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JJ-8

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Everything posted by JJ-8

  1. i'll look into what happened. apologies - i think went cross eyed looking at numbers and somehow 0'd it out... it's now fixed and the next post once week 3 is scored will be correct. u indeed have 57k and are now outright 3rd spot.
  2. Giving up on spelling your name.... i'll fix it on the next posting EDIT - hold on.. huh ? i have spelled your name kayumanggi...... ?????
  3. Abstain so i don't lose points. I reserve the right to come back and edit with real answers closer to the 5th..... or not ;)
  4. Deadline is Thursday at 11:59pm, All questions refer to the top 12 and are for 1000 points UOS. Here Goes Part 1: 1. Will a new opener debut at number 1? NO 2. How many films ill make more than 10M this weekend? 3000 TWO FILMS 3. Will Burnt finish above Bridge of Spies? NO 4. Will Jobs stay in the top 8? YES 5. Will Scouts Guide make at least 40% of its opening weekend on Friday? YES 6. Which of Week 2's openers will have the highest percentage drop? 2000 PARANORMAL ACTIVITY: THE GHOST DIMENSION 7. Will Jem and the Holograms finish in the top 20? NO 8. Will Paranormal Activity decreased more than 42% on Sunday? YES 9. Will the Last Witch Hunter finish above Steve Jobs? NO 10. Will Our Brand is Crisis make more than 3.5M on Saturday? NO 11. Will at least 2 films in the top 12 not drop any positions this weekend? 2000 YES 12. Will Goosebumps gross at least double the weekend gross for Last Witch Hunter? YES 13. Will Hotel Transylvania's Saturday gross be higher than Scout Guides' total weekend Gross? NO 14. Will the Walk drop at least 67% this weekend? YES 15. Are zombies, Witches, ghosts or Vampires the biggest threat to our souls this Halloween? MORE THAN LIKELY.... Though in reality is the thoughtful souls who own the big corporations who win out of this weekend....... Part 2. 1. What will The Intern gross on Friday? $734,203 2. What will be the combined weekend gross of the 3 main new entries? $12.612m 3. What will Rock the Kasbah's percentage drop be this weekend? -46.444% Part 3. 1. The Martian 3. Bridge of Spies 7. Burnt 9. Paranormal Activity: the Ghost Dimension 12. The Intern 2000 each and 5000 bonus for all 5. Good Luck
  5. Fantasy Box Office Game Rules Official Times The time in which all day changes occurs is at Eastern Standard Time (US/Canada) (GMT - 5 hours) Not midnight your local time, but midnight for the East Coast of USA. If you're choosing to invest in a movie being released in exactly one month, make sure the date is as per this. And to be clear, Daylight savings is never applied for this game. I should also note that movies will be available from 7pm the day before (1 month in advance of release) and not be available from 7pm the day before. This change is due to the sneaks now occuring instead of midnights. The Winner The Game is run over a full year. The Winner is announced normally Late February / Early March of the following year once all results are tallied from the December movies. Various minor awards are given out including: Return On Investment (% Gain / movie - Average) Best Investor ($ Earnt per % spent as a whole) Company Value (Bank Account - Final figure) Highest Weekend (Earnt in a single weekend) Revenue (Total Earnings for the year) Overall Winner is calculated using the above awards. It is known as "The Geekfreek Award" in honor of the original Game Admin from 2006 when the game first started on BOM. Bank Accounts Each player will have a Bank Account with which they can spend money to invest in movies. Each player will be given starting dollars when they join to begin investing. The value is adjusted each year as appropriate. Current Start Dollars = $100m To invest in a movie, you must have the amount you are investing available in your bank account at the time the investment is made. All the money you earn from your investments will be put into your bank account for you to spend further. If you no longer have enough money to continue with the game, you can claim bankruptcy and your account will automatically be reset and you will start all over with the Current Start Dollars in your bank account. (all previous investments no longer count) Movies (General) Only a