Filmovie

Holy SSSSHHHIIIII!!!! Nice game Baumer; Predict the 2nd day of Anchorman 2 (this is not a normal sequel) in this time of the year will be very difficult

1. Will The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug make more than $90M? NO 2. Will The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug make less than $15M during previews and midnight screenings? YES 3. Will The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug make at least 3 times what Tyler Perry’s A Madea Christmas makes? NO 4. Will Tyler Perry’s A Madea Christmas make more than $33M? YES 5. Will Frozen drop less than 36%? YES 6. Will Saving Mr. Banks have a per theater average of more than $36,000? NO 7. Will American Hustle make more than Saving Mr. Banks? NO 8. Will The Hunger Games: Catching Fire drop more than 40%? YES 9. Excluding films that are increasing in theater counts, will any film drop less than 25%? NO 10. Will Philomena have a better drop than Dallas Buyers Club? NO Bonus #1) How much will The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug make on Friday (including midnight previews)? 37,91 MLN Bonus #2) How much will The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug gross this weekend? 86,781 MLN Bonus #3) How much will Tyler Perry’s A Madea Christmas gross? 34,12 MLN Bonus #4) How much will films #2-#5 combine to make over the 3-day weekend (including any Thursday previews)? 68,456 MLN Bonus #5) What will American Hustle’s per theater average be? 68000$

FUCK YEAHHHHH!

I think you posted old totals: they're the same of last week

Did it fall 10%?

IMO it isn't necessarily happening

Well, 3 mln out of 158 is a bad overstimation but Lionsgate did it for THG too. And FOX is worse: SWep2: 86 mln estimated, 80 mln actuals Xmen3: 107 mln estimated (Yeah, not 103: that was revised the day after), 103 actuals

Does someone know official saturday estimates?

This is barely the 2D OW RECORD

In about 6 hours With a DH1's like path 375 mln is done.

68-73 OD mln? If it does 68 mln OD, it means no more than 45 on Saturday. A disappointment. I'll go for 77-78 mln OD

Now I expect at least 78 mln OD

Estimated Top 25 Midnight Grosses of All-Time (as of today) Rank / Title / Gross / Share of Opening Day [*] Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2: $43.5 million (47.7 percent) [*] The Dark Knight Rises: $30.6 million (40.4 percent) [*] The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part 2 30.4 mln [*] The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part 1: $30.25 million (42.2 percent) [*] The Twiilght Saga: Eclipse: $30.1 million (43.9 percent) [*] The Twilight Saga: New Moon: $26.27 million (36.1 percent) [*] The Hunger Games – Catching Fire $25.25 million [*] Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1: $24 million (38.9 percent) [*] Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince: $22.8 million (39.2 percent) [*] The Hunger Games: $19.735 million (29.3 percent) [*] Marvel's The Avengers: $18.7 million (23.1 percent) [*] The Dark Knight: $18.5 million (27.5 percent) [*] Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith: $16.9 million (33.8 percent) [*] Transformers : Revenge of the Fallen: $16.8 million (27.1 percent) [*] Iron Man 3 15.6 mln [*] The Hobbit – Un unexpected journey 13 mln [*] Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix: $12 million (27.1 percent) [*] The Hangover Part II: $10.4 million (32.9 percent) [*] Spider-Man 3: $10 million (16.7 percent) [*] Man of Steel 9 mln

1. Will The Hunger Games: Catching Fire do more than $30 mill from Thursday sneaks/midnight screenings? YES2. Will The Hunger Games: Catching Fire make at least $72.5 mill OD (including previews)? YES3. Will The Hunger Games: Catching Fire make at least $175 mill OW? NO4. Will The Hunger Games: Catching Fire have a Saturday drop of less than 38%? ABSTAIN 5. If you add up THG: Catching Fire's grosses from Monday through Thursday of next week add up to at least half of THG's Catching Fire's opening day (including previews)? YES

