Carlangonz Posted June 5, 2023 Share Posted June 5, 2023 Everything remains going strong: Mermaid aims to finish in the higher range of last week's forecast with o/u $370M. Same with Fast X with o/u $700M and Guardians within the initial floor of $650M. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted June 5, 2023 Share Posted June 5, 2023 (edited) On 5/31/2023 at 6:21 PM, Carlangonz said: TRANSFORMERS: THE RISE OF BEASTS PREVIEWS - T-7 DAYS 857/5407 (15.85% occupancy) x0.15 of Guardians of the Galaxy 3 (T-6 Hours) x0.21 of Fast X (T-7 Days) TRANSFORMERS: RISE OF THE BEASTS PREVIEWS - T-2 DAYS 1,293/5,407 (+50.88% from T-7 - 23.91% occupancy) x0.22 of Guardians of the Galaxy (T-6 Hours) - $5.24M x0.19 of Fast X (T-2 Days) - $7.36M Considering this should have better walk-ups then figure should be a bit higher than both comps. With no premium formats and largest screens it should have a better internal multi as well going over $100M+ opening weekend. Edited June 5, 2023 by Carlangonz 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted June 5, 2023 Share Posted June 5, 2023 (edited) On 6/1/2023 at 1:42 PM, Carlangonz said: THE FLASH PREVIEWS - FIRST 12 HOURS OF SALES (T-13 DAYS) 634/10,065 x0.77 of Fast X Previews - First 12 hours of sales (T-13 Days) THE FLASH PREVIEWS - T-9 DAYS 1,612/11,682 - 13.8% occupancy x0.27 of Guardians of the Galaxy 3 (T-6 Hours) - $6.54M x0.53 of Fast X (T-9 Days) - $19.6M We should be looking at this performing closer to Guardians rather than Fast X. Reception is going to make or break on this one. Edited June 6, 2023 by Carlangonz 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted June 5, 2023 Share Posted June 5, 2023 There's nothing opening sales this week. Pixar is going all blind on Elemental which I don't think would've done good anyways. We'll see what they do with Indy and if Universal is confident enough to launch tickets for Ruby Gillman. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted June 6, 2023 Author Share Posted June 6, 2023 13 hours ago, Carlangonz said: There's nothing opening sales this week. Pixar is going all blind on Elemental which I don't think would've done good anyways. We'll see what they do with Indy and if Universal is confident enough to launch tickets for Ruby Gillman. Can't believe this is the same Pixar that made Inside Out gross over 400M lc. Sad times for the former animation powerhouse. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted June 6, 2023 Author Share Posted June 6, 2023 All Time Movies, lc 28 625,965,616 Despicable Me 3 (2017) 29 622,200,000 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3 (2023) 30 618,218,437 Ice Age: Continental Drift (2012) --- 36 596,734,707 Maleficent (2014) 37 591,800,000 Fast X (2023) 38 591,366,759 Iron Man 3 (2013) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted June 6, 2023 Share Posted June 6, 2023 5 hours ago, Purple Minion said: Can't believe this is the same Pixar that made Inside Out gross over 400M lc. Sad times for the former animation powerhouse. Tbh I don't know how could it turn out in the end. This and Ruby Gillman are the biggest mysteries of the summer for me because we're this close to release and given how unpredictable original animation has been since pandemic they both could go either way. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted June 7, 2023 Author Share Posted June 7, 2023 (edited) Transformers Universe Dark of the Moon had the biggest opening, Age of Extinction is on top of total figures, and Bumblebee got the better legs. Could Rise of the Beasts reach the level of the first movie? Movie OW lc OW aud Total lc Total aud Transformers 4 $ 107,809,982 1,941,349 $ 435,599,543 8,578,896 Transformers 3 $ 120,023,611 2,098,411 $ 359,431,756 6,692,416 Transformers 5 $ 99,583,747 1,885,315 $ 271,664,217 5,743,170 Transformers 2 $ 69,588,433 1,556,798 $ 247,609,242 5,936,603 Bumblebee $ 53,813,989 932,789 $ 227,049,677 4,558,642 Transformers $ 59,093,958 1,425,928 $ 195,923,690 5,219,624 Edited June 7, 2023 by Purple Minion 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted June 7, 2023 Share Posted June 7, 2023 (edited) On 6/5/2023 at 3:15 PM, Carlangonz said: THE FLASH PREVIEWS - T-9 DAYS 1,612/11,682 - 13.8% occupancy x0.27 of Guardians of the Galaxy 3 (T-6 Hours) - $6.54M x0.53 of Fast X (T-9 Days) - $19.6M We should be looking at this performing closer to Guardians rather than Fast X. Reception is going to make or break on this one. THE FLASH PREVIEWS - T-7 DAYS Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Occupancy Growth from T-9 The Flash 74 1924 12276 15.67% 19.35% +3 shows/+594 seats across 2 locations. From all locations: Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Occupancy Growth from T-9 % of comp Comp in lc Fast X (T-7) 96 3970 