Mexico Box Office | Apes repeat on top; good $3.2M OW for IF; no bright future for Tarot

[Purple Minion]

More totals: Elemental $20.8M, Meg 2 $20.1M, Oppy $18.8M, Barbie $54.0M.

 

 

Edited August 27, 2023 by Purple Minion

[Carlangonz]

Seeing Elemental and Oppenheimer going above a 4x multi is beautiful.

 

Oppenheimer is probably my favourite story for a B-15 rated title since Parasite. A movie that apparently hadn't enough mojo to catch a lengthy run but came through and pulled extraordinary legs.

[Carlangonz]

AUGUST 24-27 WEEKEND.

 

1. Gran Turismo - $37.1M

2. Blue Beetle - $20.8M / $82.9M (-53.78%)

3. Meg 2: The Trench - $17.1M / $338.1M (-48.19%)

4. Talk to Me - $15.6M / $86M (-23.15%)

5. Strays - $14.6M 

6. TMNT: Mutant Mayhem - $11.5M / $104M (-45.5%)

7. Oppenheimer - $7.4M / $317.4M (-44.78%)

8.  Cobweb - $6.8M 

9. Barbie - $6M / $908.6M (-56.53%)

10. Demeter - $4.8M / $21.3M (-59.33%)

 

Indeed meh opening for Gran Turismo; we'll see how it legs but is coming after kids return to school and a period where the market is dead.

Blue Beetle had an average drop for a SH title. It's looking like $120M in the end which would be the worst result for a Marvel/DC title since 2007 and 2012's Ghost Rider films and 2004's Catwoman.

 

Meg 2 has now surpassed both Quantumania and Flash in the 2023 ranking. Shall pass Transformers and Elemental by next weekend and finally The Little Mermaid by the time The Nun 2 opens.

Talk to Me is astonishing! It'll become the first horror film non-backed by a major studio to surpass $100M since Scary Stories to tell in the Dark. Before that I think the closest is 2012's The Woman in Black which wasn't backed by major studios in US but was distributed by Videocine which is the largest local distributor.

TMNT is still looking like a $120M-$130M grosser in the end. The thing with kids being back at school is that first weeks are always rough because families have to put up too much time and resources to get everything right so by the time things are ok these titles are pretty much out of theatres.

May be the last time we see Oppy and Barbie at the Top 10. Oppy leaves as Chris Nolan's second biggest title in lc and third in admissions. Barbie on the other hand delivered Warner's biggest number ever in lc and third in admissions as well.

[Purple Minion]

According to CANACINE, Gran Turismo sold 577.3K tickets but I think that includes Monday. Barbie reached 12.8M tickets; Meg 2 5.2M, Oppy 4M and Talk To Me 1.2M.

[Carlangonz]

32 minutes ago, Purple Minion said:

According to CANACINE, Gran Turismo sold 577.3K tickets but I think that includes Monday. Barbie reached 12.8M tickets; Meg 2 5.2M, Oppy 4M and Talk To Me 1.2M.

Yeah because there were no advanced or Wed previews for it

[Purple Minion]

With Gran Turismo underperforming, it's up to the two new openers to lift the box office. Is Oppy retaking any of the premium theatres?

 

Sounds of Freedom should be on top. Absolutely no idea how it will fare. Guess there is awareness about it because of Eduardo Verástegui which could result in a decent OW, but the "pay-it-forward" factor may not work here.

 

The other big opener is Liam Neeson's Retribution.  I have no data on his pandemic entries, but this is how similar movies did in the past... reviews have not been stellar so doubt it can reach 1M tickets.

 

Movie	OW LC	OW Aud	Total LC	Total Aud
Taken 3	$49,853,041	956,147	$149,436,609	3,095,290
The Commuter	$34,123,704	585,756	$98,295,003	1,855,802
Taken 2	$32,699,172	673,571	$117,953,933	2,643,984
Cold Pursuit	$27,097,627	441,732	$77,113,000	1,395,942
Taken	$10,693,282	233,745	$57,032,661	1,338,155

 

Hopefully the lethargic audience will awake to The Nun 2 next week.

[Carlangonz]

On 8/31/2023 at 5:17 AM, Purple Minion said:

Is Oppy retaking any of the premium theatres?

Sadly no. Maybe Sound of Freedom wins the weekend. 

 

The story this weekend is going to be how Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour fares with presale starting just in a few minutes. It's a 7-Day event at Cinépolis and probably won't reach the heights of the BTS' latest two concerts but it'll be interesting after her past shows in Mexico City.

[Carlangonz]

16 hours ago, Carlangonz said:

The story this weekend is going to be how Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour fares with presale starting just in a few minutes.

Launching towards $50M+ opening. 1st tier cities are pretty much done for the weekend taking over PLFs and largest auditoriums.

 

Strong ATP with tickets at $198.90 for regular screenings and $349.00 for VIP shows. 

[Carlangonz]

On 9/1/2023 at 6:37 AM, Carlangonz said:

Maybe Sound of Freedom wins the weekend. 

Biggest opening since Barbenheimer weekend with $50M/$3M

Edited September 2, 2023 by Carlangonz

[Purple Minion]

Updated total for Barbie as per Warner: $54.1M.