1. Will The Hunger Games: Catching Fire have a per theater average of at least $40,000? YES 2. Will The Hunger Games: Catching Fire’s opening day (including previews & midnight grosses) be more than the combined grosses of films #2-#10 for the entire weekend? YES 3. Will The Hunger Games: Catching Fire have a Sunday drop of more than 31%? NO 4. Will Delivery Man debut at #2? NO 5. Will Thor: The Dark World have a Friday increase of more than 125%? YES 6. Will The Best Man Holiday fall more than 48%? YES 7. Will Free Birds have a better drop than Last Vegas? NO 8. Will Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa fall less than 27%? NO 9. Will Captain Phillips remain in the Top 10? YES 10. Will any film drop less than 20%? YES Bonus #1) How much will The Hunger Games: Catching Fire gross this weekend? 173,556 MLN Bonus #2) How much will THG: Catching Fire drop on Saturday, percentage-wise? -37,956% Bonus #3) How much will The Hunger Games: Catching Fire gross on Sunday? 37,234 MLN Bonus #4) Which film will have the worst drop in the Top 15? Ender's Game Bonus #5) Excluding films that are adding theaters, which film will have the best drop this weekend? Last Vegas

I think that now this preseason question has its answer. 2. Will at least three films gross more than $37.5M opening day? NO

1. Will The Best Man Holiday have an opening weekend gross within $30M of Thor: The Dark World’’s 2nd weekend gross? YES 2. Will Thor: The Dark World drop less than 53%? NO 3. Will Nebraska have a per theater average of at least $37,000? NO 4. Will 12 Years a Slave make more than Free Birds? NO 5. Will Gravity have a Saturday increase of at least 70%? NO 6. Will Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa have a Saturday increase of at least 45%? NO 7. Will Captain Phillips drop less than 28%? YES 8. Will Last Vegas drop less than 30%? YES 9. Will any film drop by more than 60%? NO 10. Will at least 3 films have an increase this weekend? NO 8/10 Correct = 4,000 bonus points 9/10 Correct = 6,000 bonus points 10/10 Correct = 8,000 bonus points Bonus #1) How much will The Best Man Holiday gross this weekend? 22,234 MLN Bonus #2) What finishes in spots: 4. Last Vegas 5. Jackass 7. 12 Years 9. Phillips 11. Cloudy 2

1. Will Thor: The Dark World have an opening weekend of more than $90M? YES 2. Will Thor: The Dark World make at least $8M during midnight screenings (including Thursday preview showings)? YES 3. Will Thor: The Dark World make less than $35M on opening day (including previews & midnight showings)? NO 4. Will Thor: The Dark World have a Saturday decrease of less than 10%? NO 5. Will Thor: The Dark World have a Sunday decrease of more than 29%? YES 6. Will Ender’s Game fall less than 49%? NO 7. Will Last Vegas make more than Free Birds? YES 8. Will 12 Years a Slave be one of the top 5 grossing films? NO 9. Will Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa fall less than 33%? NO 10. Will Carrie remain in the top 10? NO Bonus #1) How much will Thor: The Dark World gross this weekend? 97,012 MLN Bonus #2) How much will Thor: The Dark World gross on Friday (including previews)? 39,167 MLN Bonus #3) How much will Thor: The Dark World gross on Saturday? (Use at least 2 decimal places.) 34,522 MLN Bonus #4) How much will Thor: The Dark World gross on Sunday? (Use at least 2 decimal places.) 23,440 MLN Bonus #5) Excluding films that are increasing in theater count, which film will have the best decrease? [Phillips

Still no reliable number at this hour. WTF is happening?

1. Will Ender’s Game debut at #1? YES 2. Will at least 2 films gross at least $20M this weekend? NO 3. Will Last Vegas make at least $16M? NO 4. Will Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa fall less than 53%? NO 5. Will The Counselor make more than Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2? NO 6. Will Gravity fall less than 27%? NO 7. Will Captain Phillips have a Saturday increase of at least 43%? YES 8. Will Enough Said fall less than 15%? YES 9. Will 12 Years a Slave increase by at least 130%? NO 10. Will the Top 3 films combine to make at least $55M? YES Bonus #1) How much will Ender’s Game, Free Birds, and Last Vegas gross this weekend (combined)? 58,000 MLN Bonus #2) What finishes in spots: 2. FREE BIRDS 3. JACKASS 4. LAST VEGAS 5. GRAVITY 10. CARRIE

Answer for Bonus 2 should be We are the millers, or not? It dropped 21.7%

JACKASS 3D made 2.5 mln during midnight, so, if it follows the trend we should have 27-29 mln Weekend

That's very good! http://www.deadline.com/2013/10/finke-jackass-bad-grandpa-kicks-up-giant-1-4m-from-late-shows/