17153 23.14% 30.38% 48.46% $17.93M From two locations only: Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Occupancy Growth from T-9 % of comp Comp in lc Guardians of the Galaxy 3 (T-7) 17 1259 3314 37.99% n/a 61% $14.46M The Flash (T-7) 19 768 2854 26.91% 15.14% If we compare Flash's T-7 with Guardians' final on day of release then its running at 32.92% of the total and $7.8M in the comp. This isn't actually looking good for it with either comp especially because it doesn't have IMAX, 4DX, 3D and with a couple exceptions is missing PLFs as well. May be Spiderverse effect hurting it more than expected and it'll take for it to have jumps until the final week. Let's see how it goes; especially compared to Guardians; it'll end up being really close in allocation and shows but even if matches it reception then previews would end up around $21.5M and pending reception opening weekend would be somewhere between Spiderverse and Guardians 3. Edited June 7, 2023 by Carlangonz 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted June 7, 2023 Share Posted June 7, 2023 On 6/5/2023 at 3:10 PM, Carlangonz said: TRANSFORMERS: RISE OF THE BEASTS PREVIEWS - T-2 DAYS 1,293/5,407 (+50.88% from T-7 - 23.91% occupancy) x0.22 of Guardians of the Galaxy (T-6 Hours) - $5.24M x0.19 of Fast X (T-2 Days) - $7.36M TRANSFORMERS: RISE OF THE BEASTS PREVIEWS (T-6 HOURS) Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Occupancy Growth from T-2 Transformers: Rise of the Beasts 38 2160 5407 39.65% 67.05% No change so far in total shows/seats. Comps at the same point before previews (T-6 Hours) Title Number of shows Sold Total Available Occupancy Growth from T-2 % of comp Comp in lc Fast X 96 10139 16907 59.97% 59.97% 21.3% $8.76M Guardians of the Galaxy 3 63 5845 12534 46.63% n/a 36.95% $7.88M Great pace at the end; it grew quite well from both comps. Unfourtunately like The Flash this is getting a deflated ATP due to lack of premium formats and is unclear how walk-ups may be due to lack of shows between 8:00PM-10:00PM slots. I'm thinking previews may be around what comps suggest and then 4-Day opening between $100M-$120M lc - $5.7M-$6.9M USD 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Claudio Posted June 7, 2023 Share Posted June 7, 2023 So Transformers and the Flash both lack of PLFs for their OW. Any idea what movie will be getting all the PLF during their OW? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted June 7, 2023 Share Posted June 7, 2023 (edited) 7 minutes ago, Claudio said: So Transformers and the Flash both lack of PLFs for their OW. Any idea what movie will be getting all the PLF during their OW? Not OW but only previews. For OW -and therefore its entire run- Flash is only missing 3D and Transformers is missing Screen X but there's only a couple of them in the country and they have no effect. Edited June 7, 2023 by Carlangonz 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted June 8, 2023 Share Posted June 8, 2023 Final allocation for Rise of Beasts is 31k seats. On par with both Little Mermaid and Spiderverse. Looking at Thu sales I think OD incl previews can go a bit higher than Mermaid's OD. Hopefully OW pushes above to $130M-$140M. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted June 8, 2023 Author Share Posted June 8, 2023 Mario becomes the first movie in modern times to cross $85M, as per Mojo. $85,134,964. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Psylocke Posted June 8, 2023 Share Posted June 8, 2023 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted June 8, 2023 Author Share Posted June 8, 2023 ER lowest since mid 2016, should work in Optimus Prime's favour. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted June 10, 2023 Author Share Posted June 10, 2023 $2.8M OD for Transformers, close to 50M lc. Let's see if it can hit $9M OW. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carlangonz Posted June 10, 2023 Share Posted June 10, 2023 1 hour ago, Purple Minion said: $2.8M OD for Transformers, close to 50M lc. Let's see if it can hit $9M OW. Yeah must be Wed-Thu-Fri around $47M looking to top Little Mermaid/Quantumania numbers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
froztking Posted June 10, 2023 Share Posted June 10, 2023 On 6/6/2023 at 4:14 PM, Purple Minion said: Can't believe this is the same Pixar that made Inside Out gross over 400M lc. Sad times for the former animation powerhouse. how much did inside out do in its ow ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Purple Minion Posted June 11, 2023 Author Share Posted June 11, 2023 15 hours ago, froztking said: how much did inside out do in its ow ? 132,246,902 lc with a 2.62M audience. Ended up grossing 485,893,407 lc and selling 10.84M tickets! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...