[New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!]

18 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I think double digit day is possible. Let us see how things go. 

Are you seeing potential for a double-digit day from the theaters you usually track? Obviously things could go either way at this point in the day, but that'd be pretty reassuring.

[New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!]

32 minutes ago, XXR the Conqueror said:

 

I have thoughts but since today is pretty much the first day with a lot of people back to work/school it's hard to tell exactly how things are going to play out. Obviously the morning/early afternoon sales are much weaker than they have been but that's expected. It's just a matter of how much will things pick up as people get off of work. Also how much will Canada over-index today? If I had to make a guess right now just based on what I'm seeing and what we THINK will happen I'd go with.....

$9.25M?

What's your personal threshold for a win today? $9m+? 

[New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!]

1 hour ago, Mr Roark said:

Finals:
 

FRI - $24,836,835
SAT - $18,053,159
SUN - $24,519,161
3-DAY - $67,409,155

MON - $21,411,622
4-DAY - $88,820,777

CUME - $446,938,691 in 18 days

That's a fucking excellent 3-day and 4-day, wow. Friday and Sunday were huge bangers.

[New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!]

I'm still keeping my Tuesday predictions at $9m but if Canada is that strong, I can see high 9s or $10m+

[New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!]

13 minutes ago, M37 said:

Not a lot of competition there though. Got a few 1/1 and 1/2 Mondays and …. American Sniper (MLK Day)

It's also the biggest 3rd Monday ever if that's any consolation

[New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!]

5 minutes ago, interiorgatordecorator said:

Industry estimates believe that Avatar 2‘s fourth weekend will be between $25M-$30M beating new wide release, Universal/Blumhouse’s PG-13 genre title M3GAN which is looking at $17M, despite tracking have that film higher in the lower $20Ms. Showtimes start Thursday at 5PM. Young females under 25 are the prime demo.

 

 

 

hummmmmmm

why do industry estimates see the same drop as rogue as the best case scenario?

$25m would be a 63% drop lmaooooooooooooooo

[New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!]

9 minutes ago, wildphantom said:

How many Oscar nominations is this thing going to get? That’ll play in its favour when they’re announced in a few weeks. 
 

I’d think the following are a lock:

 

Picture

Production Design

Cinematography

Visual Effects

Editing

Sound

 

 

JC also could get a nod for director, but I’m expecting six nominations minimum - with Picture a must if there are any fence sitters left who might throw in the towel and go see it. 

I'd say 5 nominations at a minimum (Pic, Prod Design, Cinematography, VFX, Sound), 6 is very likely (Director), 7 could happen (Editing), 8 on its best day (Score).

8 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

 

Some are already announced

Those are only shortlists, Avatar still has to make the top 5 threshold in each of those pre-announced shortlist categories.

[New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!]

These numbers are super impressive. Hoping for $9m today but feels like $8.5m+ would be good, yeah?

[New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!]

11 minutes ago, XXR the Conqueror said:

Starting tomorrow is when the useful comparisons with Avatar begin.

I know it's still very early in the day, especially PST, but would you be willing to share if any of your early data is pointing to a $20m Monday, like what was recently estimated in this thread? Feels a little light to me, but Sunday was terrific so maybe we're due for a slightly larger comedown than expected.

[Avatar :The Way of the Water OS thread]

 

[New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!]

$23-24m leads to $65.4-66.4m before actuals hit tomorrow. On the high end, Avatar 2 would beat Black Panther's 3rd weekend of $66.3m by $100k, to clinch 3rd place for all-time third-weekend gross. Wild stuff.

[New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!]

3 minutes ago, Sheldon Cr said:

Man I still see crowds in my city... So Im hoping actuals are much much higher.

 

Anyone feeling  67-68M :)?

 

. Estimates right with my predict of 63M @ 63-64M Weekend 3. Wow No drop at all and chances of an actual increase over the 2nd weekend. Imagine if 4th weekend is 50+M.. 

4th weekend being in that range feels next to impossible after the New Years and Christmas rush has subsided. Even the high end of current estimates, $40m, would be great. Let's see what happens.

 

Feels like we're in need of an update on Sunday estimates any minute now...

[New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!]

It really feels like actuals will either put A2 right over or under Black Panther's 3rd-weekend gross, so either 3rd or 4th all-time best. What a nailbiter!

[New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!]

10 minutes ago, XXR the Conqueror said:

 

Difficult to tell with the comp sets. They're still returning a decent range depending on which ratio you use. With that being said, if it matches yesterdays ratio going forward then we'd be looking at something around.....

 

If that ratio holds (or improves) through the rest of the day, Avatar 2's 3rd weekend gross is a stone's throw away from BP's 👀

[New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!]

$65m 3-day weekend, let's get it done

[New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!]

Hoping for a $23m Sunday, or at least for Tuesday's weekend actuals to reach $65m+ overall.

[New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!]

I'll be very happy with anything higher than $19.3m today. $20m+ would go so hard though 🤞

[Christmas-New Year Weekdays Thread || Avatar $20.1M THU - Top 10 DOM or Bust!]

2 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

19.75
5.7

This rocks, my $55m 3-day hopes are about to be blown out of the water lmao

[Christmas-New Year Weekdays Thread || Avatar $20.1M THU - Top 10 DOM or Bust!]

Let's get to $18m today, $55m for the 3-day, and $70m for the 4-day!

[Avatar: The Way of Water | 16 DEC 2022 | Don't worry guys, critics like it]

I was pretty underwhelmed by the story in Avatar 1 when I rewatched it earlier this year, so although the plot was tighter in the original, the characters being much more engaging here imo made for a better overall story, even if the plot was weaker.

[Christmas-New Year Weekdays Thread || Avatar $20.1M THU - Top 10 DOM or Bust!]

1 hour ago, Alex SciChannel said:

 

Damn, if this estimate holds once actuals come in, $20.4m is exactly what my heart told me last night lol. I'd link to my earlier post but I suck at BOT on mobile

[Christmas-New Year Weekdays Thread || Avatar $20.1M THU - Top 10 DOM or Bust!]

Maybe my heart isn't so misguided after all with that $20.4m hope post earlier...

[Christmas-New Year Weekdays Thread || Avatar $20.1M THU - Top 10 DOM or Bust!]

My heart says $20.2m, my gut says $19.4m. Will the Avatarheads rejoice tonight, or cope and seethe? 👀

[Christmas-New Year Weekdays Thread || Avatar $20.1M THU - Top 10 DOM or Bust!]

What do we think would constitute an impressive day here? $20m+? High 19s?

[Christmas-New Year Weekdays Thread || Avatar $20.1M THU - Top 10 DOM or Bust!]

11 minutes ago, XXR Eywa Has Heard You! said:

Still just curious….

~21% drop from Discount Tuesday? I guess that's decent. 1% bigger drop than RO, but $1m higher in actual box office. Hopefully it can hit higher in the 19s, though.