Bluebomb

Sunday July 29 Rank Title LW (adm.) TW (adm.) Gross (USD) % chg (adm.) QD % chg (adm.) 1 The Dark Knight Rises 107,528 65,694 $713,026 -38.9% -7.8% 2 Step Up Revolution -- 24,455 $273,178 -- -6.2% 3 Ice Age: Continental Drift 32,769 20,711 $209,890 -36.8% +13.2% 4 Doraemon: Nobita and the Island of Miracles: Animal Adventure -- 9,587 $66,646 -- +20.2% 5 The Pirates! Band of Misfits -- 3,329 $32,498 -- +27.8% Weekend adm. Jul 26-29 Rank Title LW TW % chg 1 The Dark Knight Rises 332,451 219,407 -34.0% 2 Step Up Revolution -- 90,325 -- 3 Ice Age: Continental Drift -- 61,144 -- 4 Doraemon: Nobita and the Island of Miracles: Animal Adventure -- 28,683 -- 5 The Pirates! Band of Misfits -- 10,681 -- Weekend Estimates July 26 Rank Title TW % chg Total 1 The Dark Knight Rises $1,950,000 -41.3% $6,675,000 2 Step Up Revolution $745,000 $745,000 3 Ice Age: Continental Drift $480,000 -39.0% $4,315,000 4 Doraemon: Nobita and the Island of Miracles: Animal Adventure $160,000 $160,000 5 The Pirates! Band of Misfits $75,000 $75,000 TDKR had a weaker than expected Sunday but Doraemon/Pirates! performed well.

It's going to match or increase on OW from Step Up 3D in HK.

Saturday July 28 Rank Title LW (adm.) TW (adm.) Gross (USD) % chg (adm.) QD % chg (adm.) 1 The Dark Knight Rises 97,279 71,262 $785,345 -26.7% +58.2% 2 Step Up Revolution -- 26,059 $300,222 -- +34.8% 3 Ice Age: Continental Drift 24,792 18,290 $186,427 -26.2% +68.1% 4 Doraemon: Nobita and the Island of Miracles: Animal Adventure -- 7,973 $59,731 -- +55.1% 5 The Pirates! Band of Misfits -- 2,605 $26,904 -- +12.8% 6 The Amazing Spider-Man 4,763 2,519 $31,223 -47.1% -- The Pirates! ranked #5 in admissions but was outgrossed by TASM. Weekend Projections July 26 Rank Title TW % chg Total 1 The Dark Knight Rises $1,975,000 -40.6% $6,700,000 2 Step Up Revolution $745,000 $745,000 3 Ice Age: Continental Drift $480,000 -39.0% $4,315,000 4 Doraemon: Nobita and the Island of Miracles: Animal Adventure $155,000 $155,000 5 The Pirates! Band of Misfits $70,000 $70,000 Very good weekend for TDKR. It would rank as the 4th biggest 2nd weekend of all time (behind Avatar, Toy Story 3, The Avengers). It'll pass TDK by either Wednesday or Thursday should numbers stay there or go higher. Excellent start for Step Up Revolution. Here's how it's been tracking against Step Up 3D so far. Step Up 3D Step Up Revolution Thursday 21022 20484 Friday 20196 19327 Saturday 25622 26059 Sunday Total 66840 65870 Step Up 3D has a slight lead in admissions but ticket prices are more expensive nowadays. It's funny that Step Up 3D had less competition than Revolution but it could have the lower OW of the two. Fantastic hold for Ice Age 4 considering 3 animation films came out all in the same week. It passes IA3 this weekend. Good start for Doraemon. Actuals will tell us if this beats the 2010 Doraemon film's OW. The Pirates sunk. It would have done better had Sony released it in April or May when there were no animation releases flying around. Sunday adm. (so far) July 29 Rank Title LW TW % chg QD % chg 1 The Dark Knight Rises 57,684 37,558 -34.9% +0.8% 2 Ice Age: Continental Drift 16,253 10,226 -37.1% +39.9% 3 Step Up Revolution -- 8,086 -- +8.1% 4 Doraemon: Nobita and the Island of Miracles: Animal Adventure -- 5,177 -- +29.2% 5 The Pirates! Band of Misfits -- 1,702 -- -- Still very good for TDKR. Excellent bump for Ice Age 4. It has a shot at beating Step Up Revolution in admissions today. Solid for Doraemon. Pitiful for The Pirates!

