Filmovie

The main differences are the VOD release, which any movie didn't have, and the marketing stopped, which any movie didn't have. Obviously, the game is yours, you decide and so both The Interview and Paddington will count

1. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 1 - 121.898m 2. Hobbit 89.132m 3. Big Hero 6 - 56.216m 4. Interstellar - 49.662m ** 5. Unbroken 47,3m 6. Into the woods 46,1m 7. Gone Girl - 37.513m (other options are Taken 3, American Sniper and Wedding Ringer) Interstellar is locked. The only wild card is GG IMHO

I honestly have to revise my opinion. When I wrote it I didn't know Interview was going to have a VOD release on CD. - Paddington: yes, it has been delayed but it has 10 days in which it will gross about 55-60% of its entire run. Of course it's less than what it wuold have done if it had opened on CD but it's better than nothing. Moreover it has less competition in that slot. - The Interview: 8 days before its released it has been cancelled. Its site, its offical trailers, its official Facebook page have been removed. Marketing was completely stopped. On the 24th it was announced that it would have opened in a limited number of theatres and would have been released on VOD on Christmas Day. So no marketing. Deadline reports that the movie has been rented or purchased 2 Million times in USA and Canada. And most of time you rent/purchase a comedy you don't watch it alone (and if you purchase it everyone can watch it whenever he wants) And these are all potetials paying moviegoers. Moreover, the fact that you can have a perfect digital copy helps piracy (the movie has been illegally downloaded more than any comparable title). This is a pretty unique case. That's only my point of view: given the facts that it had no marketing, a limited release instead of a wide one, it was available on VOD and a perfect digital copy was perfectly donwloadable illegally, its gross shouldn't be considered. On the other hand Paddington will express on 55-60% of its full potential (instead of 95%) but it will have a normal marketing and less competition. So it wuold be ridicolous (IMHO) to consider The Interview as part of the game. But I don't want you to think that I am only fighting for my rights: Paddington shoudn't count too. IMHO when a movie is delayed to a date so near to the deadline of the game it shouldn't be considered.

10 M € for BH6 is a stretch IMHO. 9 M € is a more believable goal. 10M$ will be achieved by the way

Yes, I know. In fact BOFA beat it during CD and 26th and that's why I think it will surpass it. But BOFA is losing ground to AUJ (despite it opened also a Week earlier) so there's no way it closes the gap before the end of its run (considering they both have the same amount of holiday still to do). The only "advantage" that BOFA has on AUJ is the fact that 6th Jan - Holiday here - falls on Tuesday instead of Sunday. But that won't make miracles.

Hobbit trilogy after the 26th: 1. AUJ 10,8 M EU 2. DOS 8,9 M EU 3. BOFA 8,3 M EU You know better than me that it's not an apples to apples comparison but considering than BOFA trailed AUJ on CD and on 26th it's not going to make 16 M EU. 13.5-14.5 is more likely.

Top OW 1. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 1 - 121.898m 2. Hobbit 89.132m 3. Big Hero 6 - 56.216m 4. Interstellar - 49.662m ** 5 and 6 shold be Unbroken and Into the Woods (both + 40 M) 7. Gone Girl - 37.513m (other options are Taken 3, American Sniper and Wedding Ringer) I did a disaster. Only 4/7

Worst Christmas in recente memory (-22% vs LY) 1. Il ricco il povero 1,028 M EU 2. Un natale stupefacente 0,854 M EU 3. Hobbit 0,780 M EU 4. BH6 0,497 M EU 5. GG 0,493 M EU 6. Il ragazzo invisibile 0,383 M EU Today it should be a bigger day 26th 2013 1. COlpi di fortuna 1,98 M EU 2. Frozen 1,860 M EU 3. INDOVINA chi viene a Natale 1,338 M EU 4. Un fantastico via vai 1,130 M EU 5. Hobbit 0,945 M EU 6. Walter Mitty 0,669 M EU 26th 2012 1. Colpi di fulmine 1,507 M EU 2. Hobbit 1,491 M EU 3. I due soliti idioti 1,307 M EU 4. Tutto tutto niente niente 1,064 M EU 5. WIR 0,818 M EU 6. Life of Pi 0,705 M EU 26th 2011 1. Sherlock Holmes 2 2,036 M EU 2. Puss in Boots 1,952 M EU 3. Finalmente la felicità 1,564 M EU 4. New Year's eve 0,602 M EU 5. Ides of March 0,416 M EU 26th 2010 No datas 26th 2009 (partial datas: actuals are +15-20%) 1. Natale a BH 3,050 M EU 2. Io e Marilyn 1,654 M EU 3. Sherlock Holmes 1,419 M EU 4. Princess and Frog 0,913 M EU 5. A Christmas Carol 0,647 M EU 26th 2008 1. Natale a Rio 3,549 M EU 2. Madagascar 2 2,900 M EU 3. Il cosmo sul comò 1,859 M EU 4. Nights in Rodanthe 0,693 M EU 5. The Spirit 0,353 M EU

