Bluebomb
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Really? Wasn't it in production hell for several years?
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I think this will do better in Christian territories. Maybe Buddhists and Taoists are turned off by the Christian imagery.
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Wow, this is getting terrible reviews in HK. I'm surprised.
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I think it's the perfect holiday movie. It also doesn't have to compete with The Hobbit in quite a few territories (about half).
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Thursday pre-sales Thursday adm. (so far) November 22 Rank Title LW TW % chg 1 Life of Pi -- 6,634 -- 2 Cold War 5,890 3,215 -45.4% 3 Skyfall 2,086 1,026 -50.8% 4 Rise of the Guardians -- 742 -- 5 Love in Time -- 613 -- Nice start for Life of Pi. Pi is aiming for 1.1-1.2m this weekend. Since it's a longer movie, I expect huge jumps on Saturday and Sunday. In my opinion, this will have very strong holds the next few weeks. I could see this getting 4m if WOM is what I think it will be. Cold War had an impressive hold. Usually big movies fall over once another big movie comes in and takes over 2 weeks after. It has remained strong. I'm believing more and more that this will fall less than 50% this weekend. 5m is looking almost like a lock. Skyfall is nearing the end but it didn't fall down too badly. It'll pass 4.5m next weekend. Rise of the Guardians flopped hard. It won't be making more than $150,000 this weekend. Love in Time opened badly but Newport may have a big effect on its ticket sales. We will see.
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I don't think they will delay such a big tentpole film out of December. Studios want to make as much money as possible and Christmas is a very lucrative period.
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300m
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Life of Pi will be the #1 movie this week. It is currently ahead of Cold War in 65% of locations so far. IMAX is looking healthy with peak showtimes 55% full. It is showing on 2 screens (also showing in 2D) and in some places, 3 screens. Cold War is performing well even with the screen loss. It is getting 1 screen at most theaters besides Broadway/AMC. Most Broadway/AMC theaters have kept it on 2 screens this week.Rise of the Guardians, on the other hand is looking like a huge flop. If it doesn't pick up in admissions on Saturday/Sunday, it could end up #5 behind Skyfall and Love in Time.
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Records updated. Top 10 of 2012 1. The Avengers - $12,468,825 2. The Dark Knight Rises - $10,346,437 3. The Amazing Spider-Man** - $7,950,000 4. Men in Black 3 - $6,118,778 5. Ice Age: Continental Drift - $4,929,128 6. Journey 2: The Mysterious Island - $4,535,404 7. Madagascar: Europe's Most Wanted - $4,149,734 8. Vulgaria - $3,873,246 9. Ted* - $3,800,953 10. Love in the Buff - $3,605,850 * Denotes movie still in release ** Movie originally tagged with incorrect total, above is an estimate only Wow, what an incredible fall. 5 films grossed 1m or more on opening weekend. That's well up from last year when only 2 managed to hit 7 digits. We are now going to set a new record for most films opening above 1m with The Hobbit assured of a 1m OW in December. The only question is whether or not some other movies will be able to join it. There are still some possibilities out there including Life of Pi, Jack Reacher and Twilight: Breaking Dawn Part 2. While the top 10 last year made over 60.9m combined, this year has already pulled ahead of its predecessor's combined total with 61.7m so far. With The Hobbit guaranteed a slot in the year-end top 10, there's still quite a ways to go before we find out how much bigger this year ends up being for the top 10.
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November 8 Actuals Cold War - $1,617,911 (weekend actual) Skyfall - $867,000 (-54.5%)/$3,327,427 (weekend actual) Natural Born Lovers - $747,026 Silent Hill: Revelation - $754,767 Umizaru: Brave Hearts - $508,338 The Perks of Being A Wallflower - $152,243 Cold War blew everything out of the water. Skyfall did well to hold on after that poor Thursday. The Perks of Being A Wallflower will hit 5x multiplier in the next few days. The top 2 combined for almost 2.5m and overall, it became the biggest November weekend on record.
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REVISED November 8 Weekend Estimates Weekend Estimates November 8 Rank Title TW % chg Total 1 Cold War $1,550,000 $1,560,000 2 Skyfall $800,000 -56.2% $3,260,000 3 Natural Born Lovers $60,000 -65.9% $745,000 4 Silent Hill: Revelation $43,000 -71.0% $751,000 5 Umizaru: Brave Hearts $40,000 -54.2% $515,000 Made big errors with holdover totals. Fixed. Monday admissions Cold War - 29,766 (-28.8% from Thursday admissions) Skyfall - 10,175 (-46% from last Monday's admissions) Cold War will pass 2m by Wednesday. 3.5m is almost a lock. Chances of 4m is about 80%. Cold War could hit 4.5m but I'll reserve judgement until I see 2nd weekend numbers. Skyfall will pass 4m although chances of 4.5m are not likely given Life of Pi will open next week.
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Partial records updated.
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Monday pre-sales Cold War - 5,292 (-59.3% from Thursday pre-sales) Skyfall - 2,525 (-48.5% from last Monday's pre-sales) Cold War is holding well. Skyfall is doing solid numbers after that Mon-Thu snafu.
