[Avatar: The Way of Water | 16 DEC 2022 | Don't worry guys, critics like it]

2 hours ago, Elessar said:

 

I'm no expert in evaluating presales data but $200m would require a lot of walk-up business, wouldn't it? Definitely not impossible since it's not as fanboy driven but man, expectations are getting really high. I don't want to get disappointed when it doesn't quite hit those numbers! 

Haha yeah, Deadline is not exactly a precise calculator for incoming grosses, but I thought it was a cool blurb to show that they're considering the possibility. Agreed with XXR that it would need some insane walkups. I'm still banking on $180-190m, which, let's be clear, would be a fantastic result.

[Avatar: The Way of Water | 16 DEC 2022 | Don't worry guys, critics like it]

Deadline's latest weekend box office update + Avatar 2 domestic OW blurb

 

"Also, with 20th Century Studios/Disney’s Avatar: The Way of Water set to conquer all business next weekend with a potential $200M domestic start, nobody wants to waste the marketing dollars to play in front of that, especially when moviegoing doesn’t pick up until after Christmas, when there’s zero holiday distractions and kids go on break."

[Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)]

 

[Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)]

 

[Avatar: The Way of Water | 16 DEC 2022 | Don't worry guys, critics like it]

14 minutes ago, stuart360 said:

Is it even possible for it to open that high in China with half the cinema's shut?.

I'll tell you somehting, if it opens that high, its doing 800mil easy.

Chinese cinemas for at 59% capacity as of yesterday, I believe! Things are fickle, but there's reason to believe it will continue improving until the day of release.

[Avatar: The Way of Water | 16 DEC 2022 | Don't worry guys, critics like it]

Just now, Sheldon Cr said:

Wow forgot Avatar 2 releases way before us in CHina.. These numbers look great that you posted. What are you hoping it will make there Brother Dragon Caine

This is just the presale as of about 6 hours ago today, I believe the movie releases on the 16th in China and the U.S. I'd love to see an overall tally of $600-700m just from China. The low end feels attainable, while the high end is still possible but would be so awesome.

[Avatar: The Way of Water | 16 DEC 2022 | Don't worry guys, critics like it]

[Avatar: The Way of Water | 16 DEC 2022 | Don't worry guys, critics like it]

My personal hype has become deafening. Head empty until 12/16

[The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)]

4 minutes ago, Shawn said:

It's in the publication queue now. I think Avatar fans will enjoy it.

$180m+ dom OW incoming, fam

[Avatar: The Way of Water | 16 DEC 2022 | Don't worry guys, critics like it]

 

[Avatar: The Way of Water | 16 DEC 2022 | Don't worry guys, critics like it]

As of three hours ago, Avatar 2 hit $8.5m in China ticket presales, best presale number of 2022, outpacing The Battle of Lake Changjin II. Could hit $600m in China or better if WOM is great.

 

https://twitter.com/Luiz_Fernando_J/status/1600857907373170688

 

https://twitter.com/gavinfeng97/status/1600834116592599040

 

And my tweets still aren't embedding :')

[Avatar: The Way of Water | 16 DEC 2022 | Don't worry guys, critics like it]

87% RT // 77 MC // A Cinema Score

[Black Adam | October 21, 2022 | New Line | Don't worry, it's a hit. Dwayne Johnson says so!]

The Rock posting cringe on main

[Avatar: The Way of Water | 16 DEC 2022 | Don't worry guys, critics like it]

38 minutes ago, Cap said:

they usually just auto embed. If they don’t, make sure to “clear formatting” at the bottom when you post the link. 

Thanks! At the risk of sounding like a boomer, how do I "clear formatting?"

35 minutes ago, XXR 4 Modsident said:

 

 

 

Like this  

 

Idk why yours doesn't. I just copied your tweet link. 

Windows is my downfall yet again!!

[Avatar: The Way of Water | 16 DEC 2022 | Don't worry guys, critics like it]

How do you embed tweets on this site?

 

2nd best start for presales in Korea's history, behind Endgame. Strong China and INT'L start globally:

 

https://twitter.com/meJat32/status/1600510789965824000

[Avatar: The Way of Water | 16 DEC 2022 | Don't worry guys, critics like it]

3 minutes ago, dignam said:

Holy sh*** i got goosebumps. First glimpse of the weeknd song 

 

 

The footage they chose for this sneak, once again, looks sensational. Jury's out on the song imo, though I love the choral overlays.

[The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)]

I think DUNE level reviews is the likeliest outcome right now. Will be very pleased if the MC score ends up in TGM territory, but mid-70s feels right. Extremely good for a spectacular, emotional holiday release. If Dune could snag a BP nom, TWoW feels even more likely.

[Avatar: The Way of Water | 16 DEC 2022 | Don't worry guys, critics like it]

1 minute ago, Sheldon Cr said:

Well you can tell he doesnt want Avatar 2 to be huge so hes lowballing it to 160s lol. Im thinking at least 20-50 M more than that for OW1  

$160m would still be an excellent domestic OW. I'll be shocked if Avatar 2 opens to $200m+ considering how leggy it's likely to be.

[Avatar: The Way of Water | 16 DEC 2022 | Don't worry guys, critics like it]

Sorry in advance for not knowing how to embed on this site, but more extremely positive reactions from critics who have written for Collider, HCA, Awards Watch, and Variety/Ebert Voices/The Playlist/IndieWire/Vanity Fair:

 

https://twitter.com/rbonaime/status/1600328398793953281

 

https://twitter.com/MarkLikesMovies/status/1600327056708902913

 

https://twitter.com/TomiLaffly/status/1600328899950391297

 

https://twitter.com/dancindanonfilm/status/1600327856550092800

 

[Avatar: The Way of Water | 16 DEC 2022 | Don't worry guys, critics like it]

6 minutes ago, Lighthouse said:

Telegraph and Guardian hating this.. interesting.

Peter Bradshaw hated the first one, so the Guardian reaction checks out. Telegraph critic (different one at the time) gave OG Avatar a 3/5. So neither outlet was predisposed to the original it seems, though obviously the Telegraph critic is different

[Avatar: The Way of Water | 16 DEC 2022 | Don't worry guys, critics like it]

9 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

How long until (totally not paid) reactions? 

 

7 minutes ago, Flamengo81 said:

So... at which time are the reactions supposed to be released?

6pm EST, though reactions will be filtering in all night, since a bunch of different-timed screenings are happening today and the movie's so long lol

[Avatar: The Way of Water | 16 DEC 2022 | Don't worry guys, critics like it]

38 minutes ago, Alexdube said:

 

Every shot in this featurette is a BANGER

[Avatar: The Way of Water | 16 DEC 2022 | Don't worry guys, critics like it]

It just started hitting me that people are actually seeing this film, a decade-plus in the making, today. Incredible. Yes, I'm really hoping for fantastic reactions, but in Cameron we trust. LFG!!!

[Avatar: The Way of Water | 16 DEC 2022 | Don't worry guys, critics like it]

2 hours ago, IronJimbo said:

Reactions in approx 11 hours from now.

We've already had around 4-5 and they've been extremely positive, remember guys! better than the first movie, visually stunning / breathtaking and emotional!

Where are these reactions? Or are you referring to what the cast has said? I gotta track them down haha

[Avatar: The Way of Water | 16 DEC 2022 | Don't worry guys, critics like it]

5 minutes ago, LonePirate said:

Evidently there is a critics screening in NYC on Tuesday for the film. Not sure what time but some reactions may leak. Apologies if this has already been posted.

The social media embargo breaks tomorrow, so I don't think it'll be a leak, but will instead arrive right on time at 6pm EST.