jeffthehat

Def strange, Indiana and Minnesota usually show similar. I think your biggest theater starting presales late could be skewing things a lot. But maybe not. We'll see!

Indiana Challengers T-1 Sales Seats Shows 468 N/A 95 *pulled 9 PM EST Comps 0.26x Ghostbusters FE T-2 = $1.2m* 0.15x Dune 2 T-2 = $1.5m* 0.66x Civil War T-2 = $1.9m 0.20x GxK NE T-2 = $2.0m* 3.54x Lisa Frankenstein T-1 = $2.1m* 2.98x Imaginary T-2 = $2.2m* *pulled 10-12 hours earlier AVG = $1.82m --- Had to count about 20 shows by hand. Pacing a little better than Civil War, which had one of the best paces I've tracked. MTC1 is ~57% of sales. For Civil War it was ~65% on T-2 or so. So don't think it's gonna be a big MTC1 skew like Monkey Man. Thinking ~$2m Thu-only as well.

Indiana Challengers T-2ish Sales Seats Shows 372 14142 86 *pulled 10 PM EST Comps 0.23x Ghostbusters FE T-2 = $1.1m 0.14x Dune 2 T-2 = $1.4m 0.64x Civil War T-2 = $1.9m 2.74x Imaginary T-2 = $2.0m 0.20x GxK NE T-2 = $2.0m AVG = $1.68m --- Pace looks really good here. This is like T-1.5 relative to when I pull in the US, so average is likely overshooting today. But Civil War was pulled at same time and it's the one I'm paying most attention to.

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Indiana Challengers T-3 Sales Seats Shows 229 11180 65 *pulled 12 AM EST Comps 0.16x Ghostbusters FE T-3 = $0.8m 0.98x Dune 2 T-3 = $1.0m 1.68x Imaginary T-3 = $1.3m 0.14x GxK NE T-3 = $1.4m 0.57x Civil War T-3 = $1.7m AVG = $1.24m --- Average is undershooting a bit because I pulled 10-12 hrs earlier than usual. Civil War was pulled around same time and it looks good.

It’s always fun digging into the nuances of regional tracking. I started tracking because I wanted to see how well TS Eras was doing in the South A 33% increase Saturday from true Friday is fairly standard though. Wouldn’t surprise me if Santikos gave the real number today

Overindexed MTC1 more than expected but pretty sure the $2.9m was just Thu. Would have to be a bigger MTC1 overindex than Monkey Man for <$2.9m true Thu to be possible and none of the data here suggested that.

Indiana Civil War T-1 Sales Seats Shows 706 16564 98 Comps 0.39x Ghostbusters FE T-1 = $1.8m 0.23x Dune 2 T-1 = $2.3m 0.30x Godzilla x Kong T-1 = $3.0m 4.50x Imaginary T-1 = $3.3m 5.35x Lisa Frankenstein T-1 = $3.7m AVG = $2.82m --- Has risen against comps past few days. Thinking around 3m too.

Great trailer. Def feels like this can win 2024. Seems like audiences are craving originality more than anything now.

Indiana Civil War T-2 Sales Seats Shows 581 16164 92 Comps 0.37x Ghostbusters FE T-2 = $1.7m 0.22x Dune 2 T-2 = $2.2m 4.30x Imaginary T-2 = $3.1m 0.30x Godzilla x Kong T-2 = $3.0m 5.38x Lisa Frankenstein T-2 = $3.8m AVG = $2.76m --- Pulled ~8 hrs later than usual. Should probably round the average down 5-10% or something to account for the time change.

Indiana Civil War T-3 Sales Seats Shows 461 15346 87 Comps 0.33x Ghostbusters FE T-3 = $1.6m 0.19x Dune 2 T-3 = $1.9m 3.39x Imaginary T-3 = $2.5m 0.29x Godzilla x Kong T-3 = $2.9m 4.75x Lisa Frankenstein T-3 = $3.3m AVG = $2.44m -- In Asia for a month, so sales pulled about 10 hrs later than usual. Won't have much time to track sadly.

If studios are fudging now $80m might be locked 😄

Malco Godzilla X Kong: New Empire T-0 Day Sales Seats Shows Fri 5383 N/A 235 Comps 1.18x Dune 2 T-0 = $23.8m 3.56x GxK NE Thu T-0 = $35.6m (lol) --- Had issues with my script but managed to hand count sales for the errors. Crazy amount of shows today. Thinking high 20s

Malco Godzilla X Kong: New Empire T-0 Day Sales Seats Shows Thu 1516 11858 68 Thu Comps 1.18x Ghostbusters FE T-0 = $5.6m 0.67x Dune 2 T-0 = $6.7m 1.17x HG BoSS T-0 (10 theater) = $6.7m 1.14x Marvels T-0 (10 theater) = $7.5m 2.60x Wonka T-0 (10 theater) = $9.2m THU AVG = $7.14m --- Adding 10 theater comps brings the average up here. Overall the data I've got from Malco and Indiana hasn't seemed strong, suggesting weakness in the midwest/south for this. But like M37 said, releases from the past 6 months have skewed frontloaded/fan-driven. And I've only been tracking for that long. So could just be a mirage. Def interested to see where this ends up.

Indiana Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire T-1 Sales Seats Shows 2328 33179 198 Comps 0.77x Dune 2 T-1 = $7.7m 1.29x Ghostbusters FE T-1 = $6.1m 1.39x Madame Web V-day T-1 = $8.3m AVG = $7.4m --- Dropped a bit against comps. Thursday hasn't looked that strong in the markets I track but could just be underindexing. No prediction for tomorrow, rooting for $8.5m+