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Everything posted by ZeeSoh
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WONDER WOMAN | 409.2 M overseas ● 821.8 M worldwide
ZeeSoh replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
WW is doing well in brazil and other Latin American countries as well as South Korea, China and other Asian countries. It is not doing too well in Australia, UK, Italy and Russia and I doubt it will do well in other European countries as well Japan. We will have better indications of its legs by the end of the second week when it opens in remaining countries. I see it doing around 280 +/-10m domestic and somewhere around 370m OS (75-80 mil in China) for a total around 650m WW. Which would be decent and right around the number I expected. -
Thats about a 10% fall from friday plus previews. Little worse than gotg2(8.5%), logan (5%) and DS (3.7) BUT it had a much better preview to OD multi so there is that. Anyways guardians and logan both had a 23.7% and 23.1% fall on sunday respectively and both movies had strong WoM and a strong sunday. Same fall will lead WW to 100.5 OW. DS fell in the low 30's on sunday but i dont see this falling that much. It needs to fall 25% or less on Sunday to get over 100 million. Any higher and it misses out. There is a possibility that it falls higher than 25% since it fell higher than both logan and guardians which both fell 23-24% on Sunday. So yeah a chance it goes sub 100 Overall I think it will fall in the 22-25% range on Sunday and juuust finish over 100m OW
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Only Iron Man 1 & Spiderman 1 increased from Friday plus previews. No other SH in the last 15-20 years have done that. To expect an increase for WW is illogical. I expect a drop of somewhere around 5-10% which would be great. A drop of 15% or higher would indicate previews were affected by the nba game which inflated friday.
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Deadline revised their estimates to 38.7m OD and 97.1m OW. And yay gotg2 went up!!!!! 1.). Wonder Woman (WB), 4,165 theaters / $38.7M Fri. (includes $11M previews)/3-day cume: $97.1M/Total: Wk 2 2.). Captain Underpants (DWA/20TH), 3,434 theaters / $8M Fri. (includes $650K previews) /3-day cume: $25.7M/Total: Wk 1 3.). Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (DIS), 4,276 theaters / $6.3M Fri. (-73%)/3-day cume: $21.3M (-66%)/Total:$114.3M/ Wk 2 4.). The Guardians Of The Galaxy Vol. 2 (DIS), 3,507 theaters (-364) / $2.6M Fri.(-51%) /3-day cume: $9.7M (-54%) / Total: $355.4M / Wk 5 5.). Baywatch (FOX), 3,647 theaters / $2.6M Fri.(-54%)/ 3-day cume: $8.5M (-54%)/Total:$41.3M/ Wk 2 6.). Alien: Covenant (FOX), 2,660 theaters (-1,112) / $1.1M Fri. (-61%) /$3-day cume: $3.9M (-63%)/Total: $67.1M Wk 3 7.). Everything, Everything (WB/MGM), 2,375 theaters (-426) / $1M Fri. (-50%)//3-day cume: $3.1M (-48%) /Total:$28.1M/ Wk 3 8/9.). Snatched (FOX), 1,625 theaters (-1,033) / $385K Fri. (-65%) /3-day cume: $1.3M (-68%) / Total:$43.8 M / Wk 4 Diary Of A Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul (FOX), 2,088 theaters (-1,086) / $368K Fri. (-71%) / 3-day cume: $1.3M (-70%)/ Total: $17.9M/Wk 3 10.). King Arthur: Legend Of The Sword (WB/VR), 1,222 theaters (-1,281)/ $322K Fri. (-64%) /3-day cume: $1.1M (-67%) /Total:$37.1M / Wk 4 Notables: 3 Idiotas (LG), 349 theaters / $175K Fri. /3-day cume: $597K/Total: Wk 1
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WW preview to OD multi is one of the highest ever for a SH movie (at least in the last decade) barring CA2. Even higher than Logan This could be due to 1 of 2 reasons 1) WoM is really, really good even better than Logan. If this is the case it will have very strong Saturday and Sunday and easily cross 100m OR 2)The NBA finals deflated the previews which corrected itself on Friday i.e. those who wanted to see WW on Thursday but didn't due to the game ended up seeing it on Friday leading to an inflated preview to OD multi. If this is true then it could mean that the WoM is good but not huge which would mean Saturday wont be super strong. This could mean 100 is not easy and a sub 100 finish is likely We will know for sure when Saturday numbers come
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Projections based on OD (38.8) to OW multi Logan - 2.679 - 103.94 OW Gotg2 - 2.612 - 101.4 OW Doctor Strange - 2.61 - 101.3 OW Xmen FC - 2.57 - 99.9 OW CA 2 - 2.57 - 99.8 OW Avengers 1 - 2.566 - 99.6 OW Ant-Man - 2.53 - 98 OW Gotg1 - 2.49 - 96.7 OW Civil War - 2.37 - 91.9 OW MoS - 2.29 - 89 OW AOU - 2.266 - 87.9 OW SS - 2.06 - 79.9 OW BvS - 2.035 - 78.97 OW Not including Deadpool as that had Valentine day Sunday to skew the multi. Rest pretty much every SH movie fall within this range so I have not included them. Based on this the range is from 80-104m OW. We can narrow the range by eliminating SS and BvS due to their toxic WoM which WW doesn't have. That gives a a range of 90-104m OW WW preview to OD multi is 3.52 which is higher than many SH movies. But amongst the movies I looked at it is closest to Logan(3.47), DS (3.47) and CA2(3.62) So based on these three movies I would say the range for WW is 99-104m OW
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I need WW to do exactly 105 for derby purposes and that number just got closer. With this new number it can do 100.6 OW if it follows gotg2's saturday and sunday drops. If this number holds or increases then it will be far closer to 100 than 94-95 which is what the previous number was indicating. As expected that weekend number for gotg2 was too good to be true. 9.5 is more closer to my 10 million expectation. Still hoping that it is being underestimated as it has been for pretty much every weekend. That baywatch number is brutal and the pirates number ain't any better. The numbers so far bode well for my derby relative to average predictions
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It had almost same drop and same collections as AOU for the same weekend. Their daily box office too has aligned by now. If gotg2 follows AOU exactly from now it will make 390. Given that gotg2's legs as well as its WoW drops so far have been better than AOU, it can make more than 390. So yes 400 is not out of reach but will be difficult. I would wait until we get more concrete weekend numbers coz that 11.5m weekend number for guardians seems too good to be true.
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I've never read a bigger load of tosh than that but its to be expected from such posters. I don't even wanna get into the done to the death absolutely moronic deep and dark vs kiddie debates. What I dont understand is why do people feel the need to shit on some movies or franchises to prop their own up? People can hype their favourite franchises, post about them as much as they like, jerk off to it for all I care. But why put down others for it? Are you so insecure? Are the franchises you like so weak that they cant stand on their own merits? Are they so bad that they can only look good in comparision to movies you shit on? It is so perplexing. And this applies to all the fantards of all franchises.
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Which MCU character died and then returned within the MCU? I can remember a pretty big DCEU character dying and then returning (indication) within the same freaking movie though. So care to enlighten me? And also i dont know about you but I and pretty much Everyone I know go to movies to be entertained not to sit in a lecture and pretend to learn something. I've heard this ridiculous nonsense about DCEU movies being better than MCU by virtue of being dark and apparently exploring themes and shit. When all we got in BvS were philosophical ideas that lead no where and were abandoned by the third act do that the trio can fight big bad monster. Apparently MCU can explore anynumber of philosophical ideas but some levity in the movie automatically mean that the movie is for "kids" coz adults are not allowed to have fun and laugh. The hypocrisy is palpable