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JJ-8

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Everything posted by JJ-8

  1. Fun fact : I seriously considered putting it against titanic or avatar it's been that leggy
  2. Ok tried to some digging to work out where BR is heading... it's a tough one. nothing remotely like it.... The showdown i've come up with for now is vs LOTR films / shrek 2 but none really apply. In fact only 2 films as far as I can tell were earning 1.6m or more on their tenth weekend (Avatar and Titanic) For Reference Avatar did 1.9m and made a further 10m from this point. Titanic of course made a further 20m after a 1.6m on it's tenth.. so hmmmmm.. Wk Bohemian Rhapsody LOTR: The Return of the King LOTR: Fellowship of the Rings Shrek 2 1-Nov-2018 26-Dec-2003 26-Dec-2001 17-Jun-2004 1: 6.8m/7.7m 12.8m/12.8m 9.7m/13.9m 13.2m/13.6m Scns/Ave 510/13,255 453/28,105 406/24,015 437/30,114 2: 6.2m/17.2m 7.7m/26.7m 5.9m/24.1m 8.5m/25.3m %Drop -8% -40% -40% -35% 3: 4.2m/23.6m 3.8m/33.4m 3.4m/30.5m 5.3m/34.6m 4: 3.4m/28.5m 2.5m/38.0m 2.2m/34.4m 4.3m/42.3m 5: 2.5m/32.3m 1.7m/40.8m 2.5m/38.3m 2.1m/46.2m 6: 1.8m/35.0m 1.2m/42.9m 1.3m/40.1m 1.0m/47.9m 7: 1.5m/37.4m 828k/44.1m 1.0m/41.6m 662k/48.9m 8: 1.2m/39.4m 664k/45.1m 814k/42.8m 364k/49.5m 9: 2.0m/42.0m 612k/45.9m 521k/43.8m 220k/49.8m 10: 1.6m/44.6m 455k/46.6m 413k/44.2m 135k/50.0m TOTAL: 44.59m 49.4m 47.3m 50.4m
  3. Right here is the updated Aquaman showdown (removed wonder woman and BVS as those are going to be passed.) Added LOTR1 and Jumanji 2 which a bit closer to things. I think Aquaman lands around 45m at the moment but we shall see how it holds up over the coming weeks. Wk Suicide Squad Aquaman LOTR: Fellowship of the Rings Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle 04-Aug-16 26-Dec-18 26-Dec-2001 26-Dec-2017 1: 13.9m/13.9m 11.2m/15.6m 9.7m/13.9m 9.2m/15.9m Scns/Ave 576/26,935 632/17,827 406/24,015 466/19,791 2: 5.9m/23.1m 6.4m/26.9m 5.9m/24.1m 6.4m/27.5m %Drop -57% -43% -40% -30% 3: 3.2m/27.8m 3.4m/30.5m 4.7m/35.7m 4: 2.0m/30.5m 2.2m/34.4m 2.8m/40.9m 5: 1.1m/32.1m 2.5m/38.3m 2.2m/44.5m 6: 604k/32.9m 1.3m/40.1m 1.1m/46.4m 7: 261k/33.4m 1.0m/41.6m 636k/47.3m 8: 221k/33.8m 814k/42.8m 409k/47.9m 9: 117k/34.1m 521k/43.8m 189k/48.2m 10: 413k/44.2m 104k/48.3m TOTAL: 34.27m 26.94m 47.3m 48.82m
  4. Here is my first pass (may change closer to the due date) Week 11 : Aquaman ; A Dogs way home Week 12 : Glass ; Aquaman Week 13 : Glass ; The Kid who would be king Week 14 : Glass : Miss Bala Week 15 : LEGO Movie 2 ; What Men want Week 16 : LEGO Movie 2 ; Alita: Battle Angel Week 17 : How to train your dragon 3 ; LEGO Movie 2
  5. It is a monster.... as I said 47m+ is all but locked at this point... and 50m not a far stretch should it find some further late legs post school time (maybe a oscar boost in the wings ?)
