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Everything posted by jeffthehat
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The Fall Guy (2024) Spoiler Thread
jeffthehat replied to Eric the Ape's topic in Box Office Discussion
Wasn’t too keen on this. The end is fun but I found the rest slow/uneven. I wasn’t a fan of Deadpool 2 or Bullet Train either so maybe I just don’t vibe with this director. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
jeffthehat replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
1-2 minute request intervals get around the "not found" error for me but that obviously doesn't cut it on T-0. For GxK NE T-0 I split the shows in half and used two laptops lol. Maybe more machines/vpns could be a workaround. I've never used a rasberry pi but have been considering trying one out for this -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
jeffthehat replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Indiana The Fall Guy T-1ish* Sales Seats Shows 622 19757 113 *pulled 10PM EST Comps 0.33x Ghostbusters FE T-1 = $1.5m* 0.20x Dune 2 T-1 = $1.8m* 1.33x Challengers T-1 = $2.0m 0.27x GxK NE T-1 = $2.4m* 0.88x Civil War T-1 = $2.6m *pulled 10-12 hrs earlier, reduced comp 10% to account AVG = 2.06m --- Not as good of a day here. Slipped a little bit vs. comps. Thinking $2.2m +/- 0.3m true Thursday. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
jeffthehat replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Indiana The Fall Guy T-2ish Sales Seats Shows 531 19708 112 Comps 0.33x Ghostbusters FE T-2 = $1.4m* 0.20x Dune 2 T-2 = $1.8m* 1.43x Challengers T-2 = $2.1m 0.28x GxK NE T-2 = $2.5m* 0.91x Civil War T-2 = $2.7m *pulled 10-12 hrs earlier, rounded comp down 10% to account AVG = $2.1m --- Pace hasn't looked encouraging to me in other markets. Challengers finished with meh walkups after good final pace so hopefully the inverse happens here. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
jeffthehat replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Def strange, Indiana and Minnesota usually show similar. I think your biggest theater starting presales late could be skewing things a lot. But maybe not. We'll see! -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
jeffthehat replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Indiana Challengers T-1 Sales Seats Shows 468 N/A 95 *pulled 9 PM EST Comps 0.26x Ghostbusters FE T-2 = $1.2m* 0.15x Dune 2 T-2 = $1.5m* 0.66x Civil War T-2 = $1.9m 0.20x GxK NE T-2 = $2.0m* 3.54x Lisa Frankenstein T-1 = $2.1m* 2.98x Imaginary T-2 = $2.2m* *pulled 10-12 hours earlier AVG = $1.82m --- Had to count about 20 shows by hand. Pacing a little better than Civil War, which had one of the best paces I've tracked. MTC1 is ~57% of sales. For Civil War it was ~65% on T-2 or so. So don't think it's gonna be a big MTC1 skew like Monkey Man. Thinking ~$2m Thu-only as well. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
jeffthehat replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Indiana Challengers T-2ish Sales Seats Shows 372 14142 86 *pulled 10 PM EST Comps 0.23x Ghostbusters FE T-2 = $1.1m 0.14x Dune 2 T-2 = $1.4m 0.64x Civil War T-2 = $1.9m 2.74x Imaginary T-2 = $2.0m 0.20x GxK NE T-2 = $2.0m AVG = $1.68m --- Pace looks really good here. This is like T-1.5 relative to when I pull in the US, so average is likely overshooting today. But Civil War was pulled at same time and it's the one I'm paying most attention to. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
jeffthehat replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
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The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
jeffthehat replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Indiana Challengers T-3 Sales Seats Shows 229 11180 65 *pulled 12 AM EST Comps 0.16x Ghostbusters FE T-3 = $0.8m 0.98x Dune 2 T-3 = $1.0m 1.68x Imaginary T-3 = $1.3m 0.14x GxK NE T-3 = $1.4m 0.57x Civil War T-3 = $1.7m AVG = $1.24m --- Average is undershooting a bit because I pulled 10-12 hrs earlier than usual. Civil War was pulled around same time and it looks good. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
jeffthehat replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
It’s always fun digging into the nuances of regional tracking. I started tracking because I wanted to see how well TS Eras was doing in the South A 33% increase Saturday from true Friday is fairly standard though. Wouldn’t surprise me if Santikos gave the real number today -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
jeffthehat replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Overindexed MTC1 more than expected but pretty sure the $2.9m was just Thu. Would have to be a bigger MTC1 overindex than Monkey Man for <$2.9m true Thu to be possible and none of the data here suggested that. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