film’s PRODUCTION BUDGET will be used for this game. Only a film’s DOMESTIC GROSS will be used for this game. The film's release date will be as per the current US Domestic Release dates as listed on Box office Mojo. Any film that is due for release in the US can be invested in (including limited release films). Priority for who gets rights to a movie will be on a first come, first serve basis. Unfortunately, that is the only way that it’s possible to run this right now. You may only invest in a movie 1 FULL month before its release date. The date MUST be exact accordance to the current calendar date. For example, if it February 28, you can only invest in films being released on or before March 28. You must wait until March 1 to invest in films being released on March 29, 30 and 31. Movie Budgets Any unknown budgets will be estimated. If no official budget is ever released, the estimate will stand as fact. If the official budget is released at a later time, that will be used instead of the estimate. Any budget changes are final and the player will have to accept them accordingly. The following will used for budgets of unknown movies which no details are available: Action / Thriller = 150m (Big Budget) / 75m (Off Season) Animation (CGI) = 150m (Big Budget) / 100m (Off Season) Animation (2D) = 75m Science Fiction / Fantasy / Comic Book = 175m (Big Budget) / 90m (Off Season) Indie Films = 30m Horror = 20m Comedy = 100m (Big Budget) / 50m (Off Season) If and when BOM releases a budget, that budget will become fact except for the following: When BOM's Budget (BB) > the Game Budget (GB) + 20m then the following applies : New GB = BB - ROUNDED(((BB-GB-20)/BB)*(BB-GB-20)) Investment Rules The maximum total % available for "normal" films is 200%. The maximum total % available for "Blockbuster" films is 300%. Films will be advised in advance of being available of whether they are a blockbuster or not. Players can choose to only invest in part or all of a films budget. Players can invest in 10%, 20%, 30%, 40%, 50%, 60%, 70%, 80%, 90%, 100% of the budget. I will also allow investments of 25% and 75%. Players will receive the % of the earnings from the film based upon which % invested in the film. Eg. invested 20%, you will receive 20% of the earnings. You cannot invest in the same film for than a total of more than 100%. (If you invest 100% of the film’s budget, you can not invest in the film a second time.) A film is released irrelevant of how much % is invested in total even if only 20% was invested, the film is still released. If you have chosen to invest and decide to cancel ALL or part of your investment (keeping within the normal rules above), the following WILL apply: > 2 Weeks prior to release - 100% of the cancelled amount is returned > 1 Week prior to release - 50% of the cancelled amount is returned < 1 Week prior to release - Nothing will be returned at this point so you should just keep your investment. You can also choose to sell all or part of your investment (following the same rules as above for investments) Once the movie is released you cannot sell your investment The Sale can be in the form of money or swapping for other investments. The amount is up to you - there are no limits and only need to be agreed between all parties involved. Sales involving money will count towards your earnings for the year. If at time of release an on-sold investment has a budget change, then this change will be reflected in the current owners budget. eg. Investor B bought the movie investment worth 40m of investor A for 60m. The budget then increased to 50m. Investor B's final budget equals 70m as a result because investor B paid a premium of 20m to investor A for the investment. Investment Restrictions (applies as you invest more %) Your ability to invest is restricted as you invest more in movies over the year. There are 2 different levels of restrictions. Each level is associated with a % of investments. Investment Restrictions apply to both Selling/Purchasing and Investing. The following lists the 2 levels (3 including the unrestricted level). Unrestricted - as per normal rules Level 1 Restrictions (> 1500%) - Cannot invest in any film until 3 weeks prior to release. Level 2 Restrictions (> 3000%) - Cannot invest in any film until 1 week prior to release.
