ZeeSoh

With Dangal crossing 1.1b by the time of end of its original run and with another month to go where do you guys see it making from here on out. Is another 200m out of question?

A 95 m OW would be a 8.6 Preview to OW multiplier which is smack dab in the middle of the 8-9 multi that I predicted and in line with multi of comparable SH movies. Trust the data and analysis people. And then there were those who were throwing a hissy fit when we used the same data and analysis to predict similar OW and legs as WW is showing. They even called us shit for using data and precedent to predict numbers on a forum for box office numbers and analysis no less.

True I was expecting around 10m which would still be a great number. That being said it has higher Theatre count than AOU and has had better legs than AOU which would explain such a good number. Either way phenomenal performance and legs for gotg2

If that 3m friday and 11.5m weekend number holds for guardians it would be phenomenal. That would be the same number as AOU and the same weekend drop as AOU and far better than CW and IM3. With this number 390m is guaranteed with 400 in play with what is looking like a weak June. Whats even better about this number which is same as AOU is that it has held the same despite facing a direct and much higher competition than AOU faced.

Guardians 2 had a preview to OD multi of 3.29. Taking the middle number of deadline range i.e. 36 million would give it a preview to OD multi of 3.27 which is nearly the same. With the same saturday and sunday drops as gotg2 would take WW to 94 million OW That being said stop it with the doom and gloom people. This number is decent and an opening between 95-100 would be great and above tracking. Only those who predicted absurdly high numbers will be disappointed when there was no indication it would do that high. WW will have great legs as competition will be weak in coming weeks. I still think a total north of 300 is happening with great reviews and WOM.

Midday figures show Warner Bros./DC’s Wonder Woman is flying toward a $34M-$37.5M Friday, with a three-day projection of $85M on the low-end, and a potential shot at breaking into the low-to-mid $90M range. http://deadline.com/2017/06/wonder-woman-captain-underpants-weekend-box-office-opening-1202106462/

Slightly better number for guardians than the deadline update. Ouch for alien and king arthur Daily Domestic Chart for Thursday June 1st, 2017 ← Previous Chart Chart Index Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days 1 (1) Pirates of the Caribbean: D… Walt Disney $3,435,067 -19% 4,276 $803 $93,008,771 7 2 (3) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 Walt Disney $1,406,686 -13% 3,871 $363 $345,741,332 28 3 (2) Baywatch Paramount Pictures $1,330,093 -19% 3,647 $365 $33,224,438 8 4 (4) Alien: Covenant 20th Century Fox $736,295 -23% 3,772 $195 $63,219,484 14 5 (5) Everything, Everything Warner Bros. $531,248 -12% 2,801 $190 $24,981,587 14 6 (6) Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The L… 20th Century Fox $351,703 -15% 3,174 $111 $16,604,604 14 7 (7) Snatched 20th Century Fox $277,144 -27% 2,658 $104 $42,528,414 21 8 (8) King Arthur: Legend of the … Warner Bros. $221,732 -34% 2,503 $89 $36,002,957 21 9 (9) The Boss Baby 20th Century Fox $165,562 -14% 1,342 $123 $170,300,564 63 10 (10) Beauty and the Beast Walt Disney $126,001 -20% 1,076 $117 $501,478,471 77 11 (11) The Fate of the Furious Universal $82,910 -35% 1,358 $61 $223,317,935 49 12 (13) The Lovers A24 $45,141 -26% 443 $102 $1,667,368 28 13 (12) How to Be a Latin Lover Lionsgate $43,232 -36% 669 $65 $31,423,504 35 14 (14) Lowriders BH Tilt $39,405 -29% 334 $118 $5,553,005 21 15 (15) Gifted Fox Searchlight $31,469 -29% 380 $83 $23,889,345 56 - (-) Kong: Skull Island Warner Bros. $26,545 +8% 246 $108 $167,543,695 84 - (-) Born in China Walt Disney $22,050 -21% 230 $96 $13,591,323 42 - (-) Going in Style Warner Bros. $18,523 -23% 344 $54 $44,015,329 56 - (-) Get Out Universal $17,780 -10% 188 $95 $175,352,970 98 - (-) The Lego Batman Movie Warner Bros. $17,201 +23% 176 $98 $175,612,069 112 - (-) Power Rangers Lionsgate $15,730 +13% 157 $100 $85,364,450 70 - (-) The Zookeeper’s Wife Focus Features $15,625 -10% 165 $95 $17,228,396 63 - (-) Logan 20th Century Fox $10,861 -2% 159 $68 $226,144,313 91 - (-) Unforgettable Warner Bros. $3,910 -8% 102 $38 $11,368,012 42 - (-) Hidden Figures 20th Century Fox $2,264 +23% 29 $78 $169,323,813 159 - (-) Sleight High Top Releasing $2,245 -35% 49 $46 $3,930,990 35 - (-) The Dinner The Orchard $1,136 +18% 20 $57 $1,314,834 28 - (-) Jeremiah Tower: The Last Ma… The Orchard $1,013 -33% 13 $78 $188,086 42 - (-) Phoenix Forgotten Entertainment Studi… $500

Save us deadline with some matinee numbers, you're our only hope to get out if this bizzarre conversation.

