Hunger games will flop and will be non factor for this. I mean the gap from og series is 8 years!!! non of the original cast coming back and the book was just released in 2020. I also don't think it's already as iconic as the novel trilogy. Also no one cares about the history of Hunger Games and it's not unique anymore. The reason why Hunger Games og was successful because it was unique the way they combined the games, politics and dystopian city story. It also consisted of fan favorite character that people become attached. This one has none of that. Feels like cash grab.
So yeah, I think Marvels will have a clear runway path to the holidays season.
Dune 2 will probably move and if it doesn't, I don't think it will hurt too much cause Marvels opens after it not before it so legs will be fine.
Hunger Games will flop.
Napoleon will be too segmented and bring different audience (old people).
Trolls and Wish are counterprogramming and the audience won't overlap (both pg rating).
The real test will be Wonka which will be almost a month after in holiday season where movies can coexist perfectly.