Christmas Chart 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 (partial datas; actuals are +15-20%) 2008 (actuals) Predictions for Today IMHO: 1. Il ricco, il povero e il maggiordomo: (these are their last entries' Christmas' datas Il cosmo sul comò 1.478M and La banda di Babbi Natale 1,8M) ---> 1,7-9 M EU 2. Hobbit ---> 0,9-1,0 M EU 3. Un Natale Stupefacente --> 0,7 M EU 4. il ragazzo invisibile --> 0,65 M EU 5. BH6 ---> 0,6 M EU

Yesterday in euros: A year ago in euros (Tue) 2 years ago in euros (Mon) 3 years ago in euros (Sat)

I didn't notice of Paddington; I guess both of you are right. Or both won't count or both will

Now The Interview is back in Cinemas on CD but only in 100 theatres; since it's no wide release its boxoffice performance shouldn't be considered (at least in top 15 DOM) IMHO

TUES: Hobbit: 0,66M EU (5,96 M TOT) BH6 0,22 M EU Il ricco, il povero ecc. 0,21 M EU Gone Girl 0,14 M EU Un Natale Stupefacente 0,13 M EU Il ragazzo invisibile 0,11 EU Ma tu di che segno 6? 0,06 M EU This year Holidays are perfect: 25-26 are Thur-Fri, 1 is Thur and 6 is Tue. It is clear that 3 out of 4 Italian Movies are underperforming. This was the chart last year on the 23rd (Monday). Today we'll have decreseas and tomorrow everything will explode.

They went yesterday, they are now! Tomorrow is Holiday; is it different in Spain?

Here are Monday's numbers: 1. LO HOBBIT: LA BATTAGLIA DELLE CINQUE ARMATE € 562.828 2. IL RICCO, IL POVERO E IL MAGGIORDOMO. € 157.960 3. BIG HERO 6 € 143.997 4. L'AMORE BUGIARDO - GONE GIRL. € 106.106 5. UN NATALE STUPEFACENTE € 80.468 6. IL RAGAZZO INVISIBILE € 75.076 7 MA TU DI CHE SEGNO 6?. € 43.147 8. INTERSTELLAR . € 24.716 9 I PINGUINI DI MADAGASCAR € 18.510 Kids are still in school and people are still working: normal overall weekday's numbers.

Annie and NATM3 could both wind up over 100M Dom; Exodus couldn't hit 70M DOM, I big disappointment. BOFA is a bit disappointing also. Mp1 still on track for +330 M DOM

Deadlines's report: 1). The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies (WB), 3,875 theaters /$16.1M Fri./ 3-day cume: $52M / Total cume: $86.4M/Wk 1 (Bowed Wednesday) 2). Night at the Museum: Secret of the Tomb (FOX), 3,785 theaters /$5.9M Fri./ 3-day cume: $19.6M /Wk 1 3). Annie (Sony), 3,116 theaters /$6M Fri./ 3-day cume: $19.1M /Wk 1 4). Exodus: Gods and Kings (FOX), 3,053 theaters (0)/$2.3M Fri. (-74%)/ 3-day cume: $8M(-67%) / Total cume: $38.6M/Wk 2 5). The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1 (LGF), 3,174 theaters (-557) /$2.2M Fri. (-41%)/ 3-day cume: $7.9M (-38%) / Total cume: $289.4M/Wk 5 6). Wild (FSL), 1061 theaters (+945) / $1.15M Fri. (+141%) / 3-day cume: $4M (+167%) / Total cume: $7M /Wk 3 7). The Penguins Of Madagascar (FOX), 2,717 theaters (-595)/ $944K Fri.(-37%)/ 3-day cume: $3.8M (-47%) / Total cume: $M / Wk 4 8). Big Hero 6 (DIS), 2,407 theaters (-369) / $929K Fri. (-29%) / 3-day cume: $3.5M (-41%)/ Total cume: $190.5M /Wk 7 9). Top Five (PAR), 1,307 theaters (+328) /$931K Fri. (-63%)/ 3-day cume: $2.9M (-57%)/ Total cume: $11.9M /Wk 2 10). Interstellar (PAR), 1,550 theaters (-701) / $720K Fri. (-52%) / 3-day cume: $2.7M (-51%) / Total cume: $171.6M / Wk 7 11) P.K (UTV), 272 theaters/ $800K Fri./ 3-day cume: $2.3M /Wk 1 Notables: The Theory Of Everything (FOC), 1,011 theaters (-209) / $432K Fri. (-42%)/ 3-day cume: $1.5M (-35%) / Total cume: $19.8M / Wk 7 Foxcatcher (SPC), 308 theaters (+229) / $283K Fri./ 3-day cume: $1M (+149%) / Total cume: $4.5M/ Wk 6 Birdman (FSL), 452 theaters (-89) / $246K Fri. (-27%) /3-day cume: $932K (-29%)/ Total cume: $22.3M /Wk 10 The Imitation Game (TWC), 34 theaters (+9) / $198K Fri. (-20%)/ 3-day cume: $749K (-12%)/ Total cume: $3M/ Wk 4 Nightcrawler (OPRD), 153 theaters (-645) / $35K Fri. (-80%)/ 3-day cume: $126K (-79%) /Total cume: $31.5M/ Wk 8 Inherent Vice (WB), 5 theaters / $33K Fri. (-75%)/ 3-day cume: $118K (-64%)/ Total cume: $570K / Wk 2 Mr. Turner (SPC), 5 theaters/$27K Fri./ $38K Sat. (25%) / $27K Sun.( -20%)/Scrn Avg: $17,550/3-day cume: $88K/Wk. 1

