[Weekdays Thread: Barbie $9.1M MON | $9.6M TUES]

38% jump over the previous non-holiday 3rd Monday record (TGM/JW). Astronomical. 

[Weekdays Thread: Barbie $9.1M MON | $9.6M TUES]

Not even exaggerating when I say that's the most impressive non-OW number I've ever seen in nearly 20 years of following the box office. And the rest of the week might top it. 

[Weekday numbers 7-31 to 8-3]

19 minutes ago, BoxOfficeZ said:

If that 15 million number holds up for Barbie it would be the 11th largest second Monday ever. If you left out the Christmas holidays' second Mondays it would be behind Shrek 2 and TPM (though those had Memorial?) for number 3.

 

TGM did 12.4 million for second Monday.

They had Memorial Day. Barbie has the highest non-holiday 2nd Monday of all time (unadjusted). 

[C’MON BARBIE LET'S GO PARTY...AT LOS ALAMOS | BARBENHEIMER WEEKEND THREAD | We’re Thriving in our Plastic Fantastic Era | Mother Mothered with 162M | Daddy Exploded with 82.4M]

$20M previews with Dolby as the only PLF is blowing my mind. As far as OWs go, hands down the most impressive of the decade so far, it's a phenomenon. 

[July 5 & 6 Numbers Thread]

6

(5)

Transformers: Rise of the…

Paramount Pi…

$991,154

-39%

-29%

2,852

$348

$140,805,321

27

 

[Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves | March 31, 2023 | Paramount | Amazon Prime advance screenings March 19 @ 2 PM]

Movie looks fun and I'm actually impressed that the CGI doesn't look rushed. 

[M3GAN W33K3ND THR3AD | ACTUALS - DADDY CAM3RON'S MAGNUM OPUS 45.8M | DOCUM3NTARY ABOUT KILL3R DOLL 30.4M | ORANG3 PANTH3R 13.5M]

15 minutes ago, setna said:

Movies that grossed an amount of money in is farthest day since its release :  (only wide releases, MBFGW has the records for 3, 2 and 1 million)

100 M               Endgame                  Day 2
50 M                 Endgame                  Day 9
40 M                 Endgame                  Day 10

30 M                 TFA                           Day 16

20 M                 Avatar                       Day  23
15 M                 Avatar                       Day  37
10 M                 Titanic                       Day  58
5 M                   Titanic                       Day  107
3 M                   Titanic                       Day  121
2 M                   Titanic                       Day  135
1 M                    E.T.                           Day  212

For comparison

A2:

50 M                 Day 1
40 M                 Day 2

30 M                 Day 11

20 M                 Day  23 (pending)
 

TGM:

50 M                 Day 1
40 M                 Day 1

30 M                 Day 9

20 M                 Day  16

15 M                 Day 24
10 M                 Day 30
5 M                   Day  44
3 M                  Day  65
2 M                  Day  101
1 M                   Day  114

 

This type of record probably benefits non-summer movies more, but on the other hand this was Father's Day weekend for TGM and it only got to 17.7M on its best day vs 20 for A2 on a non-holiday weekend with nearly 50M more demand burnt off already. 

[Weekdays (03-05 Jan, 2023) Thread. | Talk about the New York Giants in here!]

Yeah the exact number doesn't really matter at this point, it's a few hundred k above the non-holiday 3rd Wed. record regardless (which previously belonged to Avatar) and after an inflated Tue. Not concerned about legs shortening until we see Saturday's number. 

[Weekdays (03-05 Jan, 2023) Thread. | Talk about the New York Giants in here!]

A2's 1st week = $193M less than TFA's 1st week

A2's 3rd week = ~$5M less than TFA's 3rd week

 

 

[Weekdays (03-05 Jan, 2023) Thread. | Talk about the New York Giants in here!]

A true non-holiday record yesterday. 

 

3 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:

$1m more than top gun maverick

And January weekdays aren't nearly as busy as mid-June. 

[Weekdays (03-05 Jan, 2023) Thread. | Talk about the New York Giants in here!]

 

1 hour ago, cubsfan said:

Beats I2 if it holds.

And that was a summer holiday. 10.5 is truly out of this world. 

[New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!]

Nearly a 30% jump from the previous biggest non-holiday 3rd Tuesday, we're truly in uncharted territory here (well, uncharted since the last Avatar). $50M 4th weekend is definitely in play but I'm thinking 45-47 right now to be on the safe side.

