. One theater has yet to put up showings, and multiple theaters don't look like they've posted their full lineup yet. So, there's probably still a lot more to come. 

    Also, are the lines on the charts not showing up for anyone? It was doing that for me yesterday, but magically appeared a couple hours after I posted.

    • Like 2
    • Thanks 2
  13. On 9/21/2019 at 4:28 PM, Inceptionzq said:

    Maleficent: Mistress of Evil Thursday Night Denver

    AMC Westminster 24    
    3D:    
    7:30 PM 5 48
    10:20 PM 3 48
    2D:    
    7:00 PM 12 158
    10:05 PM 0 158
    Total 20 412

     

    SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
    46 4 3049 1.508691374 7 23

    Maleficent: Mistress of Evil Thursday Night Denver

    AMC Westminster 24    
    3D:    
    7:30 PM 5 48
    10:20 PM 3 48
    2D:    
    7:00 PM 12 158
    10:05 PM 0 158
    SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
    46 0 3049 1.51% 7 23

    Probably gonna stop posting this until TLK comp comes around in a week. Hopefully it'll pick up some more steam by then

    • Thanks 3
  14. 23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

    Maleficent: Mistress of Evil Thursday Night Denver

    AMC Westminster 24    
    3D:    
    7:30 PM 4 48
    10:20 PM 3 48
    2D:    
    7:00 PM 11 158
    10:05 PM 0 158

     

    SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD
    42 1 3049

    1.37750082

    THEATERS SHOWINGS
    7 23

    Finally decided to change from Word to Excel to make my life easier.

    Maleficent: Mistress of Evil Thursday Night Denver

    AMC Westminster 24    
    3D:    
    7:30 PM 5 48
    10:20 PM 3 48
    2D:    
    7:00 PM 12 158
    10:05 PM 0 158
    Total 20 412

     

    SEATS SOLD SOLD TODAY TOTAL SEATS PERCENT SOLD THEATERS SHOWINGS
    46 4 3049 1.508691374 7 23
    • Like 3
    • Thanks 1
  15. 9 minutes ago, captainwondyful said:

    I will say what I'm doing right now is going back through the thread and compiling all the data into a spreadsheet.  I will probably go back as far as Pulse Dying (#RIP) since that's when most people jumped on board.  

     

    (Also - if people have their OWN spreadsheets with their past data, and want to forward them to me, that would quicken the process.)

     

    I kiiiiinda of like everything together in this thread.  Maybe we could just pin some posts and have that be the overall post we update with final results?  

     

    IDK.  What do other people think?

    I think it’s better to keep it all here. This thread is already pinned to the top anyways. 
     

    And I’ll be able to send my data to you in a couple hours

  16. 18 minutes ago, DAJK said:

    Actuals 1.5, 1.3, 2.1. While my comps weren’t the best, I do kind of want to pat myself on the back for knowing my market well enough to know when/how to adjust those comps. Shoulda gone a bit higher with Astra (followed the First Man comp slightly more) but oh well.

     

    great job to everyone who had some pretty great estimates in this thread last night :)

    Not too bad in Denver either. Expect for Ad Astra.

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