On Fri: DOS: 0,62 M EU AUJ: 0,67 M EU On Sat: DOS: 1,18 M EU AUJ: 1,40 M EU On Sun: DOS: 1,10 M EU AUJ: 1,53 M EU Tot OW (4Days): DOS: 3,62 M EU AUJ: 4,28 M EU FOTR OW (3days): 5,84 M EU TTT OW (3days): 6,25 M EU (released on Thur - 4days: 7,2 M EU) ROFTK OW (3days): 6,52 M EU (released on Thur - 4days: 7,7 M EU). BOFA is expected to make 4,5-5M EU (5 days). Comparisions for BH6: Frozen: day1 - 0.17M EU; day2 - 0,26M EU WIR: day1 - 0,065M EU; day2 - 0,092M EU BH6: day1 - 0,077M EU; day2 - 0,12M EU

No more The Interview; these are the make-ups for those who had it in their top 15 Domestic: Empire: The Judge Alpha: Annie Filmovie: Annabelle Blankments: Dumb and Dumber Too Spaghetti: The Judge avi: Horrible Bosses 2 The Panda: Night at the Museum 3 Snoopy of Suburbia: Dumb and Dumber Too Wrath: Unbroken mahnamanha: Horrible Bosses 2 Darkelf: Annie DAJK: Taken 3 Geraldino: Taken 3 Cmasterclay: No- Make up Iceroll: Fury grim22: Horrible Bosses 2 bcf26: Best of me

Weak Sunday overall!

3M$ should be achieved without too many problems; I actually think it can go as high as 3 1M$. Nice start. WOM will be very important but I expect a total of at least 16M$ (it could also pass 20M $ without to many difficulties but it's too soon to tell

Yes, you're right. It mantains a small chance to beat GOTG. If it makes 12,5M$ this WE and then it follows exactly the same pattern of CF it could make as much as 338M $.

2 new italian releases this weekend: one is supposed to be the Hobbit's main challenger, given the actors' track record (last entry 22 M EU). I am talking about "Il ricco, il povero e il maggiordomo"; it should make about 2,5M $ during the Weekend. Christmas multipliers are difficult to predict but they can be as high as x10. Penguins lose almost 50% vs LW and they are now at +8M $; let see how many screens they keep during Holidays Allen holds well; IS is near to 13M $ and Mp1 should catch CF's total in $ during the WE (already +7% in LC). This Wed The Hobbit arrives!

POM win the WE with 1,9M $ (6,95$ Tot); too soon to say where is headed to go, it depends on how many screens it manages to keep during Christmas. Allen is 2nd with 1,8M $ (good debut, better than BJ); DADT is 3rd in the WE (1,9M in 5 days). Mp1 is now the highest grossing in the franchise in local currency (it should close 10% higher in LC or on par in $). IS is now at +12,5$; it should eventually go on par with Inception in Local Currency (already more than TDK)

Yes; in local currencies in would be above it. Only with the EU/$ change it loses 9% compared to last year. Let alone Russia and Latin America.