abracadabra1998

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Valentine's Day: Bob Marley: One Love (T-2): Day: T-2 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 20 theaters 105 573 2072 14376 14.41 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 792 233 38.22 MTC1: 773 225 37.31 Marcus: 371 89 17.91 Alamo: 197 29 9.51 Other chains: 731 230 35.28 Comps: 0.48x The Color Purple: $7.42 Million 3.42x Napoleon (TUE): $10.26 Million 4.89x The Creator: $7.82 Million Average: $8.5 Million I do not have T-1 numbers for either TCP or The Creator, so I'm gonna have to get creative tomorrow. Anyways, this is selling crazy well in non-MTC1 chains, I am very impressed. The only knock is ATP is pretty low due to PLF (and a few more matinee sessions than usual previews), but still higher than The Color Purple. High single digits sounds right but we will see how this finishes, my comps are not very adequate for this so I wanna be a little more cautious than usual.

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Valentine's Day: Madame Web (T-2): Day: T-2 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 20 theaters 139 214 763 24019 3.18 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 472 130 61.86 MTC1: 370 83 48.49 Marcus: 125 31 16.38 Alamo: 61 15 7.99 Other chains: 207 85 27.13 Comps: 1.3x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $5.83 Million 1.5x Wonka: $5.24 Million 0.53x BoSS: $3.03 Million 2.13x Blue Beetle: $7.01 Million 0.43x MI7 (TUE): $3 Million Average: $4.82 Million This is over 2 days, didn't track yesterday because of the Superbowl. Blue Beetle is skewing things quite a bit but this is doing pretty well, can see close to 5 million for OD.

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Opening Day: The Chosen S4, Eps 4-6 (T-3): Day: T-3 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 16 theaters 28 36 246 2580 9.53 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 0 0 0 MTC1: 103 19 41.87 Marcus: 69 7 28.05 Alamo: 0 0 0 Other chains: 74 10 30.08 Comps: 0.41x The Chosen S4 Eps 1-3: $585k 1.3x After Death: $520k 1.82x The Shift: $680k Average: $595k

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews: Dune Part 2 (T-18): Day: T-18, T-14 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 17 theaters 76 142 1597 14835 10.77 Sunday Feb 25 EA: 4 theaters 4 41 680 1082 62.85 TOTALS: 80 183 2277 15917 14.31 Comps (Thursday only): 1.47x Oppy: $15.45 Million 1.8x The Marvels: $11.86 Million MI7: Missed Comps (w/ EA): 2.1x Oppy: $22.04 Million 2.56x The Marvels: $16.9 Million MI7: Missed Comps (average EA and THU): 1.79x Oppy: $18.75 Million 2.18x The Marvels: $14.38 Million MI7: Missed I'll be adding Indy and Barbie comps in the next update, and I will likely stop doing the EA and EA-average comps unless folks really feel strongly otherwise. With only 4 screens in town, I feel like it's just muddying the waters a bit too much

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Opening Day: The Chosen S4, Eps 4-6 (T-4): Day: T-4 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 17 theaters 28 210 210 2580 8.14 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 0 0 0 MTC1: 84 84 40 Marcus: 62 62 29.52 Alamo: 0 0 0 Other chains: 64 64 30.48 Comps: 0.39x The Chosen S4 Eps 1-3: $565k 1.24x After Death: $495k 1.63x The Shift: $605k Average: $555k Interesting that it's selling so much worse than the first few "episodes" but in truth I know almost nothing about these "movies" so I can't really tell you why

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews: Kung Fu Panda 4 (T-25): Day: T-25 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 17 theaters 66 21 47 9739 0.48 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 4 0 8.51 MTC1: 38 16 80.85 Marcus: 4 0 8.51 Alamo: 5 5 10.64 Other chains: 0 0 0 Comps: 0.51x Wonka: $1.79 Million 0.82x Wish (w/ EA): $1.9 Million 0.26x Trolls Band Together (w/ EA): $630k* *Trolls EA absolutely exploded here, considering taking it off this comps list after today until past its EA date and then just comparing it with THU previews Average: $1.44 Million Trolls is bringing it down a bit but even so, not great 😕

More casual audience, like the kind VD brings about —> higher % sales in smaller chains or local theaters. While MTC1/Alamo is more A-List/cinephile heavy (no MTC2 in my market so I can’t speak for that) Like Jat said though, T-4 being on a Saturday also messes with comps since that’s different than most other comps being used. Super Bowl being today also will mean less sales, but I imagine that’ll bounce back tomorrow after the trailers being played. So I don’t know, it’s all a bit messy and people shouldn’t overreact. This is the Internet after all though…

Valentine’s Day is also making it so that both of these films are indexing less at MTC1, compared to other blockbusters (both Aquaman and BB here were at around 70% MTC1 at T-4, while Web is near 50%). Something to take into account

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Valentine's Day: Bob Marley: One Love (T-4): Day: T-4 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 20 theaters 98 637 1499 13467 11.13 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 559 234 37.29 MTC1: 548 243 36.56 Marcus: 282 110 18.81 Alamo: 168 73 11.21 Other chains: 501 211 33.42 Comps: 0.46x The Color Purple: $7.03 Million 3.69x Napoleon (TUE): $11.08 Million 5.28x The Creator: $8.45 Million Average: $8.85 Million This is the Color Purple 2.0, except the PLF percentage is a little higher. Swapped out KoFM for Napoleon, feels like a better comp; don't know about the Creator but leaving it there for now. High single digits sounds right.

