Ronin46

DL FRIDAY MIDDAY: As of right now, Lionsgate’s John Wick: Chapter 4 will be north of its high-end $70M projection in the low $70Ms, after a $30M Friday at 3,855 theaters. That’s easily the best opening day ever for a John Wick movie, bound for a franchise record stateside debut. Amazing when you compare the opening day to the fourthquel to 2017’s John Wick: Chapter 2 which posted an opening weekend of $30.4M. There’s a lot of weekend left so it’s going to be interesting to see how high this goes in the late night hours and into Saturday. While John Wick 2 saw a +4% uptick between Friday/previews and Saturday, John Wick: Chapter 3 – Parabellum saw an ease between its Friday/previews of $22.6M and Saturday of $19.6M. Rotten Tomatoes’ critics and audience scores just keep getting better every time you refresh the fourthquel’s page — how often do we see that? Rotten Tomatoes critics scores normally go down, not up. RT critics is at 96% certified fresh with an audience of 97%. Also, can we say: John Wick: Chapter 4 is the best opening for Lionsgate in the post Covid era. Rest of the box office is as follows per industry estimates: 2.) Shazam! Fury of the Gods (WB) 4,071 theaters, Fri $2.4M, 3-day $9.05M (-70%), Total $45.6M/ Wk 2 3.) Scream VI (Par) 3,355 theaters, Fri $2.5M, 3-day $9M (-48%), Total $90.4M/Wk 3 4.) Creed III (MGM) 3,207 theaters, Fri $2.3M, 3-day $8M (-48%), Total $140.5M/Wk 4 5.) 65 (Sony) 2,786 theaters, Fri $775K, 3-day $2.9M (-50%), Total $27.5M/Wk 3

They really had no idea the movie was going to be successful. The first test screenings went badly and Keanu apparently called his agent and thought his career was basically over. They did a few edits and the rest is history.

Sitting at 96% on RT after 24 reviews.

I expect Renfield and Evil Dead to be 50M grosses.

I created the club so I am quite aware of it. Shazam had a very bad drop and is at 1m dailies now. Does not look like it will recover with JW and then D&D and Mario. Just to much competition.

Shazam is 1M for Thursday.....

Box Office Report Rank Film (Distributor) Weekend Gross Total Gross % Change Week # 1 John Wick: Chapter 4 (Lionsgate) $78.5 M $78.5 M NEW 1 2 Shazam! Fury of the Gods (Warner Bros. / New Line) $11.2 M $48.0 M -63% 2 3 Creed III (MGM) $9.0 M $141.5 M -41% 4 4 Scream VI (Paramount) $8.5 M $90.0 M -51% 3 5 65 (Sony / Columbia) $3.2 M $27.8 M -45% 3 6 Ant-Man and The Wasp: Quantumania (Disney) $2.6 M $210.0 M -38% 6 7 Jesus Revolution (Lionsgate) $2.3 M $49.3 M -34% 5 8 Cocaine Bear (Universal) $2.2 M $62.3 M -44% 5 9 Avatar: The Way of Water (Disney / 20th Century) $1.65 M $680.7 M -21% 15 10 Champions (Focus) $1.35 M $13.4 M -57% 3

DanielRPK said its dropping next Wednesday.

Maybe some news about Blue Beetle is coming soon.

Your quoting someone from 2 years ago to bring up Mel? The movie is about to release, it looks great and is going to open huge. Talk about Mel another time if you have to (please dont, since it has nothing to do with this movie).

Box office pro Film Studio 3-Day Weekend Forecast Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, March 26 Fri Location Count Projection (as of Wed) 3-Day % Change from Last Wknd John Wick: Chapter 4 Lionsgate $74,300,000 $74,300,000 ~3,800 NEW Shazam! Fury of the Gods Warner Bros. Pictures $13,800,000 $51,100,000 ~4,071 -54% Scream VI Paramount Pictures $10,400,000 $91,900,000 ~3,400 -40% Creed III MGM $7,700,000 $140,600,000 ~3,200 -50% Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania Disney & Marvel Studios $2,800,000 $210,400,000 ~2,000 -34% 65 Sony Pictures / Columbia $2,700,000 $27,300,000 ~2,700 -54% Jesus Revolution Lionsgate $2,500,000 $49,600,000 ~2,100 -28% Cocaine Bear Universal Pictures $2,100,000 $62,300,000 ~2,300 -47% Champions Focus Features $1,900,000 $13,900,000 ~2,300 -39% Avatar: The Way of Water Disney & 20th Century Studios $1,500,000 $680,600,000 ~1,000 -29% Puss in Boots: The Last Wish Universal Pictures & DreamWorks Animation $1,300,000 $184,600,000 ~1,500 -16%

I think the same Atom deal pushed Creed from 45- 50 into the high 50s range (maybe it was heading that way anyway?) and this deal could be pushing JW into the high 70s range now perhaps instead of 70.

Its tracking similar to the last Scream which had 41% drop 3rd weekend and 34% drop 4th weekend.

No way it gets to 60M? It will almost certainly get there. Its not going to be 1.7x and 51M as you think. 65-70 is the likely range.

That will be after its 3rd weekend. Might gross 6M on that weekend and be doing less than 500k per day by those weekdays. 10% weekday increase from spring break is not going to do a lot by then. Wick will wipe it out this weekend and D&D after that.