The Amazing Spider-Man - 9.5/10 AThe Avengers - 7.5/10 BThe Hunger Games - 7/10 B-Battleship - 7/10 B-Prometheus - 7/10 B-The Dark Knight Rises - 5.5/10 CMen in Black 3 - 4/10 DThe other 3 I haven't seen.

Saturday adm. (so far) July 28 Rank Title LW TW % chg QD % chg 1 The Dark Knight Rises 49,751 37,254 -25.1% +76.3% 2 Step Up Revolution -- 7,481 -- +39.3% 3 Ice Age: Continental Drift -- 7,310 -- +93.7% 4 Doraemon: Nobita and the Island of Miracles: Animal Adventure -- 4,008 -- +97.8% 5 Vulgaria -- 1,388 -- -- Great for TDKR. Decent for Step Up Revolution. Huge bumps for Ice Age 4 and Doraemon. Vulgaria cracks the top 5 with only 7 showings -- most of them after midnight.

It's done better in OW and 2nd weekend so far. It will easily pass TDK's total by next weekend.It's an excellent hold by big OW standards. Its run so far is reminding me of Toy Story 3 albeit TS3 will have a better 2nd weekend hold than TDKR. We will see. Ice Age 4 got massively upgraded this weekend, partially at TDKR's expense. Whereas TDKR gained more showtimes last weekend, it will stay stagnant this weekend. I expect much harder falls for TDKR next weekend and the weekend after that.

TDKR needs more Mainland people to beat The Avengers.

Looking at a 40% drop and a $2m 2nd weekend.

Friday July 27 Rank Title LW (adm.) TW (adm.) Gross (USD) % chg (adm.) QD % chg (adm.) 1 The Dark Knight Rises 63,724 45,052 $505,319 -29.3% +20.5% 2 Step Up Revolution -- 19,327 $223,716 -- -5.6% 3 Ice Age: Continental Drift -- 10,880 $107,281 -- -3.4% 4 Doraemon: Nobita and the Island of Miracles: Animal Adventure -- 5,140 $36,095 -- -14.1% 5 The Pirates! Band of Misfits -- 2,310 $23,814 -- -5.2% Huge bump for TDKR. In fact, it was the only film of the top 5 to increase on Friday. Still good for Step Up Revolution. Ice Age 4 passed 4m today. Doraemon is on track to pass the last 2 OWs in the franchise. Ouch for The Pirates! Band of Misfits.

I'm curious to see which holdover markets had bad holds in its 2nd weekend.

Really good for TDKR.

Belgium 25 July 2012 France 25 July 2012 Iceland 25 July 2012 Norway 25 July 2012 Sweden 25 July 2012 Switzerland 25 July 2012 (French speaking region)Trinidad and Tobago 25 July 2012 Argentina 26 July 2012 Bosnia and Herzegovina 26 July 2012 Cambodia 26 July 2012 Chile 26 July 2012 Croatia 26 July 2012 Georgia 26 July 2012 Germany 26 July 2012 Hungary 26 July 2012 Kazakhstan 26 July 2012 Russia 26 July 2012 Serbia 26 July 2012 Slovenia 26 July 2012 Switzerland 26 July 2012 (German speaking region)Ukraine 26 July 2012 Brazil 27 July 2012 Bulgaria 27 July 2012 Colombia 27 July 2012 Costa Rica 27 July 2012 Estonia 27 July 2012 Japan 27 July 2012 Latvia 27 July 2012 Lithuania 27 July 2012 Mexico 27 July 2012 Panama 27 July 2012 Paraguay 27 July 2012 Poland 27 July 2012 Republic of Macedonia 27 July 2012 (Skopje)South Africa 27 July 2012 Turkey 27 July 2012 Venezuela 27 July 2012 Vietnam 27 July 2012

In the meantime, send more mainland people down HK's way. Maybe TDKR can beat The Avengers if it gets more tourist groups to watch it.