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Valentine's Day: Madame Web (T-4): Day: T-4 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 20 theaters 134 204 549 23609 2.33 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 342 110 62.3 MTC1: 287 98 52.28 Marcus: 94 28 17.12 Alamo: 46 16 8.38 Other chains: 122 62 22.22 Comps: 1.28x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $5.76 Million 1.5x Wonka: $5.25 Million 0.52x BoSS: $3 Million 2.33x Blue Beetle: $7.68 Million 0.41x MI7 (TUE): $2.84 Million Average: $4.91 Million Really really good update, but it's a funky T-7 to T-4 update compared to other movies that had previews on Thursday, hence me adding the MI7 comp. Tomorrow should balance it out since people will be busy watching the Superbowl. Also, like @Porthos mentioned, slightly higher portion of matinee tickets (but not as much as you'd think, since it's not a holiday). Pretty positive update though, no way around it

My hero! That mean a second good weekend for me in a row, starting to finally get a decent assortment of comps feels good ngl

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews: Kung Fu Panda 4 (T-27, Day 1 taken at 6 PM): Day: T-27 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 16 theaters 63 26 26 9083 0.29 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 4 4 15.38 MTC1: 22 22 84.62 Marcus: 4 4 15.38 Alamo: 0 0 0 Other chains: 0 0 0 Day 1 Comps: 0.55x Wonka: $1.94 Million 1.08x Trolls Band Together (w/ EA): $2.68 Million Average: $2.31 Million I will add Wish at T-25 and Haunted Mansion at T-21 as comps, but obviously not the best start, as others have pointed out. It's animation though and will skew young, and I didn't really expect a crazy rush from adults (versus something like say, Shrek or even a Pixar flick). We shall see

I was about to come here to bitch about Lisa Frankenstein’s Thursday numbers not being reported so reading this instead was a pleasant breath of fresh air Thanks for all you do @vafrow!

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews: Dune Part 2 (T-21): Day: T-21, T-17 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 17 theaters 76 178 1455 14835 9.81 Sunday Feb 25 EA: 4 theaters 4 28 639 1082 59.06 TOTALS: 80 206 2094 15917 13.16 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 1323 160 90.93 MTC1: 800 94 54.98 Marcus: 164 11 11.27 Alamo: 241 33 16.56 Other chains: 250 40 17.18 (Only Thursday preview sales accounted for in chart) Comps (Thursday only): 1.52x Oppy: $16 Million 1.79x The Marvels: $11.78 Million 2.09x MI7 (w/ EA): $18.79 Million Comps (w/ EA): 2.19x Oppy: $23.02 Million 2.57x The Marvels: $16.96 Million 3.37x MI7: $30.29 Million Comps (average EA and THU): 1.85x Oppy: $19.51 Million 2.18x The Marvels: $14.37 Million 2.73x Mi7: $24.54 Million Mandatory warning to not take comps seriously, especially this MI7 comp that was just added. That will be going down a LOT

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews: Lisa Frankenstein (T-1): Day: T-1 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 20 theaters 46 37 124 6105 2.03 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 6 2 4.84 MTC1: 58 23 46.77 Marcus: 6 2 4.84 Alamo: 30 9 24.19 Other chains: 30 3 24.19 Growth Rate (%): 1-Day: N/A 3-Day: 65.33 Comps (3-day growth rates in parentheses): 0.7x Thanksgiving: $695k (89%) 0.37x Exorcist Believer: $1.05 Million (73%) 0.9x Last Voyage of Demeter: $675k (130%) 0.4x Talk To Me: $500k (145%) 1.2x The Invitation: $930k Average: $770k Pretty terrible last couple of days sadly, The Invitation comp gives me a little bit of optimism but gonna put my final prediction at $0.8 Million, +/- 0.2.

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Valentine's Day: Bob Marley: One Love (T-7): Day: T-7 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 18 theaters 86 532 862 12346 6.98 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 325 218 37.7 MTC1: 305 205 35.38 Marcus: 172 108 19.95 Alamo: 95 42 11.02 Other chains: 290 177 33.64 Comps: 0.37x The Color Purple: $5.75 Million 1.61x KoFM: $4.17 Million 4.87x The Creator (THU): $6.57 Million Average: $5.5 Million This feels like TCP 2.0, some crazy high pre-sale numbers out of nowhere. This is looking really good for Valentine's Day, and they just added a bunch of Dolby screens at MTC1, so I expect the PLF share to keep rising as well.

