Juby
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Posts posted by Juby
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Another great weekend for Avengers in Poland. IW is already the biggest superhero movie based on comic books in my country (after 1989). It beats Suicide Squad in just 12 days (11 without previews)!
Sorry that all the titles are in polish, I couldn't find such a list with original titles.
If we consider also films before 1989 (dark times in Poland, but with much, much bigger admission every year
) the biggest would be... Howard the Duck with over 3 million tickets sold. 
EDIT: Okay, IW isn't #1 yet if we consider Men in Black as superhero movies (also based on comic books) - 839 708 admission. I can't find right now precise number for Howard, and there's no data about Superman I-IV movies in Poland. Dark times, as I said.
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Okay, after this weekend the trajectory for IW is:
$675-725 mln DOM
$940 mln - $1B OS (- China)
$250-500 mln China
So, I think $1.85B worldwide is the minimum at this point, with strong chances to beat TFA and maybe even Titanic with over $2.2B if China explode.
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1 hour ago, Fake said:
Giving it a decent 2.5x multiplier from this weekend, it should finish 950-960M OS-China. DOM is looking at 650M. So China needs to do 400M for IW to hit $2B WW.
DOM is looking at $675-725 mln after this weekend. $650 mln is a pretty pessimistic scenario.
I hope IW will beat TFA WW numbers.
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1 hour ago, titanic2187 said:
I hope titanic could retain its position here....Just too much unnecessary backlash on this all time epic.
I've watched hundred of films based on the recommendation from academy, IMDB, director picks and RT. Titanic is definitely a great film by any standard.
The only reason I can tell about its hatred is the movie gone too successful especially commercially and way too female-centric.
I hope BOT could restore what titanic supposedly deserved in the movie's history.
Titanic, for your consideration.
I totally forgot (or am I? I don't remember) to give this - one of my favorite movies of all time. FYC
I can watch this every day, every week, every month, every year.
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Great weekend! Over $713 mln after 12 days is an amazing result! I strongly belive in $1.4B OS with China.
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$140 mln OS weekend means less than 55% drop, isn't it? That would be great.
So, around $455 mln DOM and $705 mln OS after today? $1.16B WW?
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Even $950 mln without China is still very possible.
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Domestic will still have strong chances to +700 million after the 2nd weekend. It should be near $570 mln DOM before Deadpool's previews.
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6 hours ago, Fancyarcher said:
4 and 5 were among the best action films of the past decade.
4 i 5 were in THIS decade (2011 and 2015)
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8 hours ago, Mike Hunt said:
Pessemistic
$180M China 2x multi = $360M
$15M Russia 2.4x multi = $36M
$257.7M Domestic 2.4x multi = $618.5M
$382.8M Overseas -minus China/Russia 2.5x multi = $957M
$1,971.5M total
Realistic
$210M China 2.2x multi = $462M
$17.5M Russia 2.5x multi = $43.8M
$257.7M Dom 2.55x multi = $657.1M
$382.8M OS-Ch/Ru 2.6x multi = $995.3M
$2,158.2M total
Optimistic
$250M China 2.4x multi = $600M
$19M Russia 2.6x multi = $49.4M
$257.7M DOM 2.7x multi = $695.8M
$382.8M OS-Ch/Ru 2.7x multi = $1,033.6M
$2,378.8M
That's not "super optimistic"! With great legs (over x3) this might go over $800 mln domestic. But Your China numbers seems unrealistic.
My current prediction:
DOM: $715 mln (but I think even $805 mln is possible)
OS: $1,585 mld
WW: $2,3 mld
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51 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:
Those add to about 910, not 890. Guessing it will be more like 900-905 though.
You're so right. Thanks
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Theatrical Performance Domestic Box Office $322,564,408 Details International Box Office $534,700,000 Details Worldwide Box Office $857,264,408 
So, after the first week it's going to have $337,5 mln DOM and more than $570 mln OS = around $910 mln WW? If the drop during the second weekend won't be hard, IW will pass Civil War by Sunday!!
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Infinity War did absolutely great opening in Poland.