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Weekend Estimates November 8 Rank Title TW % chg Total 1 Cold War $1,550,000 $1,560,000 2 Skyfall $800,000 -56.2% $2,625,000 3 Natural Born Lovers $60,000 -65.9% $660,000 4 Silent Hill: Revelation $43,000 -71.0% $700,000 5 Umizaru: Brave Hearts $40,000 -54.2% $478,000 Cold War had an amazing Sunday, falling only 1% from Saturday. It will have the biggest OW for a local film this year, biggest OW since Sex & Zen: Extreme Ecstasy and the highest OW for a 2D film since Ip Man 2 in 2010. It is vying to become the highest grossing HK film of the year which currently belongs to Vulgaria. Word of mouth is very good which will help with legs. With great reviews and a huge OW, this looks poised to become the year's first local film to top 4m. This could even break 5m if it holds up well when Life of Pi opens. Skyfall suffered a large decline on Thursday but surprisingly roared its way back on Saturday and Sunday. Sunday was its best day percentage wise as it fell below 50% from its opening Sunday. If those percentages continue, this should make about $500,000 on its 3rd weekend on its way to at least 3.5m. 4m is still not locked because Life of Pi is opening on November 22 and that will take away a couple of screens. Weekend admissions for the top 2 Cold War QD % chg Skyfall QD % chg Thu 41,798 13,588 Fri 48,544 +16.1% 20,881 +53.7% Sat 80,452 +65.7% 34,673 +66.1% Sun 79,309 -1.4% 34,057 -1.8% Total 250,103 103,199 Skyfall had an impressive surge on Friday and Saturday but Cold War equalled it on Saturday and dropped less on Sunday starting at a higher number. This weekend will become the biggest November weekend on record. It'll take over last weekend's November record. Cold War may not have beaten Ip Man 2 in gross but it did eke out a win in admissions. Ip Man 2 had 249,162 admissions spread out over the 5-day OW. Even though Cold War defeated Ip Man 2 in admissions, a large part of Cold War's Thursday admissions came from seniors who watched the first morning show of the day. Ticket prices for seniors on the first morning show of the day are discounted heavily (around 60%-75% off regular price). These admissions, sprinkled generously throughout the 4-day period, is why Cold War's OW is off about $150,000-$200,000 from Ip Man 2's OW.
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Oh ok, so actuals come out on Tuesday. Makes sense now.
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This is for 5-day weekend?
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So what is Cold War looking at?
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Weekend Projections November 8 Rank Title TW % chg Total 1 Cold War $1,500,000 $1,510,000 2 Skyfall $800,000 -56.2% $2,625,000 3 Natural Born Lovers $60,000 -65.9% $660,000 4 Silent Hill: Revelation $43,000 -71.0% $700,000 5 Umizaru: Brave Hearts $40,000 -54.2% $478,000 Cold War will have the highest OW for a local film since Sex & Zen: Extreme Ecstasy and highest OW for a 2D local film since Ip Man 2. Pretty awesome. Skyfall didn't outright collapse as initially feared. Sunday will be very interesting to watch as last Sunday saw it lose 10,000 admissions from Saturday. Either way, it's headed past 3.5m. Natural Born Lovers continues to do well even with the local competition. Silent Hill: Revelation is dropping like a rock. Umizaru: Brave Hearts is holding fairly well.
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Weekend #s Bond 90M Lincoln 900K Ralph Flight good holds
Bluebomb replied to baumer's topic in Numbers and Data
Exhibitor Relations @ERCboxoffice 1. SKYFALL - $81M, 2. WRECK-IT RALPH - $32M, 3. FLIGHT - $14M -
I will update records after this weekend.
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Cold War Friday - 48,544 admissions (+16.1% from Thursday) 2-day total - 90,342 admissions Outlook: 1.5-1.6m OW Skyfall Friday - 20,881 admissions (+53.7% from Thursday) 2-day total - 34,469 admissions Outlook: $800,000 (-56.2%)
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Update: Cold War is on pace for 1.5m this weekend. Skyfall is doing much better now.
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Thursday Actuals November 8 LW TW Title Last Thu. (USD) Thursday (USD) % chg Screens Days Total -- 1 Cold War -- $259,836 -- 92 1 $269,658 1 2 Skyfall $346,399 $116,077 -66.5% 84 8 $2,576,356 2 3 Natural Born Lovers -- $11,306 -- 31 15 $699,560 3 4 Silent Hill: Revelation -- $8,317 -- 26 15 $721,450 4 5 Umizaru: Brave Hearts -- $5,759 -- 20 15 $480,502 -- 6 Bel Ami -- $2,547 -- 4 1 $2,547 -- 7 Due West -- $2,494 -- 5 50 $2,417,434 -- 8 The Perks of Being A Wallflower -- $2,027 -- 6 22 $144,506 -- 9 Monsieur Lazhar -- $1,708 -- 2 1 $2,580 -- 10 Frankenweenie -- $1,055 -- 3 22 $550,890 This is why ticket prices are so important in HK. Nearly $100,000 difference from Skyfall's OD actual. Cold War is still a huge hit even with the downgrade. It will still pass 1.5m this weekend. Huge plunge for Skyfall. Great reviews are not helping this movie. Average word of mouth in HK is sinking this. Natural Born Lovers is doing well. Silent Hill Revelation will come within $50,000 of the original. Umizaru is also showing some legs. Bel Ami flopped. Due West has been doing ok after the holiday. The Perks of Being A Wallflower has already surpassed a 4x multiplier after its OW. Monsieur Lazhar is off to a fairly good start. Frankenweenie has done ok for itself.
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This is why Vienna is ranked as the world's most livable city.