China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[Fullbuster]

So Hollywood and China are really teaming up.

 

It's probably a smart move.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

We now have got:

 

Oriental Legendary Pictures (+ Huayi Bro.)

Oriental Dreamworks (+SMG)

Disney China (+Shanghai)

Village Roadshow Pictures Asia (+ DADI / EDKO)

Bona Films + FOX

Galloping Horse + Digital Domain

James Cameron + Tianjin Studios

Paramount + CCTV/China Film

Le Vision + Radical Studios

 

And on Monday Lucas Sudios will announce its China deal.

 

All targeting the China film market.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Sadly a big earthquake struck Sichuan early this morning and hundreds people killed and injuried. Terrible news.

 

Cinema business over the following two (at least) weeks will also be largely deflated.

[Fullbuster]

Sadly a big earthquake struck Sichuan early this morning and hundreds people killed and injuried. Terrible news.

 

Cinema business over the following two (at least) weeks will also be largely deflated.

 

May 3rd would be a better release date in that case

[A Marvel Fanboy]

May 3rd would be a better release date in that case

It still wont be. Holiday is a holiday, always much better than working day. [Oblivion is on May 10, then STID/FF6 both closely]

 

This is a case that nowhere to hide but to take it.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

CROODS is doing pretty well today (definitely 30M+ two days opening), 200M total within the range, hopfully it means the rise of non-sequel animations in China.

[POLYLOVE]

 The Croods is not flopping....surprised

[A Marvel Fanboy]

 The Croods is not flopping....surprised

EPIC, MU and DM2 all will have troubles though.

[POLYLOVE]

EPIC, MU and DM2 all will have troubles though.

Why? With enough marketing and a Saturday open, they can also make good number, especially MU as a sequel. 

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Why? With enough marketing and a Saturday open, they can also make good number, especially MU as a sequel. 

Talking Animals sells the best among all animated films in China. The three are not. MU, pretty mucn, is an American campus movie, not the Chinese audience's type. And MU and EPIC will be very closely released here. DM2 is just too kids friendly, plus the first didnt get released.

 

100M yuan is the max the three can get respectively IMO.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

And I think DM2 will be released together with Smurfs 2 and get smashed, just like last summer Lorax with IA4.

 

Smurfs 2 will be HUGE.

[cjk]

CROODS is doing pretty well today (definitely 30M+ two days opening), 200M total within the range, hopfully it means the rise of non-sequel animations in China.

200M ? That's too optimistic!!!!!!!! Croods just got 40% of GIJ's this day and 230M for GIJ's leg.

So I don't think Croods can pass 150M.  By the way, A Wedding Invitation was also pretty good today ,likely reaching almost Croods.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

200M ? That's too optimistic!!!!!!!! Croods just got 40% of GIJ's this day and 230M for GIJ's leg.

So I don't think Croods can pass 150M.  By the way, A Wedding Invitation was also pretty good today ,likely reaching almost Croods.

Croods: 40m + 40m + 70m + 20m + 10m = 180m the most likely medium

 

AWI will basically die when So Young opens

[cjk]

Croods: 40m + 40m + 70m + 20m + 10m = 180m the most likely mediumAWI will basically die when So Young opens

My opinions 33m+36m+48m+ 25m rest , about 145m (the holiday week gets problem from IM3 ) Edited April 20, 2013 by cjk

[A Marvel Fanboy]

My opinions 33m+36m+48m+ 25m rest , about 145m (the holiday week gets problem from IM3 )

Being optimastic, the holiday week could be as big as 600M overally. IM3 can get middle 200M (like 250M) from that 600M, So Young get obove 200M+, Conspirators sub 100M, Croods 70M, the others get the rest.

 

But now since there is the earthquake ... maybe a sub 600M high 500M week ... if there wont be any cinemas closes at all.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Missing the holiday for IM3 will be a critical strike, meaning it loses the chance for $100M. And even it successfully gets the pre-May release, if it unfortunately cant beat So Young, it will be lost for IM3.

 

So Young is sitting at an undefeated place, whatever performance it's going to pull out, being a middle/low budget local film and a first directorial debut. Since it is locked to be profitable. However, if it beats IM3, the Hollywood super Blockbuster with all its gears and exposures centered around these Chinese elements, it will be ... I dont even know how to describle that case. Anyway, it would be the death announcement for Hollywood movies in China.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

The only way IM3 can get (close) to $100M is asuring an April release, for it would lose at least 150M yuan (or even 200M+) if not.

[Omario]

will jurassic park 3D be released in china?

[A Marvel Fanboy]

will jurassic park 3D be released in china?

Nope

[Omario]

Nope

 

that sucks, was hoping this movie would pass 1billion:(