  6. the box office theory - forums : Fantasy Box Office Game Yep - thats right the game is returning.... Sign up Sign up (and thanks to WB for agreeing to let to put this in the derby temporarily - till we are back on our feet :P) Welcome to Box Office Theory's very own Fantasy Box Office Game for 2016. The game is played on a very simple premise, you are an investor (ie. studio) who invests money in the production of movies. As such you would get a return on this investment. We base the game on the real life box office using the domestic numbers released on a weekly basis. We also base the budgets on the real life information or the best guess at the budget for said movie. To simplify the game, a budget is set down to develop a movie. This is set at least 1 month in advance prior to release of the film and then investors can choose to "invest" $ into the film prior to release. Investors invest in lots of 10% into films to a maximum of 100% for any investor. To give investors a larger range films typically have 200% total available for investment and blockbusters films will contain more (300%). Once a film is released, investors then receive the earnings for that film which then that money can then in turn be spent on further films. To allow for easier play investors begin with a set amount of dollars (as noted in the rules below). As already noted, all $ are based upon the US Box Office Data (Domestic Box Office). All this information is taken from Box Office Mojo which tracks this information. In particular we utilise the budgets on BOM (budgets are revised at release). This thread is the official sign up thread and i'll be updating overall earnings here also throughout the year. Questions, queries, disputes should happen in here also Happy playing ....... The updated rules are in the 2nd post here and also there is a rules thread in the FBO sub forum. January 2016 Investments Thread is now open for business. Go there invest in the films that are now available.... I'll be posting status updates in this thread also to keep everyone up to date on the game happenings Fantasy Box Office Sub Forum Link
  7. It's not easier for me. I tried copy and pasting the same format that I used to use and it doesn't come out the same. It is scrambled. There has to be an easier way... No idea then... Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  8. it's actually easier now. HTML is automatically enabled when posting.. . just press on the "source" button if you need change any code :D
  9. Weekly Scores Update : Week 2 Scores Bonus for using the correct template the bonus for the template - only 2 players missed out... kayumanggi & filmovie.... everyone else got their 10k anyway here it is: # User Pre- season Entry GRAND TOTAL PreSeason Total Weekly's Total 1 2 1 WrathofHan YES 66,000 10,000 56,000 31,000 25,000 2 chasmmi YES 62,000 10,000 52,000 26,000 26,000 3 DAJK YES 56,000 10,000 46,000 31,000 15,000 4 Jajang YES 53,000 10,000 43,000 27,000 16,000 5 The Background Character YES 53,000 10,000 43,000 22,000 21,000 6 darkelf YES 51,000 10,000 41,000 24,000 17,000 7 Blankments YES 49,000 10,000 39,000 19,000 20,000 8 Infernus YES 48,000 10,000 38,000 20,000 18,000 9 Exxdee YES 46,000 10,000 36,000 24,000 12,000 10 MikeKaye42 YES 45,000 10,000 35,000 25,000 10,000 11 Wrath YES 45,000 10,000 35,000 15,000 20,000 12 DamienRoc YES 44,000 10,000 34,000 16,000 18,000 13 Telemachos YES 44,000 10,000 34,000 18,000 16,000 14 misafeco YES 41,000 10,000 31,000 19,000 12,000 15 glassfairy YES 40,000 10,000 30,000 12,000 18,000 16 bcf26 YES 38,000 10,000 28,000 17,000 11,000 17 Filmovie YES 36,000 - 36,000 20,000 16,000 18 kayumanggi YES 36,000 - 36,000 23,000 13,000 19 99 Trees YES 36,000 10,000 26,000 20,000 6,000 20 Kalo YES 36,000 10,000 26,000 26,000 - 21 grey ghost YES 35,000 10,000 25,000 25,000 - 22 avi YES 34,000 10,000 24,000 13,000 11,000 23 Movieman89 YES 32,000 10,000 22,000 - 22,000 24 Alfredstellar YES 20,000 10,000 10,000 - 10,000 25 Baumer YES 10,000 10,000 - - - 26 laguy03 YES 10,000 10,000 - - - 27 The Panda YES 10,000 10,000 - - -
  10. Just looking over the numbers :- When "The Man from Snowy River" was release (25th March 1982) here, the top 5 (all time) films looked like as follows (I hope i got this right) 1. Star Wars - 18.3m 2. Grease - 15.2m 3. Raiders of the Lost Ark - 13.9m 4. Jaws - 13.6m 5. The Sound of Music - 13m The Man from Snowy River went on to make 17.2m so should have reached 2nd place. E.T. Was released in November of 1982 meaning I pretty sure TMFSR reached 2nd spot before dropping. I'm also pretty sure that TMFSR would still figure in our all time top 50 adjusted films. EDIT - one thing i am sure of... Man from Snowy River is still the 2nd biggest adjusted film behind on Crocodile Dundee.