  6. So here is the remainder. At the moment SS still is #1 DCEU film in australia but you would think given Aquaman's performance to date that it should surpasse that total fairly easily. i mean absolute worst case scenario for the drop is to around 5m in my mind... (will be surprised if it's hold doesn't beat 50% at this point.) Wk Batman vs Superman Suicide Squad Wonder Woman Aquaman 24-Mar-16 04-Aug-16 01-Jun-17 26-Dec-18 1: 13.2m/13.2m 13.9m/13.9m 6.8m/6.8m 11.2m/15.6m Scns/Ave 594/22,150 576/26,935 607/11,150 632/17,827 2: 4.6m/22.7m 5.9m/23.1m 5.7m/14.7m %Drop -65% -57% -15% 3: 2.1m/26.4m 3.2m/27.8m 3.4m/20.4m 4: 998k/28.3m 2.0m/30.5m 2.2m/23.6m 5: 588k/29.3m 1.1m/32.1m 1.8m/26.4m 6: 84k/29.6m 604k/32.9m 1.3m/28.8m 7: 261k/33.4m 807k/30.2m 8: 221k/33.8m 385k/30.8m 9: 117k/34.1m 166k/31.1m 10: 54k/31.2m TOTAL: 29.68m 34.27m 31.30m 20.58m
  7. Here is Part 1 of my showdown (I won't show these again because Aquaman has already passed JL and should pass MoS by the end of the weekend. Wk Man of Steel Justice League 26-Jun-13 16-Nov-17 1: 8.9m/9.5m 8.1m/8.1m Scns/Ave 560/15,853 729/11,095 2: 4.1m/16.8m 3.3m/13.4m %Drop -54% -58% 3: 2.2m/21.0m 2.1m/16.5m 4: 1.1m/22.9m 1.1m/18.3m 5: 479k/23.7m 402k/19.2m 6: 242k/24.1m 204k/19.6m 7: 105k/24.2m 52k/19.7m 8: 9: 10: TOTAL: 24.32m 19.73m
  8. woah… that a massive opening day for Dragon 3. I thought 1.2 - 1.5m at best. When you consider the following: How to train your dragon - 2.7m OW How to train your dragon 2 - 3.6m OW How to train your dragon 3 - 2.2m OD (should translate to 6m+ ~ would go higher but not sure of the impact of holidays on the weekend numbers) then consider the domestic openings of Dragon : Dragon - 2.7m vs 43.7m Dragon 2 - 3.6m vs 49.5m Dragon 3 - 6m vs ? 70m possible ? EDIT : Dragon 2 isn't an apples for apples as it had burnt off 5m of demand prior to the opening weekend. so maybe i'm a little over the top here.... still an impressive opening day however.
  9. Part A: 1. Will Escape Room Open to more than $9M? YES 2. Will Escape Room Open to more than $15M? NO 3. Will Escape Room Open to more than $12M? YES 4. Will The top three change from last weekend? YES 5. Will Poppins drop more than 18%? YES 6. Will Aquaman make more than 27.5M? YES 7. Will Aquaman make more than 32.5M? NO 8. Will Bumblebee make more than 13.5M? YES 9. Will Bumblebee finish above Spiderverse? YES 10. Will Holmes and Watson stay in the top 9? NO 11. Will Bohemian Rhapsody have a bigger percentage drop than Mary Queen of Scots? NO  12. Will Welcome to Marwen drop more than 60%? YES 13. Will The Mule have a PTA above $2250? YES 14. Will The Grinch have the biggest decrease in the top 25? NO 15. On what day will Second Act cross $350M domestic? NEVAH Part B: 1. What will Escape Room make for its 3 day? $13.99m 2. What will be the percentage change for Grinch? -51.81% 3. What will Poppins make on Saturday? $9.01m Part C There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 1. Aquaman 3. Mary Poppins Returns 5. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse 8. Ralph Breaks the Internet 11. If Beale Street Could Talk 13. Grinch
  10. BR just keeps on chugging. 45m looks like a forgone conclusion. (43m already and should play well for at least 2 weeks yet. ) I’m thinking more like 47m-48m with an outside shot of 50m if it holds well once school returns. Aquaman has had a great start. 40m+ seems doable from here.