When it comes to Batman, HK is the one of the few Asian territories that performs like Europe.

Thursday Actuals July 26 LW TW Title Last Thu. (USD) Thursday (USD) % chg Screens Days Total 1 1 The Dark Knight Rises $626,904 $328,361 -47.6% 100 8 $5,054,378 -- 2 Step Up Revolution -- $170,156 -- 38 1 $180,468 2 3 Ice Age: Continental Drift $135,700 $90,027 -33.7% 53 15 $3,924,932 -- 4 Doraemon: Nobita and the Island of Miracles: Animal Adventure -- $32,901 -- 22 1 $32,901 -- 5 The Pirates! Band of Misfits -- $17,060 -- 37 1 $17,060 3 6 The Amazing Spider-Man $27,395 $13,159 -52.0% 24 28 $7,816,389 -- 7 Wu Dang -- $9,667 -- 19 1 $9,667 -- 8 One Piece + Toriko 3D -- $6,338 -- 14 1 $6,338 -- 9 Beloved -- $3,718 -- 2 1 $3,718 4 10 Abraham Lincoln: Vampire Hunter $16,895 $3,479 -79.4% 7 22 $1,393,366 The Avengers $12,457,605 Motorway $1,901,206 Painted Skin: The Resurrection $1,171,679 The Bounty $374,244 What to Expect When You're Expecting $365,838 The Best Exoic Marigold Hotel $346,907 Everything was overestimated. This is how much the top 5 grosses changed (for the worse). The Dark Knight Rises -$91,512 Step Up Revolution -$58,079 Ice Age: Continental Drift -$22,461 Doraemon: Nobita and the Island of Miracles: Animal Adventure -$9,399 The Pirates! Band of Misfits -$8,631 The overestimated actuals don't really change much for most of the top 10. It's still a good hold for TDKR. It should pass TDK by the end of the week. Nice beginning for Step Up Revolution. If it posts the same gross for the rest of the week, it'll come in at $680,000 which is just a step behind the third film. It'll end up very close to Step Up 3D's OW regardless of where it falls (below or above Step Up 3D's OW). Very good hold for Ice Age 4. This will easily pass IA3's gross this weekend. Good start for Doraemon. It'll be close but I see this beating the last 2 Doraemon films' OW and total. The news got bleaker for The Pirates! Band of Misfits. $100,000 doesn't look like it's happening. The Amazing Spider-Man's chances of 8m are back to a toss-up. It'll be close to 7.9m by the end of the week. If it has a decent hold next week, I like its chances of 8m. Wu Dang, One Piece, Beloved didn't do much. Abraham Lincoln sinks lower.

I think walk-ins could be even higher than 25k today. One thing that TDKR has over other blockbusters is excellent walk-ins so a flat rate of 25k might not happen.The Avengers 2nd Thursday had about 11k of walk-ins. Its 2nd Friday had 15k. It's not that big of a stretch to say that TDKR could hit 30k with walk-ins which would put it down 20%.

You talking about admissions or gross?

