Flip Posted December 5, 2023 Share Posted December 5, 2023 6 hours ago, Issac Newton said: Wonka (T-2) - ¥496.800 (+¥371.000) at 12,960 Shows (+7,146 Shows) ¥9.034M OD Forecast by @Maoyan. TBOSS - ¥8.566M For COMPs ¥794.700 (+¥289.100) at 08,570 Shows (+02,489 Shows) | Napoleon ¥354.000 (+¥266.800) at 17,032 Shows (+10,743 Shows) | TBOSS 5m OW would be nice Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xiaoshu Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 Crazy presale for Shining For One Thing (12.30), 105M alr and still 23 days to go. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 (edited) Yeah, ¥100M PS in less than 33 hours, 3rd Highest behind "Avenger: Endgame" &"Detective Chinatown 3" (Phase 1 2020) though their PS Window opened much much later, but I am afraid of the genre, also because analysts are predicting with ¥500M OD &¥2000M Final Edited December 6, 2023 by Issac Newton Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xiaoshu Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 Just now, Issac Newton said: Yeah, ¥100M PS in less than 33 hours, 3rd Highest behind "Avenger: Endgame" &"Detective Chinatown 3" (Phase 1 2020) though their PS Window opened much much later, but I am afraid of the genre, also because analysts are predicting with ¥500M OD &¥2000M Final 500M OD? Insane number for a romance film. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Giorno Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 Only 4x OD is ridiculously frontloaded Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 Indeed, Its just like "Hidden Blade" &"Born To Fly" leading Holiday PS and then losing to runner-up because extremely poor PSM. Though, it must be noted that "Shining For One Thing" is based on the drama of same name that went viral in Chinese TikTok on 2022! Also, other thing is that PS is driven by Snow Activity on 1,314 Theatres at 13:14 CST on the day of release. Lets see how it goes but extremely optimistic about the title performance. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 15 minutes ago, Xiaoshu said: 500M OD? Insane number for a romance film. ¥500M OD is good but I am expecting something like ¥3500M+ Final or else kinda look unsatisfying when compare to "Avengers: Endgame" or "Detective Chinatown 3". Well, in romance genre, ¥2000M will make it the Highest Grossing Romance Film, breaking 2017 record of "The Ex-File: The Return Of The Exes" (¥1941M) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xiaoshu Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 Just now, Giorno said: Only 4x OD is ridiculously frontloaded It's a film version of last year's popular drama. Drama fans will rush to watch it. Frontload is expected. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 Quote Shining For One Thing (T-24) - ¥46.691.300 (+¥45.237.500) at 39,706 Shows (+38,495 Shows) Total PS - ¥74.377.400 - Broke 1st Day PS record of "Detective Chinatown 3" (¥68M) Spoiler Detective Chinatown 3 (T-14) ¥59.552.500 (+¥59.017.700) at 80,456 Shows (+65,738 Shows) Total PS - ¥67.948.600 Shining For One Thing (T-23) - ¥89.382.100 (+¥42.690.700) at 59,848 Shows (+20,142 Shows) Total PS - ¥144.623.700 - There isn't any helpful COMPs just very high! - Unlike others, PS didn't catch a dipped &being steady. - All Shows allotted on 13:14 CST OD has been sold out. - OD Pre-sales is currently ahead of "Detective Chinatown 3" (¥85M) in 2-Days into PS opening. Spoiler Detective Chinatown 3 (T-13) ¥85.074.600 (+¥25.522.000) at 89,253 Shows (+8,797 Shows) Total PS - ¥98.695.200 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 