  11. Week 10 - gee this is a real tough one here. Totally on the fence but I’ll go with No
  12. some movement this after week 7 results were included... just a few shuffles. @BobDole continues to hold onto a slender lead after 7 weeks. I also bumped @Wrath out of the top 10 who is continuing to have a bad run this game. TW LW Player Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Total 1 1 BobDole 101,000 80,000 80,000 88,000 631,000 2 3 Chasmmi 136,000 62,000 83,000 112,000 628,000 3 2 Sheikh 117,000 101,000 88,000 77,000 608,000 4 6 PanaMovie 123,000 76,000 78,000 101,000 601,000 5 5 ZeeSoh 109,000 71,000 76,000 90,000 594,000 6 4 kayumanggi 109,000 72,000 79,000 70,000 586,000 7 7 Simionski 119,000 75,000 75,000 83,000 549,000 8 11 JJ-8 103,000 52,000 62,000 99,000 511,000 9 8 glassfairy 98,000 55,000 76,000 81,000 510,000 10 10 WrathofHan 101,000 80,000 52,000 84,000 498,000 11 9 Wrath 70,000 66,000 56,000 49,000 477,000 12 12 bcf26 50,000 55,000 64,000 62,000 442,000 13 13 Mike Hunt 81,000 34,000 51,000 61,000 390,000 14 14 Fancyarcher 101,000 56,000 56,000 75,000 383,000 15 15 aabattery 155,000 16 16 Premium George 44,000 17 17 Kalo 0 18 18 PANDA 0 19 19 Telemachos 0
  13. And the week 7 results : # Player Part A Bonus Part B Part C Total 1 chasmmi 41000 24000 11000 36000 112000 2 PanaMovie 41000 24000 0 36000 101000 3 JJ-8 41000 24000 9000 25000 99000 4 ZeeSoh 41000 24000 0 25000 90000 5 BobDole 39000 20000 4000 25000 88000 6 WrathOfHan 38000 20000 1000 25000 84000 7 Simionski 41000 24000 0 18000 83000 8 glassfairy 34000 16000 6000 25000 81000 9 Sheikh 39000 20000 0 18000 77000 10 Fancyarcher 34000 16000 0 25000 75000 11 kayumanggi 38000 20000 2000 10000 70000 12 bcf26 28000 5000 4000 25000 62000 13 Mike Hunt 31000 8000 4000 18000 61000 14 Wrath 31000 8000 0 10000 49000 @chasmmi had a monster week taking the win convincingly. (For once i'm up amongst the top 3 too)
  14. Just scoring week 7 atm - will score the christmas / new years soon. Here is week 7's answers.... Week 7 Answers Part A: 1. Will Spiderverse Open to more than $25M? 1000 YES 2. Will Spiderverse Open to more than $35M? 2000 YES 3. Will Spiderverse Open to more than $30M? 3000 YES 4. Will Mortal Engines open to more than $12M? 4000 NO 5. Will Mortal Engines open to more than $16M? 5000 NO 6. Will The Mule more than $13M? 1000 YES 7. Will The Mule more than $18M? 2000 NO 8. Will SPiderverse make more than the two best new entries combined? 3000 YES 9. Will Deadpool make more for its 3 day than the Favorite? 4000 YES (good question this one : only 78k seperated the films!) 10. Will Vox Lux enter the top 10? 5000 NO 11. Will the top three films all be new entries? 1000 NO 12. Will Fantastic Beasts stay above Bohemian Rhapsody? 2000 NO 13. Will Creed have a PTA above $2000 3000 NO 14. Will Grinch have a better percentage drop than Green Book? 4000 YES 15. Will this be the moment Sony finally releases the superspy Aunt May character into their Spiderverse? 5000 * Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Spiderverse make for its 3 day? $35,363,376 2. What will be the difference in gross between Mule and Mortal Engines? $9,949,581 3. What will Deadpool make on Saturday? $1,159,024 Part 😄 There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 2. The Mule 4. Ralph Breaks the Internet 6. Creed II 8. Instant Family 10. Green Book 12. The Favourite Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000 Oh and don't forget this:
