Koni

I really need to find a gif of like a pink nuclear explosion on standby...Or a nuclear explosion with a heavy pink tilt... probably gonna need it for a reaction.

No, I think you can comment on SOF, just not in this thread. You can talk about it in the SOF thread, I think.

Well, damn, June certainly was something alright. xD And to think I wanted to italicize The Flash, too... Good time for a monthly update! The Super Mario Bros. Movie Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 Fast X Spider Man: Across The Spider-Verse Mission Impossible: Dead Reckoning Part One Barbie Meg 2: The Trench Dune: Part Two The Marvels The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom Underlined - already surpassed threshold Bold - locked Italic - fairly confident The only thing I may potentially italicize here is The Marvels. Might take Meg 2 and Aquaman off the list, but we'll see next month. I REALLY wanna be confident about Spider-verse hitting $700 million, but...I just can't.

Well, that's... not the worst case scenario, at least? For either film? Still nowhere near good in the long term. Especially not with the PostTrack and RT audience scores for Indy, at least. And the absolute best case scenario for Rudy Gilman is an Elemental type run, which means it'll still lose money in the end. Holy shit, this really feels like Flash/Elemental 2: Electric Bombaloo. Man, this month has been a disaster.

As someone who was in that camp, I assumed that ATSV didn't have the issues it was reported to have and that things went fine. Sure, there were some questions as to how ATSV looked as good as it did while only costing $100 million, considering animation is fairly hard, but I didn't really think about it that much. In hindsight, I should've, mainly because limitation often breeds creativity... The answer is BioWare Magic, apparently... jesus christ. Hoenstly this is making me rethink a lot of things. I have a lot of questions, man.

When compared to Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3, Dungeons and Dragons: Honor Among Thieves has a higher Tomatometer percentage (90% vs 82%), has a slight edge in RT critic average rating(7.3 vs 7.2), and a higher Metacritic score (72 vs 64). Guardians has an A CinemaScore with a 91/79 on PostTrak while DnD has a A- CinemaScore with a 90/77 PostTrak. The reception to these films seems fairly similarm with both of them being well-recieved. Yet one of them a confirmed flop while the other's the WOM story of the year so far.

Also The Last Ronin is getting a game adaptation inspired by big action RPGs such as God of War: https://www.polygon.com/23645176/tmnt-last-ronin-video-game-graphic-novel-ninja-turtles

If I had to guess, it's because "why only make some money, when you can make all of the money?" Releasing a big-budget film is more of a risk, but the payoff I imagine is far greater. And I bet companies really only see the potential profits they can make rather than consider their losses. People have gotten used to the concept of reboots, too, so if an IP you know can do big numbers fails, then you can always just try again down the line.

For the record, I don't really care about the Snyderverse or whatever. In fact, I'm honestly really confused as to why Zack Snyder of all directors has such an intense cult following. Never made sense to me. This entire situation we're in now can be traced back to his decisions and WB's failure to not just give the whole thing a complete and hard reboot. I'm more in disbelief at what I said there. Having The Rock fight Superman should NOT sound like a better idea in hindsight.

We all treated him too harshly. Turns out The Rock was the only thing keeping Black Adam from being a complete disaster. He truly is a star. The fact that having him fight Cavill as Superman might've genuinely been a better idea financially feels wrong to say, but depending on how Gunn's DCU forms... I know it sounds hyperbolic, but still...

Incredible run, but man, what a steep drop. Elemental and Flash really hit that film a lot harder than I thought. Too much competition, and the sad thing about is that almost all of the biggest movies are flopping. I'm hoping Mario can still somewhat take advantage of the summer holidays, but Elemental'll have a hold on theaters for a bit cause it's a DIsney Film, and Ruby Gillman is in two weeks...

Wait, The Numbers has Fast X at $1.62 million for the weekend. Which one is correct?

There's a really good argument that Spiderverse should take back the PLFs next weekend...

I know the post you replied to mentioned Guardians, but it's very likely Mario alone outgrosses all of 2023's DCEU movies combined. That...should not happen. Guardians is gonna save the MCU from similar embarassment.

...is it too late to float sub-$50M on the table? Cause at this point, I just wanna see how far this falls just for the chaos.

Reminder that a camrip of the whole Mario movie went viral on Twitter (to the point of news articles covering it), and millions watched the whole movie that way. Still didn't stop the film from doing $570 million domestic and over $1.3 billion WW.

I really think that $30m weekend stream might end next week. Our best chance at continuing might legitimately be the fourth weekend of ATSV...

Elio looks way more interesting than anything I've seen in Elemental. Okay, harsh, but I enjoyed that teaser trailer. Hope this film surprises! Really liked Coco.

That sub went dark to protest Reddit's API changes, so there won't be much in the way of reactions there. ...though this means this forum might be seeing a temporary influx of new users, at least for the next few days.

I'm not sure if I completely follow here... sorry about that, still new here.

So I'm not sure if this is exactly the right thread for this, but here's an interesting bit of news that came from an article from the New York Times about Universal's PVOD strategy: “The Super Mario Bros. Movie” has generated more than $75 million in premium V.O.D. revenue since May 16, Universal said. “Jurassic World: Dominion,” “The Croods: A New Age” and “Sing 2” each collected more than $50 million. Universal said 14 films, including “News of the World,” a period drama starring Tom Hanks, and “M3gan,” each had more than $25 million. This got me wondering. When everything is said and done, how much profit do you guys think this movie will be making? Just in general for all parties involved?

The Super Mario Bros. Movie Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 Fast X Spider Man: Across The Spider-Verse The Flash Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny Mission Impossible: Dead Reckoning Part One Meg 2: The Trench Dune: Part Two The Marvels The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom Underlined - already surpassed threshold Bold - locked Italic - fairly confident The rest I think have a shot but have major questions that cause me to doubt it. This may change over time - to be more specific, I may italicize Flash, Marvels, and Aquaman, since I think they're fairly close.

So, uh, about that... EDIT: It's probably Deadline being Deadline, but them coming out with an article that says 16m 5 minutes after that statement is something I just find funny.

It's so weird. From my experience...well, maybe it's just a vocal minority, I see more people who complain about people "overestimating" Spider-Verse than people actually going high on Spider-Verse. I assume its because people were really high on SV at one point (there was a thread wondering if it or Mario would make more at the box office) and others are now trying to rein people's expectations in so that whatever numbers the film does achieve don't end up being relatively disappointing despite the obvious increase. Which is fair, but then you have people actually believing that Spider-Verse is gonna open to the numbers Deadline posted domestically because... Variety said the same thing? Even though it's pretty much known that Deadline underpredicts to make films look good when it surpasses their low expectations? I don't get it. I'm pretty sure Spider-Verse is a Reddit darling, too. Maybe that's just me though, I'm still fairly new to this whole thing so maybe there's something I don't understand. I know it's the tracking thread, so I won't say much more though.

Having experienced this thread in full, I kind of shudder to think what The Marvels thread is gonna be like if that film doesn't do all that well. This summer has definitely been an interesting one already, from Guardians's underwhelming opening saved by legs to Fast X dropping like a stone, to The Little Mermaid underperforming. And we haven't even gotten to the meat of it yet. Will be fun to follow!