Jul 19 WKD Rank Movie Distributor Weekend BO Weeks Engmnts Eng. average % change B.O. Cume 1 Dark Knight Rises, The Warner Bros Int'l $3,322,868 1 44 $75,520 $3,322,868 2 Ice Age: Continental Drift Fox Int'l $787,061 2 37 $21,272 -60% $3,473,740 3 Amazing Spider-Man, The Sony Int'l $163,255 4 31 $5,266 -80% $7,490,262 4 Abraham Lincoln: Vampire Hunter Fox Int'l $88,666 3 20 $4,433 -74% $1,225,471 5 The Four Newport Ent. $37,750 2 10 $3,775 -70% $222,190 6 Painted Skin: The Resurrection Intercontinental $35,775 3 21 $1,704 -86% $1,157,701 7 Silenced UA Films/Emperor $20,515 5 5 $4,103 -34% $215,645 8 Hotaru The Movie: It's Only A Little Light In My Life Panasia Films $14,998 3 8 $1,875 -74% $219,046 9 When Pigs Have Wings Panasia Films $12,762 1 3 $4,254 $12,762 10 W.E. Golden Scene $10,711 2 3 $3,570 -53% $44,716 I think they made a typo for TASM's total and meant to put 7.69m instead. Great for TDKR. Very good hold for Ice Age 4 since that 60% fall had previews and it held 10% better than any other wide release. Superb for Silenced. Thursday July 26 Rank Title LW (adm.) TW (adm.) Gross (USD) % chg (adm.) 1 The Dark Knight Rises 63,920 37,399 $419,873 -41.5% 2 Step Up Revolution -- 20,484 $228,235 -- 3 Ice Age: Continental Drift -- 11,263 $112,488 -- 4 Doraemon: Nobita and the Island of Miracles: Animal Adventure -- 5,983 $42,300 -- 5 The Pirates! Band of Misfits -- 2,437 $25,691 -- I really hope those grosses are true. TDKR erases the 67% plunge in pre-sales and brings its admissions back to a more respectable 41% fall. It's worthy to note that it had almost the same amount of walk-ins today as it did with opening day (25,000). If that gross is accurate, TDKR will have passed 5m in 8 days and would be down only 33% in gross from opening day. That would also up its chances of making 10m. Excellent. Very good for Step Up Revolution. Its admissions are slightly below the OD of Step Up 3D but its gross should be a little higher than Step Up 3D. If it experiences the same increases like Step Up 3D, it will make more than $900,000 which would be put it about $200,000 higher than the 3rd movie. Not to be outdone, IA4 has the best drop of the top 5 as it is down only 18% in gross. That would put it on track to pass IA3's gross this weekend and give 5m a fighting chance. Doraemon opened higher than its previous entry. With that gross, it would make more than $200,000 which would be better than the last two films' OWs in the series. The Pirates bombed. It might not even make $100,000 this weekend because theaters are giving its weekend showtimes to Ice Age 4 or Doraemon. Rest of the top 10 Thursday July 26 Rank Title Gross (USD) % chg 6 The Amazing Spider-Man $17,925 -34.6% 7 One Piece + Toriko 3D $9,260 8 Wu Dang $5,998 9 Abraham Lincoln: Vampire Hunter $4,469 -73.5% 10 Beloved $4,366 11 Silenced $3,918 +1.2% That hold will seal the deal for TASM as far as 8m is concerned. A 35% drop would be another $120,000 and adding in this week's weekdays, it should be above 7.9m. Even if it ends up slightly below 7.9m after this weekend, it won't collapse fast enough with the two big openers next week and miss 8m. One Piece did standard One Piece numbers. Horrible for Wu Dang. Abraham Lincoln is not holding well after its surprise 2nd weekend hold. Excellent for Silenced. It lost 1 theater so that makes its gain even more outstanding. $300,000 is almost a lock.

How does TDKR's 2nd Thursday pre-sales compare to past blockbusters? Movie 2nd Thu. Pre-sales % diff The Dark Knight Rises 12,748 The Amazing Spider-Man 7,616 +67.4% The Avengers 17,064 -25.3% Transformers 3 17,204 -25.9% Harry Potter 7-2 17,599 -27.6% Toy Story 3 -- -- Pirates 4 11,387 +12.0% Inception 8,533 +49.4% What this table tells us is that TDKR is tracking ahead of movies below 8m but below movies above 9.8m. One thing to note is that it's well back of DH2's 2nd Thursday pre-sales. DH2 was extremely frontloaded though. More than 50% of its admissions its first 2 weekends consisted of pre-sales. TDKR's got a tough road ahead if it wants to break 10m but it will need to rely on superb walk-ins to do it.