[Purple Minion]

Some totals popping up: Blue Beetle $5.8M, #1 OS market; Barbie $54 2M.

[Purple Minion]

No info yet on Sound of Freedom OW; Meg 2 up to $20.7M, 350M lc, still behind TLM.

[Carlangonz]

AUGUST 31 - SEPTEMBER 3 WEEKEND.

 

1. Sound of Freedom - $59.5M

2. Gran Turismo - $27.6M/$77.2M (-25.61%)

3. Retribution - $18.2M 

4. Talk to Me - $11.4M/$102.8M (-26.93%)

5. Blue Beetle - $10.1M/$98.1M (-51.45%)

6. Meg 2: The Trench - $8.7M/$351M (-49.13%)

7. Strays - $8.2M/$28.3M (-43.84%)

8. TMNT: Mutant Mayhem - $7M/$113.3M (-39.14%)

9. Viaje Todo Robado - $6.5M

10. Oppenheimer - $3.9M/$323.4M (-47.3%)

As expected, Sound of Freedom took No. 1 and delivered the largest opening since Barbenheimer over a month ago. Like in the DOM market, pay it forward played an important part as well but is unknown how much of total sales were repped by this.

Great holds across the board although Blue Beetle sadly won't pick up and still struggles to reach $100M which will pass until Tuesday. On the other hand Talk to Me remains a standout delivering the best hold among the Top 10 and actually crossing $100M having made 3x its opening weekend; tremendous success. 

[Purple Minion]

Compared to other markets, $3.5M is a decent opening for Sound. Second week will be interesting.

 

Really good hold for Gran Turismo, could end up higher than Blue Beetle 😁

[Purple Minion]

With 2.1M tickets, Aug 24-27 (Grand Turismo OW) was the least attended weekend since Feb 9-12, when The Whale was on top (1.7M).

Biggest one is still Apr 6-9 thanks to Super Mario, 7.9M tickets. July 20-23 is second, with Barbie and 7.4M tickets.

[Carlangonz]

2 hours ago, Purple Minion said:

Biggest one is still Apr 6-9 thanks to Super Mario, 7.9M tickets. July 20-23 is second, with Barbie and 7.4M tickets.

Easter, Children's Day - Labor Day and Christmas remain the best dates for releases. 

The Nun II is so-so in presales but like Insidious 5 I'm expecting to blow up on final hours. Shall be the biggest opening since Barbie with $170M+ opening weekend including previews. 

The Eras Tour behaving somewhat front-loaded for regular shows as expected. VIP shows are being added to met demand tho. Thinking $70M+ could happen considering there's over a month of sales yet. Hard to comp with anything; BTS live show in Las Vegas was a single-day event and Seoul's concert was a 5-Day. Nevertheless this is way higher than anything else for these type of events.

[Carlangonz]

10 hours ago, Carlangonz said:

Thinking $70M+ could happen

It's happening as per Cinépolis. Now we shall see its way towards $100M+

[Issac Newton]

Con los primeros días de preventa, el filme ha vendido el equivalente a 4.5 sold outs en el Foro Sol (que tiene capacidad de 65,000 asistentes).

The Eras Tour, el espectacular concierto de Taylor Swift, sigue rompiendo récords; ahora, gracias al furor de su preventa exclusiva en México con Cinépolis +QUE CINE, de The Eras Tour Concert Film. Con los primeros días de preventa, el filme ha vendido el equivalente a 4.5 sold outs en el Foro Sol (que tiene capacidad de 65,000 asistentes); proyectando la asistencia de una mayor cantidad de swifties a las salas de cine que las que acudieron a sus fechas en vivo en la CDMX. 

El primer día de preventa en México, según cifras de Cinépolis +QUE CINE, The Eras Tour: Concert Film alcanzó un mayor número de asistentes e ingresos que el primer día de preventa de Avengers: Infinity War (2018). Y, en tan sólo tres días del inicio de preventa, superó más de la mitad de los ingresos totales, y está cerca de alcanzar los resultados, de BTS: Yet To Come y BTS: Permission to Dance on Stage.  

 

CC @Carlangonz @Purple Minion

[XXR vs XXR]

Huh, I’m surprised Infinity War had that record over Endgame, TS4 or Mario.

[Purple Minion]

The Conjuring Universe is one of the highest grossing horror franchises in this market... look at these figures, over 2.3B lc, plus each has sold more than 5 million tickets!

 

The Nun 2 should pass all 3 Annabelles and Conjurings in lc, with a slight chance to reach the first Nun.

 

Movie	OW lc	OW aud	Total lc	Total aud
The Nun	$     201,885,129	3,632,731	$     425,825,155	8,421,309
Conjuring 2	$     140,100,087	2,754,609	$     380,643,662	8,194,719
Conjuring 3	$     119,262,631	1,748,659	$     339,189,129	5,315,873
Annabelle 2	$     111,957,459	2,137,433	$     332,060,126	7,113,593
Annabelle 3	$     106,603,117	1,792,209	$     315,411,531	5,845,404
Annabelle	$     103,541,396	2,243,582	$     259,985,391	6,026,024
Conjuring	$       56,345,367	1,191,703	$     249,570,277	6,144,281