jeffthehat replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Indiana Civil War T-1 Sales Seats Shows 706 16564 98 Comps 0.39x Ghostbusters FE T-1 = $1.8m 0.23x Dune 2 T-1 = $2.3m 0.30x Godzilla x Kong T-1 = $3.0m 4.50x Imaginary T-1 = $3.3m 5.35x Lisa Frankenstein T-1 = $3.7m AVG = $2.82m --- Has risen against comps past few days. Thinking around 3m too. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
jeffthehat replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Indiana Civil War T-2 Sales Seats Shows 581 16164 92 Comps 0.37x Ghostbusters FE T-2 = $1.7m 0.22x Dune 2 T-2 = $2.2m 4.30x Imaginary T-2 = $3.1m 0.30x Godzilla x Kong T-2 = $3.0m 5.38x Lisa Frankenstein T-2 = $3.8m AVG = $2.76m --- Pulled ~8 hrs later than usual. Should probably round the average down 5-10% or something to account for the time change. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
jeffthehat replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Indiana Civil War T-3 Sales Seats Shows 461 15346 87 Comps 0.33x Ghostbusters FE T-3 = $1.6m 0.19x Dune 2 T-3 = $1.9m 3.39x Imaginary T-3 = $2.5m 0.29x Godzilla x Kong T-3 = $2.9m 4.75x Lisa Frankenstein T-3 = $3.3m AVG = $2.44m -- In Asia for a month, so sales pulled about 10 hrs later than usual. Won't have much time to track sadly. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
jeffthehat replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Malco Godzilla X Kong: New Empire T-0 Day Sales Seats Shows Fri 5383 N/A 235 Comps 1.18x Dune 2 T-0 = $23.8m 3.56x GxK NE Thu T-0 = $35.6m (lol) --- Had issues with my script but managed to hand count sales for the errors. Crazy amount of shows today. Thinking high 20s -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
jeffthehat replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Malco Godzilla X Kong: New Empire T-0 Day Sales Seats Shows Thu 1516 11858 68 Thu Comps 1.18x Ghostbusters FE T-0 = $5.6m 0.67x Dune 2 T-0 = $6.7m 1.17x HG BoSS T-0 (10 theater) = $6.7m 1.14x Marvels T-0 (10 theater) = $7.5m 2.60x Wonka T-0 (10 theater) = $9.2m THU AVG = $7.14m --- Adding 10 theater comps brings the average up here. Overall the data I've got from Malco and Indiana hasn't seemed strong, suggesting weakness in the midwest/south for this. But like M37 said, releases from the past 6 months have skewed frontloaded/fan-driven. And I've only been tracking for that long. So could just be a mirage. Def interested to see where this ends up. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
jeffthehat replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Indiana Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire T-1 Sales Seats Shows 2328 33179 198 Comps 0.77x Dune 2 T-1 = $7.7m 1.29x Ghostbusters FE T-1 = $6.1m 1.39x Madame Web V-day T-1 = $8.3m AVG = $7.4m --- Dropped a bit against comps. Thursday hasn't looked that strong in the markets I track but could just be underindexing. No prediction for tomorrow, rooting for $8.5m+ -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
jeffthehat replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Indiana Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire T-2 Sales Seats Shows 1905 30759 179 Comps 0.72x Dune 2 T-2 = $7.2m 1.20x Ghostbusters FE T-2 = $5.7m 1.61x Madame Web V-day = $9.7m AVG = $7.53m --- +17.9% growth on the day, almost same as Malco. Added Madame Web opening Wednesday as a high-growth comp. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
jeffthehat replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Malco Godzilla X Kong: New Empire T-2 Day Sales Seats Shows Thu 957 11858 68 Fri 1708 21541 114 Thu Comps 1.17x Ghostbusters FE = $5.5m 0.60x Dune 2 = $6.0m Fri Comp 0.67x Dune 2 = $15.0m THU AVG = $5.75m --- Thursday comps rose but not by a ton. +17.6% growth on the day. Friday growth a lot better though. -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
jeffthehat replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Indiana Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire T-3 Sales Seats Shows 1615 28352 163 Comps 0.69x Dune 2 T-3 = $6.9m 1.16x Ghostbusters FE T-3 = $5.4m AVG = $6.15m -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
jeffthehat replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Malco Godzilla X Kong: New Empire T-3 Day Sales Seats Shows Thu 814 11858 68 Fri 1381 21154 111 Thu Comps 1.13x Ghostbusters FE = $5.3m 0.56x Dune 2 = $5.6m Fri Comps 1.55x Ghostbusters FE = $17.5m 0.67x Dune 2 = 13.6m THU AVG = $5.45m FRI AVG = $15.55m --- Entered wrong numbers last update -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
jeffthehat replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Indiana Civil War T-18 Sales Seats Shows 108 12860 69 Monkey Man had 88 sales on first day, so starting a little better than that here