abracadabra1998

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews: Monkey Man (T-4): Day: T-4 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 23 theaters 49 N/A 214 5273 4.06 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 130 N/A 60.75 MTC1: 169 N/A 78.97 Alamo: 22 N/A 10.28 Other chains: 23 N/A 10.75 Comps: 1.01x Argylle: $1.73 Million (17 theaters) 1.96x The Iron Claw: $1.31 Million (17 theaters) 0.51x Napoleon (TUE): $1.52 Million (17 theaters) 0.85x The Creator (THU): $1.15 Million (17 theaters) Average: $1.43 Million Still really heavy on the MTC1, we'll see if this breaks out at all this last week.

Before I post the numbers for today, here is a quick update on some changes I made/will be making with my posts and tracking. Read if you are interested I will try to make it not too long as to not take up too much space in this thread, and use spoiler boxes to make it shorter. For those that have read my posts/tracking updates in the past, you know I have long been complaining about my sample's limitations: too urban, too cinephile-heavy, and when I overindex, I overindex a LOT, which can make comps and predictions complicated. To address this, I am changing my sample a bit. Here is a short summary of how it is changing: 1. Number of theaters: I used to track a total of 20 theaters, now I am tracking 25. 2. Location of theaters: All of my theaters used to all be in the Minneapolis-St. Paul Metro area, which was a large reason for those limitations/problems listed above. I am changing this up a little bit: 3. Type of theaters: As said above, I dropped 3 theaters that were local chains, and replaced them with bigger chains (chains that have presence outside of Minnesota, I will put it that way). 4. Time of tracking: This is for more personal reasons, but I will be checking the numbers and posting my updates later, usually 9-10 PM Central Time is what I will shoot for. This might mess with comps that were taken before this change, but it should only become a problem (if at all) at T-2 or T-1 I think. I will stick to my usual MO of tracking biweekly until the week of release, and daily updates starting at T-4. For comps, I will always do apples-to-apples comps, and make note on the post from now on when I am doing that. I always take advice, so if after reading this something jumped out to you or a change I could make, don't hesitate to reach out to me via DM, I always appreciate it as always, thanks for letting me be a part of this amazing community!

Having some big FOMO not being able to track the final days for this one awesome stuff though!

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews: Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (T-4): Day: T-4 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 20 theaters 102 274 1002 17913 5.59 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 784 197 78.24 MTC1: 551 122 54.99 Marcus: 200 87 19.96 Alamo: 63 13 6.29 Other chains: 188 52 18.76 Comps: 1.7x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: $7.97 Million 0.95x Hunger Games BoSS: $5.47 Million 0.61x FNAF: $6.26 Million 0.74x MI7 (TUE): $5.18 Million 0.84x Indy 5: $6.01 Million Average: $6.18 Million Worth mentioning that FNAF with its low PLF numbers and MI7 with its Tuesday discount are bringing the average down, so the average would be closer to 6.5-7 at the moment. Sadly this will be my last update for this movie, going on a (deserved, if I may say) lil spring break trip this week. Sad to miss this particular one, would have been a fun final week to track. Next updates for all the other flicks (Civil War, Monkey Man, Fall Guy, and soon to be First Omen) next Sunday, a week from now.

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews: Civil War (T-18): Day: T-18, T-15 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 15 theaters 57 72 72 10591 0.68 Monday April 8 EA: 1 theater 1 51 51 212 24.06 TOTALS: 58 123 123 10803 1.14 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 71 71 98.61 MTC1: 46 46 63.89 Marcus: 2 2 2.78 Alamo: 22 22 30.56 Other chains: 2 2 2.78 (Chart for Thursday only) Comps (including EA at this point): 1.23x Monkey Man: ?? 1.64x The Creator: $2.62 Million 0.41x KoFM: $1.07 Million Not a bad start but heavy on the EA (only 1 screen despite there being more IMAX screens in town, must be pretty limited). I will have better comps as the days go by