Quote Detective Conan: Black Iron Submarine (T-10) ¥274.400 at 7,408 Shows START // 8,677 tix sold Currently, out of COMPs but for references - "Conan 2022" had T-8 START at ¥121.6K (1,043 Shows) while "Conan 2021" had T-9 START at ¥272K (3,526 Shows) Detective Conan: Black Iron Submarine (T-9) - ¥1.255.300 (+¥980.900) at 14,324 Shows (+6,916 Shows) COMPs from tomorrow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 Quote Migration (T-2) - ¥61.400 (+¥21.700) at 4,163 Shows (+1,451 Shows) // 1,148 tix sold ¥1.533M OD Forecast by @Maoyan. TMNT - ¥1.738M For COMPs ¥86.600 (+¥40.100) at 3,373 Shows (+1,292 Shows) | TMNT 2023 Migration (T-1) - ¥92.900 (+¥31.500) at 10,979 Shows (+6,366 Shows) // 2,732 tix sold ¥1.051M OD Forecast by @Maoyan. TMNT - ¥1.738M For COMPs ¥170.600 (+¥83.900) at 7,536 Shows (+4,163 Shows) | TMNT 2023 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted December 6, 2023 Share Posted December 6, 2023 Quote Wonka (T-2) - ¥496.800 (+¥371.000) at 12,960 Shows (+7,146 Shows) ¥9.034M OD Forecast by @Maoyan. TBOSS - ¥8.566M For COMPs ¥794.700 (+¥289.100) at 08,570 Shows (+02,489 Shows) | Napoleon ¥354.000 (+¥266.800) at 17,032 Shows (+10,743 Shows) | TBOSS Wonka (T-1) - ¥1.004.400 (+¥507.500) at 30,196 Shows (+17,236 Shows) ¥8.062M OD Forecast by @Maoyan. TBOSS - ¥8.566M For COMPs ¥1.182.600 (+¥387.900) at 19,586 Shows (+11,016 Shows) | Napoleon ¥0.744.400 (+¥390.400) at 35,970 Shows (+18,938 Shows) | TBOSS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted December 7, 2023 Share Posted December 7, 2023 (edited) Shining For One Thing PS has slowed down now considerably. Adjacent Shows around 13:14 CST are getting cancelled. So, perhaps it's now dependent on more GA bookings then drama fans. Yesterday breakdown as of 22:00 CST for OD TIme Slot Shows Admits PSA Gross 13:14 15,160 1,253,849 82.71 ¥59,303,000 15:20 6,546 123,975 18.94 ¥5,257,000 17:20 6,296 118,296 18.79 ¥4,916,000 19:20 5,087 81,011 15.93 ¥3,376,000 21:20 2,945 21,637 7.35 ¥903,000 New Year Eve - - - - Prime Time 11,585 164,149 14.17 ¥6,739,000 ROS 19,617 174,886 8.92 ¥7,230,000 Full Day 59,204 1,835,155 31.00 ¥83,445,000 Edited December 7, 2023 by Issac Newton Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted December 7, 2023 Share Posted December 7, 2023 Wonka (T-0) - ¥2.182.600 (+¥1.178.100) at 43,266 Shows (+13,070 Shows) ¥7.435M OD Forecast by @Maoyan. TBOSS - ¥8.566M ¥24.303M Final Forecast For COMPs ¥2.078.900 (+¥896.300) at 27,606 Shows (+08,020 Shows) | Napoleon ¥1.611.600 (+¥867.100) at 54,923 Shows (+18,953 Shows) | Hunger Games: TBOSS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted December 7, 2023 Share Posted December 7, 2023 Migration (T-0) - ¥225.200 (+¥132.200) at 15,210 Shows (+4,231 Shows) // 6,541 tix sold ¥1.358M OD Forecast by @Maoyan. TMNT - ¥1.738M ¥8.602M Final Forecast For COMPs ¥529.100 (+¥358.500) at 12,284 Shows (+4,748 Shows) | TMNT 2023 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted December 7, 2023 Share Posted December 7, 2023 2023 Hollywood Films OD Pre-sales R. Title Pre-sales Shows FD Addition FD% PSM OD 1. Meg 2: The Trench ¥46,038,900 142,462 ¥17,179,700 244.43% 3.17 ¥145,920,900 2. Fast X ¥27,716,800 168,748 ¥13,190,900 158.16% 3.75 ¥104,017,100 3. Transformer: Rise Of Beast ¥19,782,900 162,406 ¥9,495,200 167.76% 3.83 ¥75,713,100 4. Oppenheimer ¥17,012,900 67,710 ¥7,980,500 172.13% 2.10 ¥35,783,700 5. Mission: Impossible 7 ¥14,875,800 94,942 ¥6,976,700 136.56% 3.42 ¥50,911,700 6. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 ¥12,725,700 101,241 ¥7,182,500 229.68% 3.27 ¥41,593,300 7. The Super Mario Bros. Movie ¥12,010,000 61,509 ¥7,729,800 304.91% 2.70 ¥32,397,400 8. Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania ¥10,742,500 106,483 ¥5,508,300 187.26% 3.69 ¥39,618,900 9. Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse ¥10,705,500 94,262 ¥5,273,000 274.69% 2.57 ¥27,523,000 10. The Flash ¥7,058,500 123,879 ¥3,587,100 152.52% 3.87 ¥27,290,500 11. The Marvels ¥6,902,400 126,032 ¥3,121,900 134.76% 3.95 ¥27,303,500 12. Black Panther: Wakanda Forever ¥6,616,500 62,710 ¥3,996,500 262.00% 3.03 ¥20,031,000 13. The Expendables 4 ¥5,213,200 118,429 ¥2,152,400 194.53% 4.75 ¥24,773,600 14. Barbie ¥3,802,500 7,426 ¥2,570,100 144.17% 2.20 ¥8,375,300 15. PAW Patrol: The Mighty Movie ¥3,754,700 20,993 ¥2,542,600 253.04% 2.98 ¥11,199,300 16. Dungeons & Dragons: HAT ¥2,867,400 60,170 ¥1,178,600 144.37% 3.21 ¥9,200,300 17. Wonka ¥2,182,600 43,266 ¥1,178,100 132.14% - - 18. Napoleon ¥2,078,900 27,606 ¥896,300 131.06% 3.19 ¥6,632,100 19. Shazam! Fury of the Gods ¥1,771,300 106,916 ¥792,400 154.71% 5.16 ¥9,143,900 20. Elemental ¥1,739,500 44,693 ¥1,158,300 271.49% 4.06 ¥7,065,700 21. The Hunger Games: The Ballad of SS ¥1,611,600 54,923 ¥867,100 122.11% 5.31 ¥8.566,900 22. Wish ¥1,608,100 44,234 ¥795,000 135.70% 3.61 ¥5,809,700 23. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny ¥1,247,600 25,719 ¥796,800 268.38% 4.62 ¥5,768,300 24. A Haunting in Venice ¥971,000 27,020 ¥605,200 265.68% 4.17 ¥4,053,000 25. The Little Mermaid ¥958,400 32,186 ¥610,000 260.73% 3.82 ¥3,663,000 26. Gran Turismo: Based on True Story ¥883,700 28,564 ¥235,600 133.27% 4.17 ¥2,411,000 27. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: 2023 ¥529,100 12,284 ¥358,500 327.29% 3.28 ¥1,737,900 28. M3GAN ¥491,300 39,160 ¥315,100 190.41% 6.03 ¥2,964,200 29. Migration ¥225,200 15,210 ¥132,200 319.68% - - 30. 65 Movie ¥206,600 8,575 ¥94,000 197.47% 5.16 ¥1,066,700 31. A Man Called Otto ¥77,600 5,277 ¥41,300 148.80% 3.27 ¥253,500 32. Jane ¥70,000 2,578 ¥27,800 826.67% 2.94 ¥205,900 33, Retribution ¥37,200 1,687 ¥26,000 362.72% 4.15 ¥154,500 34, Beast ¥17,600 7,003 ¥11,000 151.95% 8.77 ¥154,300 35, The Woman King ¥8,700 8,935 ¥7,200 630.22% 3.03 ¥26,400 36. Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom - - - - - - 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted December 7, 2023 Share Posted December 7, 2023 Detective Conan: Black Iron Submarine (T-8) - ¥2.141.800 (+¥886.500) at 18,805 Shows (+4,481 Shows) Suzume was at 11M T-9 &SD was 5M. Using Conan COMPs for now For COMPs ¥1.081.300 (+¥809.200) at 14,418 Shows (+10,892 Shows) | Conan 2021 ¥0.121.600 (+¥000.000) at 01,043 Shows (+00,000 Shows) | Conan 2022 ~ START Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted December 7, 2023 Share Posted December 7, 2023 Shining For One Thing (T-22) - ¥102.540.300 (+¥13.158.100) at 67,160 Shows (+7,312 Shows) Total PS - ¥172.227.900 Spoiler Detective Chinatown 3 (T-12) - ¥107.981.500 (+¥22.906.800) at 94,388 Shows (+5,135 Shows) Total PS - ¥127.201.700 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted December 8, 2023 Share Posted December 8, 2023 Dogman (T-6) ¥1,696 at 407 Shows START // 46 tix sold I am not sure what COMPs to use - Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted December 8, 2023 Share Posted December 8, 2023 Detective Conan: Black Iron Submarine (T-7) - ¥3.035.800 (+¥893.900) at 22,019 Shows (+3,214 Shows) For COMPs ¥2.156.000 (+¥1.074.700) at 21,584 Shows (+7,166 Shows) | Conan 2021 ¥0.653.100 (+¥0.531.500) at 09,154 Shows (+8,111 Shows) | Conan 2022 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...