Thursday adm. (so far) July 26 Rank Title LW TW % chg 1 The Dark Knight Rises 38,750 12,748 -67.1% 2 Step Up Revolution -- 5,281 -- 3 Ice Age: Continental Drift -- 3,369 -- 4 Doraemon: Nobita and the Island of Miracles: Animal Adventure -- 2,004 -- 5 The Pirates! Band of Misfits -- 1,016 -- Huge drop from opening day pre-sales for TDKR. I still expect walk-ins to help out immensely and take it to 30,000 admissions for Thursday. It looks like Step Up Revolution won't be able to match Step Up 3D's OW. Ice Age 4 is down about 54% from last Thursday's pre-sales. Doraemon Island of Miracles is doing about the same as last year's Doraemon offering. The Pirates! Band of Misfits bombed.

BREAKING: Expendables 2 has moved from its August 17 release date. No new date has been set. The Bourne Legacy just breathed a little easier.

TASM - 9.5/10 (A)TA - 7.5/10 (B)TDKR - 5.5/10 ©

Records updated. We're right where we were last year in terms of 1m OWs with 10 recorded so far. We might not be able to challenge last year's record of 16 as only 3 movies left are locked for 1m for more (The Hobbit, Madagascar 3, Skyfall). Other possibilities for 1m OW include Breaking Dawn Part 2 and Brave. At least some good news will come out of this year; our 10th highest grosser will be bigger than the 10th place grosser from 2011. There's still the possibility of 2 or maybe even 3 10m grossers this year. TDKR will try and hope for a similar TDK-style finish and The Hobbit will easily win the winter box office but how high will it go? Thursday schedules Olympian City New Holdovers Leaving Step Up Revolution - 6 showings The Dark Knight Rises - 14 showings (▼ 21) Painted Skin: The Resurrection Doraemon: Nobita and the Island of Miracles: Animal Adventure - 4 showings Ice Age: Continental Drift (3D Can.) - 3 showings (▼ 4) The Pirates! Band of Misfits (3D Can.) - 4 showings Ice Age: Continental Drift (Can.) - 3 showings (▼ 5) The Pirates! Band of Misfits (Can.) - 1 showing The Amazing Spider-Man - 1 showing (▼ 2) Wu Dang - 3 showings The Amazing Spider-Man 3D - 1 showing (-) Palace APM New Holdovers Leaving Step Up Revolution - 7 showings The Dark Knight Rises - 14 showings (▼ 25) Painted Skin: The Resurrection Doraemon: Nobita and the Island of Miracles: Animal Adventure - 4 showings Ice Age: Continental Drift (3D Can.) - 3 showings (▼ 6) The Pirates! Band of Misfits (3D Can.) - 4 showings Ice Age: Continental Drift (Can.) - 1 showing (▼ 4) The Pirates! Band of Misfits (Can.) - 2 showings The Amazing Spider-Man 3D - 1 showing (▼ 3) One Piece + Toriko 3D - 3 showings Wu Dang - 4 showings The One New Holdovers Leaving Step Up Revolution - 11 showings The Dark Knight Rises - 17 showings (▼ 27) Ice Age: Continental Drift (3D Eng.) The Pirates! Band of Misfits (3D Can.) - 2 showings Ice Age: Continental Drift (3D Can.) - 4 showings (▼ 5) The Pirates! Band of Misfits (Can.) - 2 showings The Amazing Spider-Man 3D - 2 showings (▼ 5) Wu Dang - 3 showings The Grand Cinema New Holdovers Leaving Step Up Revolution - 6 showings Abraham Lincoln: Vampire Hunter - 2 showings (▼ 3) Motorway Doraemon: Nobita and the Island of Miracles: Animal Adventure - 3 showings The Amazing Spider-Man 3D - 2 showings (▼ 3) The Four The Pirates! Band of Misfits (3D Can.) - 2 showings Ice Age: Continental Drift (3D Can.) - 2 showings (▼ 4) Painted Skin: The Resurrection The Pirates! Band of Misfits (Can.) - 1 showing Ice Age: Continental Drift (3D Eng.) - 3 showings (▼ 4) The Pirates! Band of Misfits (3D Eng.) - 3 showings The Dark Knight Rises - 30 showings (▼ 36) The Pirates! Band of Misfits (Eng.) - 1 showing Elles - 1 showing (-) Wu Dang - 6 showings Hotaru the Movie: It's Only A Little Light in My Life - 3 showings (▲ 2) W.E. - 3 showings (-) When Pigs Have Wings - 3 showings (▼ 5) Step Up Revolution is getting full day showtimes at almost every theater and even 2 screens in some places. Pre-sales have looked decent. Doraemon should be good for another $100,000 OW. Pre-sales have been more or less the same compared with the most recent Doraemon films. Morning showings are performing well and afternoon showings aren't bad either. The last 2 Doraemon movies to open the last weekend of July have made more than $100,000. I don't think this new Doraemon movie will fail despite huge animation competition. The Pirates! Band of Misfits is looking to flop even with the very wide release. Pre-sales have been very lackluster and this will get cut down in screens or showtimes this weekend. One Piece seems to be doing ok so far but it looks like this is headed for an OW below $100,000. Wu Dang is in bad shape and opening on the same weekend as Wu Xia last year is not doing any favours. The Dark Knight Rises saw 30% of its screens go to new openers but it still holds about a 50% majority in screens. Early Thursday/Friday pre-sales have been OK. Some theaters are holding very well but others have seen ticket sales plummet from last week. I would put TDKR's early weekend pre-sales like this: 30% of theaters are doing well, 40% of theaters are doing OK, 30% of theaters are doing below average/well below average. Cool to see TDKR get 30 showtimes on its 2nd Thursday. Haven't seen that before. Ice Age 4 is still doing pretty well although demand has curtailed slightly. With The Pirates bombing, it is looking at an increase in showtimes on the weekend. The Amazing Spider-Man is hanging in there.