  11. It's an interesting read for sure and i think quite true to the current situation regarding movies here. it does come down the cultural vs economic impacts.... whilst economic on it's own may not do it completely, the cultural impact and flow on effects from having a big hollywood production down under which as is noted allows our local films to happen also. not forgetting that the local films also can become unintentional (or intentional) advertisement ... ie. bring in tourism etc. is the subsidy worth it ? it's a good question as if the subsidy goes away does that mean our film economy would fall away also ? likely. while not the same situation, you could compare this to the car industry in australia which was propped up by various governments over many years for while not completely the same but some similar reasons. recent governments took that net away and essentially all the major car manufacturers are shutting up shop here (manufacturing plants)... possibly meaning it wasn't viable to manufacture here in the first place. In regards to movies, i'm not sure that would happen as i think there is a place for australian made movies, but bigger budget movies if we don't subsidise those hollywood productions which bring in the $ would likely go away partially (though our dollar as it stands might help offset it partially too)
  12. It's going take a small miracle to take avatanic down... Remember it made the equivalant of making 1.15B in the US domestic market. It wasn't just huge... it was insanely huge (for today's #'s that is). it's so massive it still more than doubles the gross (in AUD or USD) of our 2nd biggest film (titanic is no. 2)
  13. The Martian is having a great run. Against other Sci Fi, Interstellars final total has just been passed or very near to if not. Gravity is about to be passed. The Martian is having a remarkably similar run to Gone Girl from last year. After 4 weeks Gone Girl had banked 19.3m (after a 2.2m weekend) the Martian has a 1m lead already though it's weekend total is similar. From this point, Gone Girl went on to make 27m, something that The Martian should be able to make. To be honest 28m or 29m isn't impossible from here.... but i think 30m might be just out of reach, especially with all the upcoming competition in november / december. still a fantastic result for a fantastic film.
  14. Unless I'm completely misreading and this doesn't come close to breaking the ow record, I'd say it's a good chance of pushing past titanic. Hell I think 70m + is on the table at the moment. If we a 20m ow which by presales is looking good. Though hard to tell. Then 70m seems as easy jog with the Christmas period to follow. Even if it drops heavier than avatar that first werkend. Say 20m ow + 10m weekdays /30m total 12m 2nd we +10m weekdays / 52m total 11m third we + 5m weekdays / 67m total 6m 4th we + 3m weekdays / 76m I won't go on but I'm heading for around 90m on that trajectory. And I could be undercutting it still.
  15. Just looking @ Chermside.... Midnights: Vmax (All 3D) (2 cinemas - 640 seats) - 90% full Gold class (All 3D) (2 cinemas - 80 seats) - SOLD OUT normal cinemas (2 x 3D) (> 600 seats) - 65% to 70% full normal cinema (1 x 2D) (~ 200 seats) - 80% full of note - Chermside has put on 3 am sessions too - 1 x Gold Class + 1 x Vmax - gold class is about 70% full and the vmax has only sold about 20 tickets so far.. but that wasn't on sale from day dot... good signs....