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews: Monkey Man (T-11): Day: T-11 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 16 theaters 35 19 132 4075 3.24 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 83 12 62.88 MTC1: 109 17 82.58 Marcus: 2 0 1.52 Alamo: 21 2 15.91 Other chains: 0 0 0 Comps: 1.33x Argylle: $2.27 Million 0.34x KoFM: $895k 0.79x The Creator (w/ EA): $1.26 Million Average: $1.47 Million

Civil War tickets went on sale yesterday for those interested ( @misterpepp was right as usual!). Didn’t have time after a hectic day yesterday but my first update for it will be tomorrow

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews: The Fall Guy (T-42): Day: T-42, T-41 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 17 theaters 51 17 63 9691 0.65 Sunday May 1 EA: 13 theaters 16 14 61 3764 1.62 TOTALS: 67 31 124 13455 0.92 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 58 15 92.06 MTC1: 59 13 93.65 Marcus: 0 0 0 Alamo: 4 4 6.35 Other chains: 0 0 0 Chuggin along

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews: Monkey Man (T-14): Day: T-14 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 16 theaters 35 13 113 4075 2.77 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 71 7 62.83 MTC1: 92 13 81.42 Marcus: 2 0 1.77 Alamo: 19 0 16.81 Other chains: 0 0 0 Comps: 1.36x Argylle: $2.31 Million 0.34x KoFM: $870k 0.88x The Creator (w/ EA): $1.4 Million Average: $1.53 Million

*Cersey Lannister voice* power is power (just amazed that you can reach out to the head office of a major theater chain ) Any snow storming in Canada tonight? We're getting hit in Minnesota, not terrible but definitely enough to stave off some walk-ups

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews: Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (T-7): Day: T-7 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 18 theaters 93 248 728 16287 4.47 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 587 191 80.63 MTC1: 429 130 58.93 Marcus: 113 49 15.52 Alamo: 50 12 6.87 Other chains: 136 57 18.68 Comps: 1.64x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: ???? 2.12x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $9.55 Million 1.01x Hunger Games BoSS: $5.81 Million 0.58x FNAF: $6.02 Million 0.81x MI7 (TUE): $5.67 Million 0.79x Indy 5: $5.65 Million Funnily enough, looking at @Porthos and @katnisscinnaplex last posts, the Frozen Empire comp is at 1.66x and 1.63x in Sacto and Jax/Phx/Ral respectively. Thought that was a funny coincidence!

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews: Immaculate (T-1): Day: T-1 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 20 theaters 30 36 85 2374 3.58 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 0 0 0 MTC1: 70 30 82.35 Marcus: 0 0 0 Alamo: 9 1 10.59 Other chains: 6 5 7.06 Growth Rate (%): 1-Day: N/A 3-Day: 136.11 Comps (3-day growth rates in parentheses): 0.81x Imaginary: $585k (81%) 0.48x Thanksgiving: $480k (89%) 0.28x Talk To Me (w/ EA): $345k (145%) 0.62x Last Voyage of Demeter: $460k (130%) 1.6x It Lives Inside: Not reported (1.36x of FRI + previews = $1.68 Million) Average (sans It Lives Inside): $470k Imaginary being PG-13 and Talk To Me having EA kind of messes with those comps a bit, so I'll put more weight on the other ones. A24 horror can tend to be more frontloaded than these more accessible horror types though so I'll go with $450k, +/- 50.