 

[New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!]

5 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

But you have to wonder if the 3D share is very notable at all with A2? I’m one of the only people I know for example who wanted to see it in the “dreaded” 3D. Whereas 3D was the cool new thing w the first film and I believe lots of people at the time were guesstimating the movie made more like $600m at the time if you took out all of the 3D inflation. I can’t imagine 3D would account for more than $50m absolute max of inflation w A2s total. 

That sounds right. Slightly above TDK with everything broken out by format IIRC. But that was back when that data was easier to find and only 3 real formats to track. 

[New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!]

17 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

I wouldn’t be surprised if that number went up for total DOM too. Big part of A1s WOM was “you gotta check out this new kind of 3D.”  Again, A2 doesn’t have that sort of thing going for it. 

Which really makes me think it will be approaching A1s DOM admissions if it does creep near  that $750 first run gross of A1. 

I think the increase in PLF offsets the decrease in normal 3D so it probably needs more than that to match. 

[New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!]

Have a weird feeling that it's just going to copy TFA's raw numbers from here on out and end up 10th all time, maybe slightly worse drops on weekdays and slightly stronger holds on weekends due to the run time but it will even out. If it comes in at or above TGM's 4th weekend then it will be a different story. 

[New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!]

Just now, stuart360 said:

Is there even any point comparing A2 to R1 anymore when A2 is probably going to gross in the 100-200mil more range?

Yeah I don't see it being useful after Monday once the calendar configuration is over. The only appropriate comparisons are A1/TFA/NWH after that.

[New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!]

Right now I'm thinking 

 

$600M - Floor

600-620 - 10%

625-645 - 25% 

650-670 - 40%

675-695 - 15%

700-715 - 7.5%

720+ - 2.5%

[New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!]

3 minutes ago, Elessar said:

 

It already did on Friday.

 

3rd weekend will probably go to Avatar 1 and the difference will only grow in the coming weeks.

You mean when A1 had New Year's Day? 

[New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!]

Highest non-NYD 3rd Friday was TLJ with $19M. This is a whopping 28% jump from that. Starting to think the DOM total might start with a 7... 

 

[New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!]

1 minute ago, IronJimbo said:

 

If we look at which is more likely to happen first, the 3rd weekend $90m or the 1st weekend $357m. I think you have to go with the $90m.

 

Avatar 2 is about to make around $65m on a weekend with New Years Eve on the Sat and New Years on the Sunday. I would say it's lost around $5-7m due to that. So it's true weekend would have been around $70m.

So in my view the fact Avatar 3 exists and is being re-released in 2024 december, and will have a clear 3rd weekend with no new years eve, I think Avatar 3 has a really good shot at doing that $90m 3rd weekend.

And on the otherhand, what has a shot at the $357m? Is it even possible right now.

Avatar 4 is scheduled to have the golden calendar configuration if it releases on time in 2026.

[New Years Weekend Thread || Dec. 30-Jan. 1 || ATWOW $67.4M 3rd WE - $88.8M 4-Day WE — Orange Panther $22.6M 4-Day!]

Potentially increasing in its 3rd weekend after burning off $360M in demand is quite the feat. On the very outside chance that it beats Avatar's 3rd weekend, that might mean 8 straight days of 20M+ (potentially 9 with Monday). I think only TFA and Endgame have done that. 

[Christmas-New Year Weekdays Thread || Avatar $20.1M THU - Top 10 DOM or Bust!]

2 minutes ago, Tokugennumataka said:

It's not out of the realms of the possibility that it gets the all time 3rd WE record. That's insane.

I don't see it happening. $70M is already +10% from last weekend and that's asking a lot as it is. 

[Christmas-New Year Weekdays Thread || Avatar $20.1M THU - Top 10 DOM or Bust!]

Looking pretty nice, very excited to see what this weekend brings. 

[Christmas-New Year Weekdays Thread || Avatar $20.1M THU - Top 10 DOM or Bust!]

Taking the highest and lowest daily DOM changes out of the equation, Way of Water is remarkably stable so far even compared to the original Avatar. 

[Christmas-New Year Weekdays Thread || Avatar $20.1M THU - Top 10 DOM or Bust!]

So to summarize, at the time that A2 was greenlit, it needed to match something like DH2 around 1.3B to break even, so 1.5B sounds about right for today's market. Looking pretty likely like JC will have 3 movies in the top 7 all time WW so I don't know what the trades are on about.