jeffthehat

Indiana Lite Furiosa Sun T-0 Sales Seats Shows 1042 20178 104 Comps 1.03x Furiosa Fri T-0 = $6.9m 0.90x Furiosa Sat T-0 = $7.4m 0.54x Kingdom Apes Sun T-0 = $10.2m --- Should be a nice hold today, but no surprise given the holiday

Indiana Lite Furiosa Sat T-0 Sales Seats Shows 1158 20925 107 Comps 1.14x Furiosa Fri T-0 = $7.7m 0.54x Kingdom Apes T-0 = $10.8m --- These are the 10 top selling theaters in my Indiana sample. Didn't post but I've been pulling T-0 numbers for Fri, Sat, Sun from this the past few weeks.

Indiana IF T-1 Sales Seats Shows 497 17666 114 Comps 0.28x Ghostbusters FE T-1 = $1.3m 0.21x Godzilla x Kong NE T-1 = $2.1m 0.61x Kung Fu Panda 4 T-1 = $2.3m AVG = $1.90m --- Slipped a little vs. comps. Sub-20% growth seems bad at this stage and opening size for a family film. But maybe walkups are better than presales suggest. Thinking $1.8m +/- $0.2m tomorrow.

Indiana IF T-2 Sales Seats Shows 425 15255 94 Comps 0.27x Ghostbusters FE T-2 = $1.3m 0.22x Godzilla x Kong NE T-2 = $2.2m 0.72x Kung Fu Panda 4 T-2 = $2.7m AVG = $2.07m

Indiana IF T-3 Sales Seats Shows 333 12859 77 Comps (Thu only) 0.24x Ghostbusters FE T-3 = $1.1m 0.21x Godzilla x Kong NE T-3 = $2.1m 0.57x Kung Fu Panda 4 T-3 = $2.2m 3.40x Lisa Frankenstein T-3 = $2.4m AVG = $1.95m

Def seems like a good method, but maybe it misses when walkups are exceptionally good for 3 pm and 9pm+ shows. However, I see that your T-1 hour comp for GxK NE was ~$4.2m as well, so probably just an underindex.

Predicting opening weekend is very annoying with these EA shows. Was there ever any clarity on what Civil War grossed true Thursday?

Wasn’t too keen on this. The end is fun but I found the rest slow/uneven. I wasn’t a fan of Deadpool 2 or Bullet Train either so maybe I just don’t vibe with this director.

1-2 minute request intervals get around the "not found" error for me but that obviously doesn't cut it on T-0. For GxK NE T-0 I split the shows in half and used two laptops lol. Maybe more machines/vpns could be a workaround. I've never used a rasberry pi but have been considering trying one out for this

Indiana The Fall Guy T-1ish* Sales Seats Shows 622 19757 113 *pulled 10PM EST Comps 0.33x Ghostbusters FE T-1 = $1.5m* 0.20x Dune 2 T-1 = $1.8m* 1.33x Challengers T-1 = $2.0m 0.27x GxK NE T-1 = $2.4m* 0.88x Civil War T-1 = $2.6m *pulled 10-12 hrs earlier, reduced comp 10% to account AVG = 2.06m --- Not as good of a day here. Slipped a little bit vs. comps. Thinking $2.2m +/- 0.3m true Thursday.

Indiana The Fall Guy T-2ish Sales Seats Shows 531 19708 112 Comps 0.33x Ghostbusters FE T-2 = $1.4m* 0.20x Dune 2 T-2 = $1.8m* 1.43x Challengers T-2 = $2.1m 0.28x GxK NE T-2 = $2.5m* 0.91x Civil War T-2 = $2.7m *pulled 10-12 hrs earlier, rounded comp down 10% to account AVG = $2.1m --- Pace hasn't looked encouraging to me in other markets. Challengers finished with meh walkups after good final pace so hopefully the inverse happens here.

Def strange, Indiana and Minnesota usually show similar. I think your biggest theater starting presales late could be skewing things a lot. But maybe not. We'll see!

Indiana Challengers T-1 Sales Seats Shows 468 N/A 95 *pulled 9 PM EST Comps 0.26x Ghostbusters FE T-2 = $1.2m* 0.15x Dune 2 T-2 = $1.5m* 0.66x Civil War T-2 = $1.9m 0.20x GxK NE T-2 = $2.0m* 3.54x Lisa Frankenstein T-1 = $2.1m* 2.98x Imaginary T-2 = $2.2m* *pulled 10-12 hours earlier AVG = $1.82m --- Had to count about 20 shows by hand. Pacing a little better than Civil War, which had one of the best paces I've tracked. MTC1 is ~57% of sales. For Civil War it was ~65% on T-2 or so. So don't think it's gonna be a big MTC1 skew like Monkey Man. Thinking ~$2m Thu-only as well.

Indiana Challengers T-2ish Sales Seats Shows 372 14142 86 *pulled 10 PM EST Comps 0.23x Ghostbusters FE T-2 = $1.1m 0.14x Dune 2 T-2 = $1.4m 0.64x Civil War T-2 = $1.9m 2.74x Imaginary T-2 = $2.0m 0.20x GxK NE T-2 = $2.0m AVG = $1.68m --- Pace looks really good here. This is like T-1.5 relative to when I pull in the US, so average is likely overshooting today. But Civil War was pulled at same time and it's the one I'm paying most attention to.

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