  15. # Player Part A Bonus Part B Part C Total 1 Sheikh 41000 20000 2000 25000 88000 2 Chasmmi 41000 20000 4000 18000 83000 3 BobDole 40000 20000 2000 18000 80000 4 kayumanggi 37000 16000 1000 25000 79000 5 PanaMovie 39000 16000 5000 18000 78000 6 glassfairy 39000 12000 0 25000 76000 7 ZeeSoh 39000 12000 0 25000 76000 8 Simionski 36000 12000 2000 25000 75000 9 bcf26 34000 12000 0 18000 64000 10 JJ-8 32000 5000 0 25000 62000 11 Fancyarcher 33000 5000 0 18000 56000 12 Wrath 33000 5000 0 18000 56000 13 WrathofHan 34000 5000 9000 4000 52000 14 Mike Hunt 28000 5000 0 18000 51000
  16. Week 7 Answers Part A: 1. Will Spiderverse Open to more than $25M? 1000 YES 2. Will Spiderverse Open to more than $35M? 2000 YES 3. Will Spiderverse Open to more than $30M? 3000 YES 4. Will Mortal Engines open to more than $12M? 4000 NO 5. Will Mortal Engines open to more than $16M? 5000 NO 6. Will The Mule more than $13M? 1000 YES 7. Will The Mule more than $18M? 2000 NO 8. Will SPiderverse make more than the two best new entries combined? 3000 YES 9. Will Deadpool make more for its 3 day than the Favorite? 4000 YES (good question this one : only 78k seperated the films!) 10. Will Vox Lux enter the top 10? 5000 NO 11. Will the top three films all be new entries? 1000 NO 12. Will Fantastic Beasts stay above Bohemian Rhapsody? 2000 NO 13. Will Creed have a PTA above $2000 3000 NO 14. Will Grinch have a better percentage drop than Green Book? 4000 YES 15. Will this be the moment Sony finally releases the superspy Aunt May character into their Spiderverse? 5000 * Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Spiderverse make for its 3 day? $35,363,376 2. What will be the difference in gross between Mule and Mortal Engines? $9,949,581 3. What will Deadpool make on Saturday? $1,159,024 Part 😄 There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 2. The Mule 4. Ralph Breaks the Internet 6. Creed II 8. Instant Family 10. Green Book 12. The Favourite Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000 Oh and don't forget this:
  17. phew.... scoring all up to date... here is week 10. ummm @chasmmi I think this one has become a free hit . Eli is currently TBD according to BOM (listed as 2019 on imdb)
  18. Question of Week Scores Cashout current streak when Incorrect (50% loss), no answer (20% loss), Cashout (0% loss) No Color = original scoring (20k per correct answer) Orange = 1st Rentry (15k per correct answer) Blue = 2nd Reentry (10k per correct answer) Green = 3rd Reentry (7k per correct answer) Purple = 4th Reentry (5k per correct answer) Red = 5th Reentry (or subsequent) (3k per correct answer) Current Streak # Player Total Score Answer Score #Correct Running Score Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Actuals NO NO NO NO 1 JJ-8 160,000 15,000 0 0 NO NO NO CASHOUT 2 BobDole 140,000 15,000 4 60000 NO NO NO NO 3 Chasmmi 100,000 15,000 4 60000 NO NO NO NO 4 WrathofHan 100,000 15,000 4 60000 NO NO NO NO 5 Sheikh 100,000 15,000 4 60000 NO NO NO NO 6 glassfairy 100,000 15,000 4 60000 NO NO NO NO 7 kayumanggi 100,000 15,000 4 60000 NO NO NO NO 8 Wrath 85,000 10,000 0 0 NO NO NO CASHOUT 9 Simionski 76,000 10,000 0 0 NO NO NO - 10 bcf26 76,000 10,000 0 0 NO NO NO - 11 ZeeSoh 70,000 10,000 3 30000 - NO NO NO 12 PanaMovie 62,500 10,000 0 0 NO NO NO YES 13 Mike Hunt 62,500 10,000 0 0 NO NO NO YES 14 Fancyarcher 62,500 10,000 4 40000 NO NO NO NO 15 aabattery 32,000 3,000 0 0 - - - - 16 Premium George 16,000 3,000 0 0 - - - - 17 Kalo 0 3,000 0 0 - - - - 18 PANDA 0 3,000 0 0 - - - - 19 Telemachos 0 3,000 0 0 - - - -
  19.  Well. Hmmm. Looks easy. But how certain are we.  It's a No. Still no scoring at the moment.
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