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Valentine's Day: Madame Web (T-7): Day: T-7 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 18 theaters 115 235 345 20603 1.67 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 232 147 67.25 MTC1: 189 116 54.78 Marcus: 66 55 19.13 Alamo: 30 22 8.7 Other chains: 60 42 17.39 Comps: 1x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $4.53 Million 1.15x Wonka: $4.04 Million 0.48x BoSS: $2.76 Million 1.81x Blue Beetle: $5.96 Million Average: $4.32 Million Been real busy in my personal life so wasn't able to do my usual mid-week update, so the "new seats" column is over 7 days. Very solid week all in all, shaping up for a decent Valentine's Day

Ive been under the impression for the longest time that Barbie did $1.1M in EA. From what I recall the pre-sales were crazy but since its capacity was so filled up and there wasn’t a ton of screens there were barely any walk-ups

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews: Lisa Frankenstein (T-3): Day: T-3 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 17 theaters 36 12 87 5021 1.73 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 4 0 4.6 MTC1: 35 7 40.23 Marcus: 4 0 4.6 Alamo: 21 2 24.14 Other chains: 27 3 31.03 Comps: 0.84x Thanksgiving: $845k 0.37x Exorcist Believer: $1.06 Million 1.26x Last Voyage of Demeter: $945k 0.65x Talk To Me: $810k Average: $915k Took away the Haunted Mansion comp, never did much make sense anyway. Next update at T-1, I will have a The Invitation comp then which is the most direct one one would think. For now thinking 0.75-1 million previews bar a spectacular finish

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews: Dune Part 2 (T-25): Day: T-25, T-21 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 17 theaters 76 162 1277 14835 8.61 Sunday Feb 25 EA: 4 theaters 4 36 611 1082 56.47 TOTALS: 80 198 1888 15917 11.86 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 1163 142 91.07 MTC1: 706 102 55.29 Marcus: 153 14 11.98 Alamo: 208 19 16.29 Other chains: 210 27 16.44 (Only Thursday preview sales accounted for in chart) Comps (Thursday only): 1.53x Oppy: $16.1 Million 1.88x The Marvels: $12.38 Million Comps (w/ EA): 2.26x Oppy: $23.77 Million 2.77x The Marvels: $18.3 Million Comps (average EA and THU): 1.9x Oppy: $19.94 Million 2.32x The Marvels: $15.34 Million I am finally comparing all the theaters in my sample, thus the Oppy jump. This is the most pre-sale heavy thing I have tracked yet at T-25, so I am emphasizing @Porthos's point. Do not take comps seriously!

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews: Lisa Frankenstein (T-4): Day: T-4 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 17 theaters 36 23 75 5021 1.49 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 4 2 5.33 MTC1: 28 9 37.33 Marcus: 4 2 5.33 Alamo: 19 6 25.33 Other chains: 24 6 32 Comps: 0.8x Thanksgiving: $800k 0.24x Haunted Mansion: $750k 0.38x Exorcist Believer: $1.1 Million 1.25x Last Voyage of Demeter: $940k 0.69x Talk To Me: $865k Average: $890k Tracking daily from now on.

Not so bad with my Argylle prediction too, needed a couple of Ws after a tough start to 2024 😌

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews: Lisa Frankenstein (T-7): Day: T-7 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 17 theaters 36 22 52 5021 1.04 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 2 0 3.85 MTC1: 19 6 36.54 Marcus: 2 0 3.85 Alamo: 13 2 25 Other chains: 18 14 34.62 Some funky business going on in one of the Emagine theaters I track, all 14 new tickets in the"other" column come from there, and they're mostly single tickets from one screening. Seems legit for now but I'll keep an eye on it. Comps: 0.85x Thanksgiving: $850k 0.22x Haunted Mansion: $670k 0.35x Exorcist Believer: $1 Million Average: $840k

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews: Dune Part 2 (T-28): Day: T-28, T-24 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 17 theaters 76 222 1115 14835 7.52 Sunday Feb 25 EA: 4 theaters 4 27 575 1082 53.14 TOTALS: 80 249 1690 15917 10.62 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 1021 195 91.57 MTC1: 604 95 54.17 Marcus: 139 32 12.47 Alamo: 189 32 16.95 Other chains: 183 63 16.41 (Only Thursday preview sales accounted for in chart) Thursday Comp: 1.2x Oppy: $12.58 Million* *Like-for-like comp which only includes 12 theaters, no Marcus or Alamo (full comp at T-25) EA Comp: 0.87x Barbie EA: $960k Still kicking it!

Worth mentioning that Argyle has PLFs propping it up versus Night Swim but yeah…. Yikes