Weekend/Total Actuals 1 The Dark Knight Rises - $3,320,908 (weekend actual) 2 Ice Age 4: Continental Drift - $3,469,502 3 The Amazing Spider-Man - $7,729,856 4 Abaraham Lincoln: Vampire Hunter - $1,356,307 5 Painted Skin: The Resurrection - $1,155,984 6 The Four - $221,757 7 Hotaru The Movie - $220,028 8 Silenced - $215,169 9 Late Autumn - $111,765 10 W.E. - $44,720 It's a little disappointing that TDKR didn't have a huge jump on the weekend. It does, however, secure #5 OW all-time. TDKR will make 4.8m in 7 days. Christopher Nolan's Batman Trilogy Comparison Chart Batman Begins The Dark Knight The Dark Knight Rises Opening weekend $1,086,273 $2,107,626 $3,320,908 2nd weekend $486,478 $1,450,364 3rd weekend $122,464 $678,412 4th weekend $70,025 $372,897 Total $1,798,348 $7,549,781 $3,320,908 TDKR's OW is 58% better than TDK's. Interesting to see that 90% of 3D admissions for Ice Age 4 are for the Cantonese version while English admissions represents only 10%. That is well down from Shrek 4 and Toy Story 3, which saw English admissions comprise 20% and 25% of their respective 3D admissions. Add in the non-3D Cantonese admissions and 3D English admissions fall to just 8%. Could this be a precursor for the rest of the summer's animated movies?

More than 50%.