Deadpool had valentine sunday to cushion its multiplier and insane WoM kicking in after OD. This does not have any holiday. As for WoM we'll have to wait till tomorrow to find out

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 from Disney/Marvel collected $1.39M yesterday at 3,871 theaters in second bringing its four-week tally to $345.7M. Paramount’s R-rated Dwayne Johnson-Zac Efron comedy Baywatch slotted third with $1.34M at 3,647 with a running eight-day cume of $33.2M. This is nearly same as AoU thursday number. If it follows similar drops on weekend as that it will be a great weekend for gotg2.

I did not include deadpool since that had valentine sunday which is not a good comparision. Same with MoS which had that walmart thing which makes accurate calculations difficult. Based on the multi's i posted above, i can safely say Above 150, above guardians 2 and above SS is dead. I would go as far and say 125m OW is dead too. The highest multi from the list of DoFP happened due to memorial day weekend softening sunday drop and reducing rush. And even with that exaggerated multi WW wont hit 125 Friday numbers will make it more clear but at this point i would say 90-100 with 100 being the more likely

I have something better. Here are the preview to OW multiplier of relevant movies with OW for WW by the side if it hits that multi DoFP - 11.2 - 123 Avengers - 11 - 122 CA:TWS - 9.33 - 102.4 logan - 9.3 - 102.3 DS - 9 - 99 Gotg2 - 8.6 - 94.6 Gotg1 - 8.4 - 92.4 CW - 7.16 - 79 AoU - 6.9 - 76 SS - 6.5 - 71.5 BvS - 6 - 66

11 million previews!!!!!!! http://deadline.com/2017/06/wonder-woman-captain-underpants-weekend-box-office-opening-1202106462/

Judging by Supes facial expressions in BvS he does too. As for numbers maybe about an hour more or so

Is it so hard to believe that some portion of people went to see this iteration of joker after the legendary performance by Heath Ledger?

I would say 9-10 would be more suitable for 80m+ That makes far more sense and seems probable.

Deadpool had a 10.4 multiplier. I had forgotten about it. That being said this has no where near the hype deadpool had when it opened. It's not impossible it does 10.5 multi given the nba finals and all but i highly doubt it will get that. 8-9 is where it will land most likely

There is no way it opens to 115 if it does only 11 million in previews. That would be a 10.5 preview to OW multiplier. Other preview to OW multiplier are logan - 9.3 DS - 9 Gotg2 - 8.6 Gotg1 - 8.4 SS - 6.5 BvS - 6 An 8 preview to OW multiplier seems far more likely.

Why do you think WW is going to have significantly better OD to OW multiplier in NZ than pretty much any recent SH movies? Here are projections based on NZ OD to OW to Dom multiplier If it follows :- Logan (4.8 od to ow multi) - 81m OW DS (5.45 od to ow multi) - 97m OW I couldnt find OD for bvs, ss or civil war to make suitable comparisions. But i'm sure even those movies did not have such high od to ow multi as u are predicting for WW.

8.1 is in us dollars. The 8.8 is in aus dollars.

https://twitter.com/numeroboxoffice/status/870462695480279040 Going by deecee's prediction of thursday OD to OW multiplier of 4.5 gives it 5.1m OW. And then a multiplier of 12 for the us ow gives it 61m OW Surely it cant be that low Ps: can someone tell me how to embed tweets?

I think it will do well in latin american countries and asian countries. Territories where SH movies have tended to do well i don't see the american angle in this like guardians 2 where there were a lot of jokes and references which asian and LA countries wouldnt have gotten. Regardless i think we can agree this will do well everywhere relative to expectations

Ok drop for pirates, not good not bad. Given the theatre decline, King Arthur snd Alien should have bad drops this weekend. Good drop for guardians. In line with AOU. Better WoW drop than AOU, CW & IM3. Given that CW made 1.2 on same day and guardians did 1.6 and giving guardians the same drop as CW from this point onwards would take guardians to around 384-385. Seeing how it has held far better than CW till now and CW's late legs were not good means 380+ is locked regardless of how WW affects guardians. I'll guess it is heading for 390ish total (390+if it holds well against WW)

At what times do thursday night previews generally start in China?