Minneapolis St. Paul Area Previews: Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire (T-1): Day: T-1 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 20 theaters 156 158 1119 25193 4.44 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 742 89 66.31 MTC1: 488 36 43.61 Marcus: 163 44 14.57 Alamo: 118 3 10.55 Other chains: 350 75 31.28 Growth Rate (%): 1-Day: 16.44 3-Day: 89.34 Comps (3-day growth rates in parentheses): 1.8x Wonka: $6.31 Million (69%) 0.63x BoSS: $3.64 Million (67%) 1.82x Haunted Mansion (w/ EA): $5.66 Million (115%) 0.55x Indy 5: $3.97 Million (65%) 0.48x MI7 (TUE): $3.34 Million (69%) Average: $4.58 Million Dropped against all comps. Some of that has to do with pulling the numbers late yesterday, really hard to tell how much of it is that versus a bad final day/complete lack of review bump. This is obviously riding the wave between my established IP comps versus the non-sequel stuff, but I think the best comp out of any I have is Indy (I was very surprised to learn just how old Afterlife skewed, per Deadline's last article). So I'll take the average, adjust it down with Indy in mind and go with $4.3 Million, +/- 0.3. Excited to add a family-oriented, live-action movie to my collection, I feel like I don't have very many of those.

Minneapolis St. Paul Area Previews: Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire (T-2): Day: T-2 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 20 theaters 154 243 961 24689 3.89 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 653 118 67.95 MTC1: 452 104 47.03 Marcus: 119 30 12.38 Alamo: 115 12 11.97 Other chains: 275 97 28.62 Comps: 1.88x Wonka: $6.6 Million 0.66x BoSS: $3.82 Million 2.25x Haunted Mansion (w/ EA): $6.98 Million 0.55x Indy 5: $3.99 Million 0.53x MI7 (TUE): $3.73 Million Average: $5.02 Million Pulled numbers quite a bit later than usual, so the numbers will be a little inflated. Still quite good and again rose against all comps; I would give more weight to the sequels in my comps versus the other ones, but MTC1 being under 50% cannot be ignored. Quite good numbers in smaller and local chains

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews: Immaculate (T-3): Day: T-3 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 17 theaters 24 13 49 1804 2.72 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 0 0 0 MTC1: 40 11 81.63 Marcus: 0 0 0 Alamo: 8 1 16.33 Other chains: 1 1 2.04 Comps: 0.65x Imaginary: $475k 0.48x Thanksgiving: $475k 0.37x Talk To Me (w/ EA): $455k 0.71x Last Voyage of Demeter: $535k 1.36x It Lives Inside: Not reported (1.36x of FRI + previews = $1.43 Million) Average (sans It Lives Inside): $485k Also rose against all comps! Movie-buying day in the twin cities I guess

Minneapolis St. Paul Area Previews: Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire (T-3): Day: T-3 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 20 theaters 114 127 718 20693 3.47 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 535 97 74.51 MTC1: 348 51 48.47 Marcus: 89 17 12.4 Alamo: 103 17 14.35 Other chains: 178 42 24.79 Comps: 1.43x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $6.42 Million 1.65x Wonka: $5.78 Million 0.58x BoSS: $3.32 Million 1.92x Haunted Mansion (w/ EA): $5.95 Million 0.5x Indy 5: $3.57 Million 0.47x MI7 (TUE): $3.29 Million Average: $4.72 Million Rose against all comps! Good stuff

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews: Monkey Man (T-18): Day: T-18 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 16 theaters 35 23 100 4075 2.45 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 64 19 64 MTC1: 79 21 79 Marcus: 2 2 2 Alamo: 19 0 19 Other chains: 0 0 0 Comps: Argylle: Missed 0.34x KoFM: $870k 1.33x The Creator (w/ EA): $2.13 Million

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews: Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (T-11): Day: T-11 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 17 theaters 87 128 480 15327 3.13 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 396 110 82.5 MTC1: 299 66 62.29 Marcus: 64 21 13.33 Alamo: 38 8 7.92 Other chains: 79 33 16.46 Comps: 1.36x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: ???? 1.7x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $7.63 Million 1.12x Hunger Games BoSS: $6.42 Million 0.49x FNAF: $5.07 Million 0.71x MI7 (TUE): $4.95 Million 0.59x Indy 5: $4.28 Million Rising and catching up to the other comps