  16. Weekly Update - Overall Scores I'm going to be posting those tables again for this game. 27 Entries were received overall for the game. though we only have 22 players in the weekly's so far. When i get a bit more time, i'll post some stats around whats been predicted etc... anyway here is the table after Week 1 Scores are tallied (as per above) . (if you scores are the same as someone above or below, you are currently ordered by alphabetically) # User Pre- season Entry Weekly's Total 1 1 DAJK YES 31,000 31,000 2 WrathofHan YES 31,000 31,000 3 Jajang YES 27,000 27,000 4 chasmmi YES 26,000 26,000 5 Kalo YES 26,000 26,000 6 grey ghost YES 25,000 25,000 7 MikeKaye42 YES 25,000 25,000 8 darkelf YES 24,000 24,000 9 Exxdee YES 24,000 24,000 10 kayumanggi YES 23,000 23,000 11 The Background Character YES 22,000 22,000 12 99 Trees YES 20,000 20,000 13 Filmovie YES 20,000 20,000 14 Infernus YES 20,000 20,000 15 Blankments YES 19,000 19,000 16 misafeco YES 19,000 19,000 17 Telemachos YES 18,000 18,000 18 bcf26 YES 17,000 17,000 19 DamienRoc YES 16,000 16,000 20 Wrath YES 15,000 15,000 21 avi YES 13,000 13,000 22 glassfairy YES 12,000 12,000 23 Alfredstellar YES - - 24 Baumer YES - - 25 laguy03 YES - - 26 Movieman89 YES - - 27 The Panda YES - -
  17. The deadline each week will always be the Thursday at 11:59pm.​ All questions refer to the top 12 unless otherwise stated. ​ ​Part 1​ 1. Will Goosebumps stay at number 1 this weekend? 3000 NO 2. Will Jem and the Holograms finish above Paranormal Activity?​ YES 3. Will the Last Witch Hunter open in the top 3? NO 4. How many of the 4 main new entries will open in the top 5? 2000 = 1 FILM 5. Will the Martian remain in the top 3? YES 6. Will Crimson Peak drop more than 62%? YES 7. Will Jobs make more than Bridge of Spies this weekend? YES 8. Name any film in the top 12 that drops less than 30% this weekend without increasing (put none if you think none)? 3000 BRIDGE OF SPIES (ONLY FILM) 9. Will pan finish above Sicario? NO 10. Will Hotel Transylvania have the best Saturday increase? YES 11. Will Rock the Kasbah have a better Friday than Jem and the Holograms? NO 12. Will the Intern remain in the top 9? NO 13. Which of the 4 new openers will have the best PTA? PARANORMAL ACTIVITY 14. Will Jem bomb completely and make less than $2M this weekend? NO 15. Will anybody go to the cinema this weekend? NO BECAUSE WE ARE ALL WATCHING THE STAR WARS TRAILER ON REPEAT... UNLESS IT PLAYS IN CINEMAS... IF ANYONE KNOWS WHERE I'M THERE (ON REPEAT !) ok seriously yes Bonuses: 11/15 2000 12/15 4000 13/15 6000 14/15 8000 15/15 10000 Part 2. Bonus Question 1. What will be the total weekend gross for Jem and the Holograms? (5000) 9.401m ​​Bonus Question 2. What will Job's Weekend percentage change be? (5000) +1,625.8% Bonus Question 3. What will be Maze runner's total gross by Sunday? ​ (5000) 77.816m Part 3.​​ Placements: 1. Steve Jobs 4. The Last Witch Hunter 6. Jem and the Holograms 9. Rock the Kabash 12. Pan 200o points per correct prediction. 5000 bonus for getting all 5. Good Luck
  18. Just saw an update on courier mail. 30k has doubled overnight for event. Some cinemas have put on 3am sessions to meet demand. 30% of presales are for midnights. 70% of all sales are in 3D. Holy. !!!!! Edit - for reference previous highest presales TOTAL was the avengers 27,000 for the same chain. We r still 2 months away and already up to 60,000 tickets sold.
  19. Btw for the weekdays avatar had a 11m OW and 8m weekdays. And a 8.7m 2nd weekend and 9.6m 3rd weekend. Avatar also pulled 10m weekdays in its 2nd week. Not saying it will follow avatar all the way but avatar is the closest example we have. Theoretically we could be 75m after the 3rd weekend. Lol
  20. Ok. Let's see: OD - 8m Fri - 5.5m Sat - 6m Sun - 5.5m (Ow - 25m) 10m from weekdays possible? So that's 35m first week. Thurs (24th) - 3m Fri (Christmas) - 1m Sat (boxing) - 6m Sun - 5m 2nd weekend - 15m 50m total after 11 days. Ok that's crazy.
  21. I'd say Harry's grip on all those records is becoming rather slippery. Possible records: Mids OD. Ow. And it gets boxing in its second weekend. Gotta think we're talking 50+ here.
  22. Thats just umm jaw dropping. 30k tickets sold already by event. Wonder what the total presales are Australia wide.
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