271 279 admission during the weekend and 387 612 since Wednesday (5 days)! Till now, the biggest opening for superhero movies were:
1. Age of Ultron - 213 938 (697 489 all tickets sold)
2. Deadpool - 206 096 (759 083 all tickets sold)
3. Iron Man 3 - 201 733 (611 850 all tickets sold)
4. Guardians of the Galaxy: Vol. 2 - 191 309 (574 920 all tickets sold)
5. Suicide Squad - 171 512 (773 920 all tickets sold)
Avengers will easily beat Suicide Squad's record and maybe will broke 1 mln in tickets sold!
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5-day opening in Poland will be big, bigger than any other MCU film before, maybe bigger than any superhero movie before!
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7 hours ago, Thematrixfilm said:
prediction - 75/225
My Summer prediction:
http://historieboxoffice.blox.pl/html
M:I:6 - 70/240 + 600 OS
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14 hours ago, That Ambitious Guy said:
Upping my prediction to $190M/$494M.
Infinity War still staying at $480M btw. This is gonna win the summer.
My Summer prediction is here:
http://historieboxoffice.blox.pl/html
JW:FK - 168/475
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1 hour ago, peludo said:
SW9 will be the end of the trilogy. It should rebound.
Not this time
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15 hours ago, MattW said:
650-680 - Star Wars 9
1430 (665+765) - Star Wars 9
SW9 won't increase form TLJ, no chance. No Luke, no Han, no Laia, it will be 5th movie in only 4 years, and EVIII has very mixed reception. I wouldn't be surprised if it drops as JL after BvS did.
Avengers 4 will be bigger OS and WW, maybe DOM as well.
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8 hours ago, fabiopazzo2 said:
After The Avengers the box Office change
1 Star Wars: The Force Awakens BV $936,662,225 2015 2 Avatar Fox $760,507,625 2009^ 3 Titanic Par. $659,363,944 1997^ 4 Black Panther BV $654,226,086 2018 5 Jurassic World Uni. $652,270,625 2015 6 Marvel's The Avengers BV $623,357,910 2012 7 Star Wars: The Last Jedi BV $620,113,967 2017 8 The Dark Knight WB $534,858,444 2008^ 9 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story BV $532,177,324 2016 10 Beauty and the Beast (2017) BV $504,014,165 2017 11 Finding Dory BV $486,295,561 2016 12 Star Wars: Episode I - The Phantom Menace Fox $474,544,677 1999^ 13 Star Wars Fox $460,998,007 1977^ 14 Avengers: Age of Ultron BV $459,005,868 2015 15 The Dark Knight Rises WB $448,139,099 2012 Only 4 movie stay in Top 15th before TA
Five: Avatar, Titanic, The Dark Knight and two Star Wars episodes (I & IV).
I would say, it's more like "after Avatar and 3D the box office changed". Without 3D with Avatar we probably would have to wait until 2015 (The Force Awakens) to see any movie to beat original Titanic's $600,8 mln DOM.
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4 hours ago, fabiopazzo2 said:
BP is a really good film, good story, great action and great villain
but people have a different opinion
More like "okay, but not so original story", "disappointing, generic action" and "good villain"
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2 hours ago, fabiopazzo2 said:
Star Wars XI have a nice shoot for 250M. Episode X for sure
Iw over 250M? For me is impossible
No chance. Like zero. Won't be even close.
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Maybe they are, but they're still average blockbusters and overrated movies
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17 hours ago, IronJimbo said:
What else?
If not IW this April, than "Avatar 2" is the last chance in this decade. But I don't think it's going to have so massive opening weekend. More like twice as much as the first Avatar did in the first three days (maybe $160 mln). But its legs - oh dear. If there is any film with chances to beat TFA domestic record ($936,7 mln) it is Avatar sequel.
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) the biggest would be... Howard the Duck with over 3 million tickets sold. 
AVENGERS: INFINITY WAR | 1369.5 M overseas ● 2048.4 M worldwide
in International Box Office
Posted
If the marketing will be right, and the movie will be good, Avengers 4 might increase from this one.