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews: Immaculate (T-4): Day: T-4 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 14 theaters 21 36 36 1455 2.47 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 0 0 0 MTC1: 29 29 80.56 Marcus: 0 0 0 Alamo: 7 7 19.44 Other chains: 0 0 0 Comps: 0.62x Imaginary: $450k 0.38x Thanksgiving: $385k 0.33x Talk To Me (w/ EA): $415k 0.6x Last Voyage of Demeter: $450k 1.09x It Lives Inside: Not reported (1.09x of FRI + previews = $1.15 Million) No break-out here

Minneapolis St. Paul Area Previews: Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire (T-4): Day: T-4 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 20 theaters 112 148 591 20513 2.88 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 438 94 74.11 MTC1: 297 66 50.25 Marcus: 72 27 12.18 Alamo: 86 7 14.55 Other chains: 136 48 23.01 Comps: 1.38x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $6.2 Million 1.61x Wonka: $5.65 Million 0.56x BoSS: $3.23 Million 1.91x Haunted Mansion (w/ EA): $5.93 Million 0.49x Indy 5: $3.55 Million 0.44x MI7 (TUE): $3.06 Million Average: $4.6 Million Pretty good update! Only 50% MTC1 sales is very good for a blockbuster. We shall see how the final week goes.

Goddamn I was off

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews: The Fall Guy (T-49): Day: T-49, T-48 Shows New Sold Seats % Sold Thursday: 17 theaters 51 10 46 9691 0.47 Sunday May 1 EA: 13 theaters 16 13 47 3764 1.25 TOTALS: 67 23 93 13455 0.69 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 43 10 93.48 MTC1: 46 10 100 Marcus: 0 0 0 Alamo: 0 0 0 Other chains: 0 0 0 Comp: 0.78x The Color Purple: $11.94 Million $100 Million OW confirmed!* *THIS IS A JOKE REDDITORS!

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews: Monkey Man (T-21): Day: T-21 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 15 theaters 33 48 77 3961 1.94 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 45 29 58.44 MTC1: 58 39 75.32 Marcus: 0 0 0 Alamo: 19 9 24.68 Other chains: 0 0 0 Comps: 1.6x Argylle: $2.73 Million 0.3x KoFM: $770k I will add Napoleon and Beekeeper as comps later in the run. Good numbers but it's quite literally all Alamo and MTC1 sales and I am certainly overindexing

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews: Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (T-14): Day: T-14 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 17 theaters 82 63 352 14652 2.4 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 286 47 81.25 MTC1: 233 32 66.19 Marcus: 43 10 12.22 Alamo: 30 6 8.52 Other chains: 46 15 13.07 T-14 Comps (many of these had way longer windows and will be going up as a result; BoSS is the exception) : 1.08x Ghostbusters Frozen Empire: ???? 1.38x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $6.19 Million 1.44x Hunger Games BoSS: $8.3 Million 0.43x FNAF: $4.43 Million 0.6x MI7 (TUE): $4.2 Million 0.47x Indy 5: $3.41 Million Not super helpful other than that BoSS comp, which did go down, though that movie was hot as hell here throughout its whole pre-sales run so methinks it won't be as useful as it might be in other markets.

Minneapolis St. Paul Area Previews: Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire (T-7): Day: T-7 Shows New Seats Sold Seats % Sold Totals: 20 theaters 110 89 443 20321 2.18 Type of tix: Total: New: Percentage: PLFs: 344 63 77.65 MTC1: 231 43 52.14 Marcus: 45 5 10.16 Alamo: 79 16 17.83 Other chains: 88 25 19.86 Comps: 1.29x Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom: $5.81 Million 1.48x Wonka: $5.19 Million 0.62x BoSS: $3.54 Million 0.64x TMNT (w/ EA): $3.51 Million 1.85x Haunted Mansion (w/ EA): $5.72 Million 0.45x Indy 5: $3.23 Million Average: $4.5 Million 3 comps pulling it to the 3 level, 3 comps pulling it to the 5 level, and average spits out a clean 4.5. Not really sure if this is going to behave more like the former or the latter, so I'll keep all my comps (sans TMNT, which I didn't track after T-7) and rely on the average, which I don't love but oh wellllllllll